RRosternomics

Brewers MIL

GM: Douglas Melvin

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.58× league · TAB +8.4
+8.4TAB — talent above budget3rd/30
+6.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-2.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag3rd/30
11%dead money %1st/30
0.500win %15th/30
35.9roster fWAR13th/30
+24surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/30
$42Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFBrady Clark 145GCorey Hart 11GChris Magruder 9G
LFCarlos Lee 162GChris Magruder 5GRussell Branyan 3G
RFGeoff Jenkins 144GChris Magruder 31GNelson Cruz 6G
SSJ.J. Hardy 119GBill Hall 66G
2BRickie Weeks Jr. 95GBill Hall 23GJeff Cirillo 3G
3BBill Hall 59GRussell Branyan 59GJeff Cirillo 53G
1BLyle Overbay 154GWes Helms 16GPrince Fielder 7G
STARTERSDoug Davis 3.6WARBen Sheets 3.1WARChris Capuano 2.3WARTomo Ohka 1.5WARRick Helling 1.2WAR
CDamian Miller 111GChad Moeller 65G
DHPrince Fielder 4GWes Helms 3GGeoff Jenkins 2G
BULLPEN Derrick Turnbow 39svJulio Santana 11hMatt Wise 10hRicky Bottalico 9hDana Eveland 7hJorge De La Rosa 5hTommy Phelps 4hJustin Lehr 3h
CDamian Miller 111 · Chad Moeller 65
1BLyle Overbay 154 · Wes Helms 16 · Prince Fielder 7
2BRickie Weeks Jr. 95 · Bill Hall 23 · Jeff Cirillo 3
3BBill Hall 59 · Russell Branyan 59 · Jeff Cirillo 53
SSJ.J. Hardy 119 · Bill Hall 66
LFCarlos Lee 162 · Chris Magruder 5 · Russell Branyan 3
CFBrady Clark 145 · Corey Hart 11 · Chris Magruder 9
RFGeoff Jenkins 144 · Chris Magruder 31 · Nelson Cruz 6
DHPrince Fielder 4 · Wes Helms 3 · Geoff Jenkins 2
SPDoug Davis 3.6 · Ben Sheets 3.1 · Chris Capuano 2.3 · Tomo Ohka 1.5 · Rick Helling 1.2
BP Derrick Turnbow 39 · Julio Santana 11 · Matt Wise 10 · Ricky Bottalico 9 · Dana Eveland 7 · Jorge De La Rosa 5 · Tommy Phelps 4 · Justin Lehr 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Geoff Jenkins 30 FA-elig 1484.9 7.3 +1.8
Doug Davis 29 FA-elig 353.6 2.0 +4.7
Bill Hall 25 arb 1463.4 0.3 +6.2
Ben Sheets 26 arb 223.1 6.0 -0.1
Brady Clark 32 arb 1452.8 1.1 +4.2
Chris Capuano 26 pre-arb 352.3 0.3 +4.0
Lyle Overbay 28 arb 1582.3 0.4 +3.8
Carlos Lee 29 FA-elig 1621.8 8.0 -4.5
Jeff Cirillo 35 FA-elig 771.7 0.3 +2.9
Damian Miller 35 FA-elig 1141.7 3.2 -0.1
J.J. Hardy 22 pre-arb 1241.6 0.3 +2.6
Tomo Ohka↔ WSN 29 FA-elig 221.5 1.8 +0.9
Derrick Turnbow 27 arb 691.2 0.3 +1.9
Rick Helling 34 151.2
Russell Branyan 29 FA-elig 851.1 0.8 +1.3
Matt Wise 29 arb 490.8 0.3 +1.2
Gary Glover 28 FA-elig 150.8 0.4 +1.2
Wes Helms 29 FA-elig 950.7 2.8 -1.4
Junior Spivey↔ WSN 30 arb 490.6 1.4 -0.2
Julio Santana 31 410.5
Jose Capellan 24 170.3
Jorge De La Rosa 24 pre-arb 380.3 0.3 +0.2
Victor Santos 28 arb 290.2 0.4 -0.1
Prince Fielder 21 390.1 0.2 -0.0
Dana Eveland 21 270.1
Nelson Cruz 24 80.1 0.3 -0.2
Wes Obermueller 28 arb 240.0 0.3 -0.3
Julio Mosquera 33 1-0.0
Kane Davis 30 15-0.0
Tommy Phelps 31 pre-arb 29-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Mike Adams 26 pre-arb 13-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Justin Lehr 27 23-0.2
Dave Krynzel 23 5-0.2
Chris Magruder 28 arb 101-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Trent Durrington 29 28-0.3
Corey Hart 23 21-0.3 0.3 -0.9
Chad Moeller 30 arb 66-0.5 0.7 -1.6
Ricky Bottalico 35 FA-elig 40-0.5 0.8 -1.7
Rickie Weeks Jr. 22 96-0.5

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Carlos Lee1.8
Jeff Cirillo1.7
Damian Miller1.7
J.J. Hardy1.6
Tomo Ohka1.5
Derrick Turnbow1.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
Scott Podsednik1.9
Keith Ginter1.8
Craig Counsell1.3
Dan Kolb0.6
Dave Burba0.5
Matt Kinney0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$41.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Carlos Lee296.000$8.0M$5.4MFREE AGENT
Geoff Jenkins307.000$7.3M$7.8M$7.3MFREE AGENT
Damian Miller358.000$3.2M$3.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Wes Helms297.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Doug Davis296.000$2.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT$4.2M
Tomo Ohka296.000$1.8M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Russell Branyan297.000$800kFREE AGENT
Ricky Bottalico3511.000$800kFREE AGENT
Gary Glover286.000$390kFREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo3511.000$316k$850kFREE AGENT
Rick Helling3411.000$850kFREE AGENT
Julio Santana318.000FREE AGENT
Trent Durrington296.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Ben Sheets264.000$6.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Junior Spivey304.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Clark325.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Chad Moeller305.000$700kFREE AGENT
Lyle Overbay284.000$446kARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Santos284.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wise295.000$345kFREE AGENT
Bill Hall253.000$344kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Obermueller283.000$342kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Magruder284.000$325kARB 3FREE AGENT
Derrick Turnbow275.000$322kFREE AGENT
Kane Davis305.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Tommy Phelps312.000$360kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Capuano262.000$340kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Adams261.000$331kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge De La Rosa241.000$317kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Hart231.000$316kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Hardy220.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz240.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Prince Fielder210.000$190kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Mosquera33
Dave Krynzel23
Rickie Weeks Jr.222.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Capellan241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Lehr271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dana Eveland210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3