RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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GM: Dan Jennings

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.41× league · TAB +10.0
+10.0TAB — talent above budget2nd/30
+6.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-4.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
61%dead money %29th/30
0.475win %18th/30
33.2roster fWAR16th/30
+51surplus $M (value vs cost)1st/30
$46Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFMarcell Ozuna 140GEnrique Hernández 18GChristian Yelich 12G
LFChristian Yelich 138GReed Johnson 23GMarcell Ozuna 11G
RFGiancarlo Stanton 143GReed Johnson 11GJordany Valdespin 10G
SSAdeiny Hechavarría 146GEd Lucas 19GDonovan Solano 4G
2BDonovan Solano 73GDerek Dietrich 44GJeff Baker 21G
3BCasey McGehee 158GEd Lucas 4GEnrique Hernández 3G
1BGarrett Jones 129GJeff Baker 43GJustin Bour 15G
STARTERSNathan Eovaldi 3.1WARHenderson Alvarez 2.7WARTom Koehler 1.8WARJosé Fernández 1.8WARJarred Cosart 1.2WAR
CJarrod Saltalamacchia 107GJeff Mathis 62GJ.T. Realmuto 9G
DHJustin Bour 3GReed Johnson 2GGiancarlo Stanton 2G
BULLPEN★ Steve Cishek 39svMike Dunn 22hAJ Ramos 20hBryan Morris 17hChris Hatcher 6hDan Jennings 3hCarter Capps 1hSam Dyson 0h
CJarrod Saltalamacchia 107 · Jeff Mathis 62 · J.T. Realmuto 9
1BGarrett Jones 129 · Jeff Baker 43 · Justin Bour 15
2BDonovan Solano 73 · Derek Dietrich 44 · Jeff Baker 21
3BCasey McGehee 158 · Ed Lucas 4 · Enrique Hernández 3
SSAdeiny Hechavarría 146 · Ed Lucas 19 · Donovan Solano 4
LFChristian Yelich 138 · Reed Johnson 23 · Marcell Ozuna 11
CFMarcell Ozuna 140 · Enrique Hernández 18 · Christian Yelich 12
RFGiancarlo Stanton 143 · Reed Johnson 11 · Jordany Valdespin 10
DHJustin Bour 3 · Reed Johnson 2 · Giancarlo Stanton 2
SPNathan Eovaldi 3.1 · Henderson Alvarez 2.7 · Tom Koehler 1.8 · José Fernández 1.8 · Jarred Cosart 1.2
BP★ Steve Cishek 39 · Mike Dunn 22 · AJ Ramos 20 · Bryan Morris 17 · Chris Hatcher 6 · Dan Jennings 3 · Carter Capps 1 · Sam Dyson 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2014 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Giancarlo Stanton 24 arb 1456.8 6.5 +13.5
Marcell Ozuna 23 pre-arb 1534.5 0.5 +12.5
Christian Yelich 22 pre-arb 1444.1 0.5 +11.4
Nathan Eovaldi 24 arb 333.1 0.5 +8.5
Henderson Alvarez 24 arb 302.7 0.5 +7.5
Steve Cishek 28 arb 672.3 3.8 +2.9
Casey McGehee 31 FA-elig 1601.9 1.1 +4.4
José Fernández 21 pre-arb 81.8 0.6 +4.6
Tom Koehler 28 pre-arb 321.8 0.5 +4.7
Jarred Cosart↔ HOU 24 pre-arb 101.2 0.2 +3.4
Mike Dunn 29 arb 751.0 1.4 +1.6
Chris Hatcher 29 pre-arb 520.8 0.5 +1.9
Donovan Solano 26 pre-arb 1110.8 0.5 +1.9
AJ Ramos 27 pre-arb 680.7 0.5 +1.5
Jacob Turner↔ CHC 23 – 200.7 0.2 +1.7
Bryan Morris↔ PIT 27 pre-arb 390.5 0.3 +1.1
Adeiny Hechavarría 25 pre-arb 1460.5 2.2 -0.9
Derek Dietrich 24 pre-arb 490.4 0.5 +0.6
Enrique Hernández↔ HOU 22 – 180.4 0.1 +1.1
Garrett Jones 33 FA-elig 1460.3 2.8 -1.8
Carter Capps 23 pre-arb 170.3 0.5 +0.4
Sam Dyson 26 pre-arb 310.3 0.5 +0.3
Jeff Mathis 31 FA-elig 640.2 1.5 -1.0
Justin Bour 26 – 390.2 0.3 +0.2
Dan Jennings 27 pre-arb 470.2 0.5 -0.0
Jordany Valdespin 26 pre-arb 520.1 0.2 +0.2
Anthony DeSclafani 24 – 130.1 0.2 +0.2
Brian Flynn 24 pre-arb 20.1 0.5 -0.1
Brad Hand 24 arb 320.1 0.5 -0.2
Kevin Slowey 30 FA-elig 170.1 0.8 -0.5
Ed Lucas 32 pre-arb 690.1 0.5 -0.3
Randy Wolf 37 – 6-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Brad Penny 36 – 8-0.1 – –
J.T. Realmuto 23 – 11-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Jeff Baker 33 FA-elig 90-0.1 1.6 -1.9
Henry Alberto Rodriguez 27 – 2-0.1 – –
Rafael Furcal 36 FA-elig 9-0.2 3.5 -4.0
Arquimedes Caminero 27 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Greg Dobbs↔ WSN 35 FA-elig 15-0.2 0.7 -1.3
Kevin Gregg 36 FA-elig 12-0.2 1.3 -2.0
