RRosternomics
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Phillies PHI

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GM: Matt Klentak

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.77× league · TAB +0.6
+0.6TAB — talent above budget12th/30
+1.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/30
-3.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
24%dead money %4th/30
0.494win %17th/30
31.7roster fWAR18th/30
+7surplus $M (value vs cost)10th/30
$101Mpayroll $M22nd/30

Roster

CFOdúbel Herrera 133GRoman Quinn 30GAaron Altherr 11G
LFRhys Hoskins 135GNick Williams 19GDylan Cozens 9G
RFNick Williams 95GAaron Altherr 68GJosé Bautista 64G
SSScott Kingery 119GAsdrúbal Cabrera 31GJ.P. Crawford 30G
2BCésar Hernández 154GAsdrúbal Cabrera 92GJesmuel Valentín 9G
3BMaikel Franco 117GAsdrúbal Cabrera 22GJosé Bautista 21G
1BCarlos Santana 149GJustin Bour 113GRhys Hoskins 17G
STARTERSAaron Nola 5.0WARVince Velasquez 2.9WARNick Pivetta 2.8WARZach Eflin 2.1WARJake Arrieta 2.1WAR
CJorge Alfaro 104GWilson Ramos 96GAndrew Knapp 53G
DHAsdrúbal Cabrera 4GRhys Hoskins 4GMaikel Franco 1G
BULLPEN★ Seranthony Domínguez 16svTommy Hunter 25hAdam Morgan 14hLuis García 13hAaron Loup 11hVíctor Arano 10hLuis Avilán 9hHéctor Neris 4h
CJorge Alfaro 104 · Wilson Ramos 96 · Andrew Knapp 53
1BCarlos Santana 149 · Justin Bour 113 · Rhys Hoskins 17
2BCésar Hernández 154 · Asdrúbal Cabrera 92 · Jesmuel Valentín 9
3BMaikel Franco 117 · Asdrúbal Cabrera 22 · José Bautista 21
SSScott Kingery 119 · Asdrúbal Cabrera 31 · J.P. Crawford 30
LFRhys Hoskins 135 · Nick Williams 19 · Dylan Cozens 9
CFOdúbel Herrera 133 · Roman Quinn 30 · Aaron Altherr 11
RFNick Williams 95 · Aaron Altherr 68 · José Bautista 64
DHAsdrúbal Cabrera 4 · Rhys Hoskins 4 · Maikel Franco 1
SPAaron Nola 5.0 · Vince Velasquez 2.9 · Nick Pivetta 2.8 · Zach Eflin 2.1 · Jake Arrieta 2.1
BP★ Seranthony Domínguez 16 · Tommy Hunter 25 · Adam Morgan 14 · Luis García 13 · Aaron Loup 11 · Víctor Arano 10 · Luis Avilán 9 · Héctor Neris 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2018 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Aaron Nola 25 arb 335.0 0.6 +16.6
Vince Velasquez 26 arb 322.9 0.6 +9.4
Jorge Alfaro 25 pre-arb 1082.8 0.5 +9.1
Nick Pivetta 25 pre-arb 342.8 0.6 +9.0
Carlos Santana 32 FA-elig 1612.3 18.3 -10.3
César Hernández 28 arb 1612.2 5.1 +2.3
Zach Eflin 24 pre-arb 252.1 0.4 +6.9
Jake Arrieta 32 FA-elig 312.1 30.0 -22.8
Rhys Hoskins 25 pre-arb 1531.9 0.6 +5.9
Maikel Franco 25 arb 1311.4 3.0 +1.8
Odúbel Herrera 26 arb 1481.4 3.4 +1.4
Seranthony Domínguez 23 – 531.3 0.4 +4.1
Víctor Arano 23 pre-arb 600.8 0.5 +2.1
Wilson Ramos↔ TBR 30 FA-elig 330.7 2.5 -0.1
Tommy Hunter 31 FA-elig 650.7 9.0 -6.8
Luis García 31 arb 590.6 1.2 +0.9
Edubray Ramos 25 pre-arb 520.5 0.6 +1.3
Roman Quinn 25 pre-arb 500.5 0.5 +1.2
Adam Morgan 28 arb 670.4 0.6 +0.8
Asdrúbal Cabrera↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 490.3 2.8 -1.6
Pat Neshek 37 FA-elig 300.3 7.8 -6.6
José Bautista↔ ATL 37 FA-elig 270.3 0.1 +0.8
Nick Williams 24 pre-arb 1400.3 0.6 +0.4
Drew Anderson 24 pre-arb 50.2 0.1 +0.8
Austin Davis 25 – 320.2 0.3 +0.5
J.P. Crawford 23 pre-arb 490.2 0.5 +0.2
Héctor Neris 29 arb 530.2 0.6 +0.1
Jerad Eickhoff 27 arb 30.2 0.6 -0.0
Aaron Altherr 27 arb 1050.1 0.6 -0.3
Ben Lively↔ KCR 26 pre-arb 60.0 0.3 -0.2
Trevor Plouffe 32 FA-elig 70.0 1.5 -1.4
Aaron Loup↔ TOR 30 FA-elig 90.0 0.3 -0.2
Zac Curtis↔ TEX 25 – 70.0 0.0 -0.0
Enyel De Los Santos 22 – 70.0 0.1 -0.1
Pedro Florimón 31 FA-elig 50-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Ranger Suarez 22 – 4-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jake Thompson 24 – 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Luis Avilán↔ CHW 28 FA-elig 12-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Dylan Cozens 24 pre-arb 26-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Yacksel Ríos 25 pre-arb 36-0.1 0.3 -0.7
Hoby Milner↔ TBR 27 pre-arb 10-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Mitch Walding 25 – 13-0.1 – –
