RRosternomics

Dodgers LAD

GM: Fred Claire

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.09× league · TAB -3.7
-3.7TAB — talent above budget13th/28
-0.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/28
-4.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/28
25%dead money %8th/28
0.509win %10th/28
22.2roster fWAR11th/28
-9surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/28
$35Mpayroll $M11th/28

Roster

CFBrett Butler 111GRaúl Mondesi 15G
LFHenry Rodriguez 85GMitch Webster 45GCory Snyder 40G
RFRaúl Mondesi 109GCory Snyder 13GHenry Rodriguez 6G
SSJose Offerman 72GRafael Bournigal 40GDelino DeShields 10G
2BDelino DeShields 88GJeff Treadway 24GGarey Ingram 23G
3BTim Wallach 113GDave Hansen 7GCory Snyder 6G
1BEric Karros 109GHenry Rodriguez 17GCory Snyder 9G
STARTERSKevin Gross 3.6WARRamon Martinez 2.5WARTom Candiotti 2.5WAROrel Hershiser 1.3WARPedro Astacio 1.1WAR
CMike Piazza 104GCarlos Hernandez 27GTom Prince 3G
BULLPEN Todd Worrell 11svJim Gott 0hRoger McDowell 0hDarren Dreifort 0hOmar Daal 0hIsmael Valdez 0hGary Wayne 0hRudy Seanez 0h
CMike Piazza 104 · Carlos Hernandez 27 · Tom Prince 3
1BEric Karros 109 · Henry Rodriguez 17 · Cory Snyder 9
2BDelino DeShields 88 · Jeff Treadway 24 · Garey Ingram 23
3BTim Wallach 113 · Dave Hansen 7 · Cory Snyder 6
SSJose Offerman 72 · Rafael Bournigal 40 · Delino DeShields 10
LFHenry Rodriguez 85 · Mitch Webster 45 · Cory Snyder 40
CFBrett Butler 111 · Raúl Mondesi 15
RFRaúl Mondesi 109 · Cory Snyder 13 · Henry Rodriguez 6
SPKevin Gross 3.6 · Ramon Martinez 2.5 · Tom Candiotti 2.5 · Orel Hershiser 1.3 · Pedro Astacio 1.1
BP Todd Worrell 11 · Jim Gott 0 · Roger McDowell 0 · Darren Dreifort 0 · Omar Daal 0 · Ismael Valdez 0 · Gary Wayne 0 · Rudy Seanez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Piazza 25 pre-arb 1073.8 0.6 +3.8
Kevin Gross 33 FA-elig 253.6 2.7 +1.4
Brett Butler 37 FA-elig 1113.3 3.5 +0.3
Tom Candiotti 37 FA-elig 232.5 3.6 -0.8
Ramon Martinez 26 FA-elig 242.5 2.7 +0.2
Tim Wallach 36 FA-elig 1132.4 3.4 -0.6
Raul Mondesi 23 pre-arb 1121.8 0.1 +2.0
Delino DeShields 25 arb 891.5 2.7 -1.0
Orel Hershiser 35 FA-elig 211.3 3.3 -1.8
Pedro Astacio 25 pre-arb 231.1 0.3 +1.0
Todd Worrell 34 FA-elig 380.8 2.4 -1.5
Eric Karros 26 arb 1110.6 0.7 +0.0
Darren Dreifort 22 pre-arb 280.4 0.1 +0.4
Ismael Valdez 20 pre-arb 210.4 0.1 +0.4
Dave Hansen 25 arb 400.3 0.3 +0.1
Mitch Webster 35 FA-elig 820.3 0.6 -0.3
Al Osuna 28 150.2
Garey Ingram 23 260.2
Jeff Treadway 31 FA-elig 520.1 0.5 -0.4
Omar Daal 22 pre-arb 240.1 0.1 -0.1
Tom Prince 29 FA-elig 30.1 0.3 -0.2
Rudy Seanez 25 170.0
Billy Ashley 23 pre-arb 20.0 0.1 -0.1
Roger McDowell 33 FA-elig 32-0.0 1.4 -1.4
Chan Ho Park 21 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jim Gott 34 FA-elig 37-0.1 1.8 -1.9
Brian Barnes↔ CLE 27 5-0.1
Eddie Pye 27 7-0.1
Gary Wayne 31 arb 19-0.2 0.3 -0.5
Chris Gwynn 29 FA-elig 58-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Carlos Hernandez 27 arb 32-0.3 0.3 -0.6
Cory Snyder 31 FA-elig 73-0.8 1.5 -2.4
Rafael Bournigal 28 pre-arb 40-0.8 0.1 -1.1
Henry Rodriguez 26 pre-arb 104-1.0 0.2 -1.3
Jose Offerman 25 arb 72-1.3 0.5 -2.0

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Delino DeShields1.5
Darren Dreifort0.4
Ismael Valdez0.4
Al Osuna0.2
Garey Ingram0.2
Jeff Treadway0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Pedro Martínez1.6
Jody Reed0.9
Ricky Trlicek0.5
Kip Gross0.4
John DeSilva0.1
Tom Goodwin0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$34.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Tom Candiotti3711.000$3.6M$4.5M$3.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Brett Butler3713.000$3.5M$1.4M$2.0M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Tim Wallach3614.000$3.4M$2.0M$224kFREE AGENT
Orel Hershiser3511.000$3.3MFREE AGENT$2.0M
Kevin Gross3311.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Ramon Martinez266.000$2.7M$3.9M$4.8M$4.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Todd Worrell349.000$2.4M$4.7M$4.0M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Jim Gott3412.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Cory Snyder318.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Roger McDowell339.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Mitch Webster3511.000$600k$250kFREE AGENT
Jeff Treadway317.000$500k$353kFREE AGENT
Tom Prince297.000$275k$306k$325k$350k$350kFREE AGENT
Chris Gwynn297.000$250k$275kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Delino DeShields254.000$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Karros263.000$650kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Offerman254.000$515kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Wayne315.000$350kFREE AGENT
Dave Hansen254.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Hernandez274.000$265kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Barnes274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Al Osuna284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez255.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Mike Piazza252.000$600kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Astacio252.000$325kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Rodriguez262.000$177kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Daal221.000$147kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Ashley232.000$134kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Bournigal282.000$134kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Mondesi231.000$126kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Dreifort220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ismael Valdez200.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garey Ingram230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Pye27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3