RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Pat Gillick

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.07× league · TAB +5.0
+5.0TAB — talent above budget8th/30
+2.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-4.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/30
21%dead money %7th/30
0.525win %12th/30
40.0roster fWAR8th/30
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$81Mpayroll $M13th/30

Roster

CFAaron Rowand 107GShane Victorino 67G
LFPat Burrell 126GJeff Conine 68GDavid Dellucci 45G
RFDavid Dellucci 31GJeff Conine 26GChris Roberson 21G
SSJimmy Rollins 157GJosé Hernández 11GDanny Sandoval 6G
2BChase Utley 156GDanny Sandoval 8GAbraham O. Nunez 6G
3BAbraham O. Nunez 74GJosé Hernández 11GAlex Gonzalez 2G
1BRyan Howard 159GJosé Hernández 19GAlex Gonzalez 3G
STARTERSBrett Myers 3.0WARCole Hamels 2.6WARJon Lieber 2.2WARRyan Madson 1.0WARJamie Moyer 0.6WAR
CMike Lieberthal 60GChris Coste 54GCarlos Ruiz 24G
DHPat Burrell 6GDavid Dellucci 2GChase Utley 1G
BULLPEN Tom Gordon 34svArthur Rhodes 23hGeoff Geary 15hAaron Fultz 9hRick White 7hMatt Smith 6hClay Condrey 1hFabio Castro 0h
CMike Lieberthal 60 · Chris Coste 54 · Carlos Ruiz 24
1BRyan Howard 159 · José Hernández 19 · Alex Gonzalez 3
2BChase Utley 156 · Danny Sandoval 8 · Abraham O. Nunez 6
3BAbraham O. Nunez 74 · José Hernández 11 · Alex Gonzalez 2
SSJimmy Rollins 157 · José Hernández 11 · Danny Sandoval 6
LFPat Burrell 126 · Jeff Conine 68 · David Dellucci 45
CFAaron Rowand 107 · Shane Victorino 67
RFDavid Dellucci 31 · Jeff Conine 26 · Chris Roberson 21
DHPat Burrell 6 · David Dellucci 2 · Chase Utley 1
SPBrett Myers 3.0 · Cole Hamels 2.6 · Jon Lieber 2.2 · Ryan Madson 1.0 · Jamie Moyer 0.6
BP Tom Gordon 34 · Arthur Rhodes 23 · Geoff Geary 15 · Aaron Fultz 9 · Rick White 7 · Matt Smith 6 · Clay Condrey 1 · Fabio Castro 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chase Utley 27 arb 1607.2 0.5 +13.8
Ryan Howard 26 pre-arb 1595.9 0.4 +11.4
Jimmy Rollins 27 FA-elig 1584.3 5.0 +3.7
Brett Myers 25 arb 313.0 3.3 +2.6
Shane Victorino 25 arb 1532.7 0.3 +5.1
Cole Hamels 22 232.6 0.3 +4.9
Jon Lieber 36 FA-elig 282.2 7.6 -3.1
Bobby Abreu↔ NYY 32 FA-elig 981.9 8.5 -4.8
Pat Burrell 29 FA-elig 1441.5 9.8 -6.8
Chris Coste 33 651.5
Cory Lidle↔ NYY 34 FA-elig 211.3 2.2 +0.4
David Dellucci 32 FA-elig 1321.3 0.9 +1.6
Geoff Geary 29 arb 811.3 0.3 +2.2
Aaron Rowand 28 arb 1091.2 3.2 -0.8
Mike Lieberthal 34 FA-elig 671.1 7.5 -5.4
Ryan Madson 25 arb 501.0 0.4 +1.5
Arthur Rhodes 36 FA-elig 550.7 3.7 -2.3
Aaron Fultz 32 FA-elig 660.7 1.2 +0.2
Tom Gordon 38 FA-elig 590.7 4.5 -3.1
David Bell↔ MIL 33 FA-elig 920.6 3.0 -1.8
Jamie Moyer↔ SEA 43 FA-elig 80.6 1.3 -0.2
Matt Smith↔ NYY 27 140.3
Jeff Conine↔ BAL 40 FA-elig 280.2 0.3 +0.1
Fabio Castro↔ TEX 21 pre-arb 160.2 0.3 +0.2
Carlos Ruiz 27 270.2
Clay Condrey 30 210.2
Rick White↔ CIN 37 FA-elig 380.1 0.4 -0.1
Rheal Cormier↔ CIN 39 FA-elig 430.1 1.7 -1.4
José Hernández↔ PIT 36 FA-elig 180.1 0.2 -0.1
Randy Wolf 29 FA-elig 130.0 9.1 -9.0
Scott Mathieson 22 90.0
Joe Thurston 26 18-0.0
Eude Brito 27 5-0.0
Michael Bourn 23 17-0.1
Sal Fasano↔ NYY 34 FA-elig 50-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Randall Simon 31 23-0.1
Julio Santana 33 FA-elig 7-0.1 0.8 -1.1
Chris Roberson 26 57-0.2
Danny Sandoval 27 28-0.2
Brian Sanches 27 18-0.2
Adam Bernero↔ KCR 29 1-0.3
Alex Gonzalez 33 FA-elig 20-0.4 0.8 -1.6
Ryan Franklin↔ CIN 33 FA-elig 46-0.5 1.8 -2.9
Gavin Floyd 23 pre-arb 11-0.8 0.3 -2.0
Abraham O. Nunez 30 FA-elig 123-1.6 1.1 -4.2

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Cole Hamels2.6
Chris Coste1.5
David Dellucci1.3
Aaron Rowand1.2
Arthur Rhodes0.7
Tom Gordon0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Kenny Lofton3.9
Jason Michaels3.6
Billy Wagner2.1
Placido Polanco1.8
Robinson Tejeda1.1
Vicente Padilla0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$81.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Pat Burrell296.000$9.8M$13.2M$14.2MFREE AGENT
Randy Wolf297.000$9.1MFREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu3210.000$8.5MFREE AGENT
Jon Lieber3612.000$7.6M$7.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Lieberthal3412.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins276.000$5.0M$8.0M$8.0M$8.5M$8.5M$8.5M$11.0M
Tom Gordon3818.000$4.5M$7.0M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes3615.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
David Bell3311.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Cory Lidle349.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Franklin337.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Rheal Cormier3915.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4320.000$1.3M$6.5M$6.0M$6.5M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Fultz326.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Abraham O. Nunez309.000$1.1M$1.9MFREE AGENT
David Dellucci329.000$950kFREE AGENT
Julio Santana339.000$800kFREE AGENT
Alex Gonzalez3312.000$750kFREE AGENT
Rick White3712.000$356kFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine4016.000$335kFREE AGENT
Sal Fasano3410.000$272kFREE AGENT
José Hernández3615.000$180kFREE AGENT
Randall Simon319.000FREE AGENT
Adam Bernero296.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Brett Myers254.000$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Rowand285.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley273.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Madson253.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Geary293.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Victorino253.000$330kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Thurston264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Condrey304.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Ryan Howard262.000$355kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Floyd232.000$330kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Hamels220.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fabio Castro210.000$262kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Coste330.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Sanches270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eude Brito27
Chris Roberson26
Carlos Ruiz270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Sandoval27
Matt Smith270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Mathieson22
Michael Bourn230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3