Drew Hutchison↔ TEX 27 FA-elig 11-0.2 2.1 -2.7
Justin Bour↔ MIA 30 arb 29-0.2 0.7 -1.5
Mark Leiter Jr.↔ TOR 27 pre-arb 12-0.4 0.3 -1.8
Jesmuel Valentín 24 – 46-0.5 0.2 -1.9
Andrew Knapp 26 pre-arb 84-0.7 0.5 -2.8
Scott Kingery 24 pre-arb 147-0.7 1.0 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Carlos Santana2.3
Jake Arrieta2.1
Seranthony Domínguez1.3
Wilson Ramos0.7
Tommy Hunter0.7
Roman Quinn0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Freddy Galvis1.7
Daniel Nava0.9
Howie Kendrick0.7
Joaquín Benoit0.6
Jeremy Hellickson0.5
Kevin Siegrist0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$101.2M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Jake Arrieta326.145$30.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Santana327.115$18.3MFREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter318.090$9.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Neshek379.159$7.8MFREE AGENT
Asdrúbal Cabrera3210.027$2.8MFREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos307.047$2.5MFREE AGENT
Trevor Plouffe326.162$1.5MFREE AGENT
José Bautista3712.165$121kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
César Hernández283.154$5.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odúbel Herrera263.000$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Hutchison273.165$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García313.006$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Bour303.064$699kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Avilán284.146$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Loup305.040$276kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Maikel Franco252.170$3.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Kingery240.000$1.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Florimón312.126$600kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Neris292.104$582kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Nola252.076$573kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerad Eickhoff272.045$568kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Altherr272.054$561kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vince Velasquez262.086$559kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Morgan282.017$559kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edubray Ramos251.076$554kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Williams240.094$553kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rhys Hoskins250.053$552kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Pivetta250.129$551kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Knapp261.000$548kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alfaro250.024$547kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.P. Crawford230.027$546kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roman Quinn250.022$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Víctor Arano230.020$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seranthony Domínguez230.000$431kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Eflin241.044$422kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hoby Milner270.104$391kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yacksel Ríos250.041$337kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Leiter Jr.271.000$330kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Davis250.000$311kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Lively260.083$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Cozens240.079$229kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesmuel Valentín24–$167k
Jake Thompson240.104$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enyel De Los Santos220.000$85kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Anderson240.005$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ranger Suarez220.000$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zac Curtis250.097$41kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Walding25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2018; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.