Jake Marisnick↔ HOU 23 pre-arb 14-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Andrew Heaney 23 – 7-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Carlos Marmol 31 FA-elig 15-0.5 1.2 -2.6
Reed Johnson 37 FA-elig 113-0.5 1.0 -2.6
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 29 FA-elig 114-2.0 6.0 -11.7

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
Casey McGehee1.9
Jarred Cosart1.2
Bryan Morris0.5
Enrique Hernández0.4
Garrett Jones0.3
Carter Capps0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Ricky Nolasco1.7
Justin Ruggiano1.4
Ryan Webb0.5
Placido Polanco0.5
Chad Qualls0.5
Wade LeBlanc0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$46.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Jarrod Saltalamacchia296.043$6.0M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Rafael Furcal3614.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Jeff Baker337.049$1.6M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Jeff Mathis317.012$1.5M$1.5M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Kevin Gregg369.161$1.3MFREE AGENT
Carlos Marmol318.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Reed Johnson3710.145$1.0MFREE AGENT
Kevin Slowey307.000$800kFREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs3510.000$708kFREE AGENT
Randy Wolf3712.151$180kFREE AGENT
Brad Penny3614.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Giancarlo Stanton243.118$6.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Jones334.158$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Dunn293.079$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey McGehee314.028$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Henderson Alvarez243.000$525kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarred Cosart243.113$167kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Alberto Rodriguez275.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Steve Cishek282.143$3.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adeiny Hechavarría251.060$2.2MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Fernández211.000$635kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nathan Eovaldi242.013$517kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Koehler281.016$515kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donovan Solano261.125$511kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Lucas321.000$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Ramos271.030$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Yelich220.069$505kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcell Ozuna230.153$505kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Dietrich240.076$501kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Jennings271.017$501kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carter Capps231.050$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arquimedes Caminero271.060$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Hand240.092$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hatcher291.016$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Flynn240.027$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Dyson260.046$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Morris271.011$332kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Bour260.000$320kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Turner231.033$203kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordany Valdespin261.148$197kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony DeSclafani240.000$169kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney230.000$123kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick230.069$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.T. Realmuto230.000$96kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Hernández220.000$70kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2014; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.