RRosternomics

Dodgers LAD

GM: Fred Claire

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.06× league · TAB +4.0
+4.0TAB — talent above budget9th/28
+4.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/28
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/28
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/28
21%dead money %10th/28
0.542win %7th/28
34.6roster fWAR10th/28
-1surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/28
$35Mpayroll $M11th/28

1995: made playoffs · 78–66. Ranks are vs the 28 teams that season.

Roster

CFBrett Butler 128GRoberto Kelly 72GTodd Hollandsworth 25G
LFBilly Ashley 69GRoberto Kelly 61GRick Parker 19G
RFRaúl Mondesi 114GMitch Webster 11GRoger Cedeno 5G
SSJose Offerman 115GChad Fonville 38GJuan Castro 4G
2BDelino DeShields 113GChad Fonville 38GGarey Ingram 7G
3BTim Wallach 96GDave Hansen 58GGarey Ingram 12G
1BEric Karros 143GMike Busch 2GChris Gwynn 2G
STARTERSHideo Nomo 4.7WARIsmael Valdez 3.4WARTom Candiotti 2.6WARRamon Martinez 2.4WARPedro Astacio 1.0WAR
CMike Piazza 112GCarlos Hernandez 41GTom Prince 17G
BULLPEN Todd Worrell 32svMark Guthrie 0hAntonio Osuna 0hJohn Cummings 0hRudy Seanez 0hOmar Daal 0hGreg Hansell 0hJoey Eischen 0h
CMike Piazza 112 · Carlos Hernandez 41 · Tom Prince 17
1BEric Karros 143 · Mike Busch 2 · Chris Gwynn 2
2BDelino DeShields 113 · Chad Fonville 38 · Garey Ingram 7
3BTim Wallach 96 · Dave Hansen 58 · Garey Ingram 12
SSJose Offerman 115 · Chad Fonville 38 · Juan Castro 4
LFBilly Ashley 69 · Roberto Kelly 61 · Rick Parker 19
CFBrett Butler 128 · Roberto Kelly 72 · Todd Hollandsworth 25
RFRaúl Mondesi 114 · Mitch Webster 11 · Roger Cedeno 5
SPHideo Nomo 4.7 · Ismael Valdez 3.4 · Tom Candiotti 2.6 · Ramon Martinez 2.4 · Pedro Astacio 1.0
BP Todd Worrell 32 · Mark Guthrie 0 · Antonio Osuna 0 · John Cummings 0 · Rudy Seanez 0 · Omar Daal 0 · Greg Hansell 0 · Joey Eischen 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Piazza 26 arb 1126.0 0.9 +4.8
Hideo Nomo 26 pre-arb 284.7 2.1 +2.4
Eric Karros 27 arb 1434.5 2.4 +1.9
Raul Mondesi 24 pre-arb 1394.1 0.4 +3.5
Ismael Valdez 21 pre-arb 333.4 0.1 +3.2
Delino DeShields 26 arb 1272.9 3.0 -0.2
Tom Candiotti 38 FA-elig 302.6 4.5 -2.0
Ramon Martinez 27 FA-elig 302.4 3.9 -1.6
Jose Offerman 26 arb 1191.8 1.6 +0.1
Tim Wallach 37 FA-elig 971.4 2.0 -0.7
Todd Worrell 35 FA-elig 591.3 4.7 -3.4
Pedro Astacio 26 arb 481.0 0.4 +0.5
Chad Fonville↔ WSN 24 pre-arb 880.7 0.1 +0.6
Dave Hansen 26 arb 1000.6 0.3 +0.3
Kevin Tapani↔ MIN 31 FA-elig 130.6 1.4 -0.8
Willie Banks↔ CHC 26 arb 60.4 0.1 +0.3
Mark Guthrie↔ MIN 29 FA-elig 240.2 0.3 -0.1
Henry Rodriguez↔ WSN 27 arb 210.2 0.1 +0.1
Antonio Osuna 22 pre-arb 390.2 0.1 +0.1
Brett Butler↔ NYM 38 FA-elig 390.2 0.6 -0.4
John Cummings↔ SEA 26 pre-arb 350.2 0.1 +0.1
Tom Prince 30 FA-elig 180.2 0.3 -0.1
Rick Parker 32 270.1
Juan Castro 23 pre-arb 110.1 0.1 +0.0
Mike Busch 26 pre-arb 130.1 0.1 -0.0
Jim Bruske 30 90.1
Chan Ho Park 22 pre-arb 20.0 0.1 -0.1
Joey Eischen 25 17-0.0
Noe Munoz 27 2-0.0
Chris Gwynn 30 FA-elig 67-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Dick Schofield↔ ANA 32 FA-elig 9-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Reggie Williams 29 15-0.1
Rob Murphy↔ MIA 35 FA-elig 6-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Eddie Pye 28 7-0.2
Jeff Treadway↔ WSN 32 FA-elig 17-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Todd Williams 24 16-0.2
Omar Daal 23 pre-arb 28-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Jose Parra↔ MIN 22 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.0 -0.2
Garey Ingram 24 44-0.2
Felix Rodriguez 22 11-0.2
Karim Garcia 19 pre-arb 13-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Carlos Hernandez 28 arb 45-0.3 0.3 -0.6
Todd Hollandsworth 22 pre-arb 41-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Rudy Seanez 26 FA-elig 37-0.3 0.3 -0.7
Greg Hansell 24 pre-arb 20-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Mitch Webster 36 FA-elig 54-0.4 0.2 -0.6
Billy Ashley 24 arb 81-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Roger Cedeno 20 pre-arb 40-0.5 0.1 -0.6
Roberto Kelly↔ WSN 30 FA-elig 112-0.8 3.1 -3.8

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Hideo Nomo4.7
Chad Fonville0.7
Kevin Tapani0.6
Willie Banks0.4
Mark Guthrie0.2
Antonio Osuna0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Kevin Gross3.6
Orel Hershiser1.3
Darren Dreifort0.4
Al Osuna0.2
Roger McDowell-0.0
Jim Gott-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$35.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Todd Worrell3510.000$4.7M$4.0M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Tom Candiotti3812.000$4.5M$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Ramon Martinez277.000$3.9M$4.8M$4.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Roberto Kelly308.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Tim Wallach3715.000$2.0M$224kFREE AGENT
Kevin Tapani316.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Brett Butler3814.000$605k$2.0M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez266.000$350kFREE AGENT
Mark Guthrie296.000$324k$870k$1.6M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Tom Prince308.000$306k$325k$350k$350kFREE AGENT
Chris Gwynn308.000$275kFREE AGENT
Mitch Webster3612.000$250kFREE AGENT
Dick Schofield3212.000$150kFREE AGENT
Jeff Treadway328.000$147kFREE AGENT
Rob Murphy3510.000$107kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Delino DeShields265.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Karros274.000$2.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Offerman265.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Mike Piazza263.000$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Astacio263.000$425kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Hansen265.000$325kFREE AGENT
Carlos Hernandez285.000$300kFREE AGENT
Billy Ashley243.000$136kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Rodriguez273.000$98kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Banks264.000$51kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Parker325.000FREE AGENT
Reggie Williams293.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Hideo Nomo260.000$2.1MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Mondesi242.000$435kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Daal232.000$156kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Cummings262.000$139kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ismael Valdez211.000$136kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park221.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Karim Garcia190.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Cedeno200.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Busch260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Castro230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Hansell240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Osuna220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Hollandsworth220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Fonville240.000$94kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Parra220.000$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Bruske300.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Eischen251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garey Ingram241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Pye28
Felix Rodriguez220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Williams240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noe Munoz27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3