RRosternomics
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Rockies COL

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GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.97× league · TAB -7.9
-7.9TAB — talent above budget24th/30
-8.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-7.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag26th/30
25%dead money %9th/30
0.451win %21st/30
26.0roster fWAR23rd/30
-30surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$93Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFDexter Fowler 122GCarlos González 30GRyan Spilborghs 13G
LFCarlos González 61GEric Young Jr. 35GRyan Spilborghs 29G
RFSeth Smith 107GCarlos González 34GRyan Spilborghs 29G
SSTroy Tulowitzki 140GJonathan Herrera 21GTommy Field 15G
2BMark Ellis 123GJonathan Herrera 62GChris Nelson 29G
3BKevin Kouzmanoff 71GTy Wigginton 68GIan Stewart 42G
1BTodd Helton 119GTy Wigginton 36GJason Giambi 23G
STARTERSJhoulys Chacín 2.2WARJorge De La Rosa 1.5WARJuan Nicasio 1.3WARJason Hammel 1.0WARKevin Millwood 0.8WAR
CChris Iannetta 105GEliezer Alfonzo 19GJose Morales 17G
DHJason Giambi 6GEric Young Jr. 1G
BULLPEN★ Huston Street 29svRafael Betancourt 21hMatt Reynolds 18hRex Brothers 16hMatt Belisle 14hMatt Lindstrom 14hJosh Roenicke 4hJ.C. Romero 3h
CChris Iannetta 105 · Eliezer Alfonzo 19 · Jose Morales 17
1BTodd Helton 119 · Ty Wigginton 36 · Jason Giambi 23
2BMark Ellis 123 · Jonathan Herrera 62 · Chris Nelson 29
3BKevin Kouzmanoff 71 · Ty Wigginton 68 · Ian Stewart 42
SSTroy Tulowitzki 140 · Jonathan Herrera 21 · Tommy Field 15
LFCarlos González 61 · Eric Young Jr. 35 · Ryan Spilborghs 29
CFDexter Fowler 122 · Carlos González 30 · Ryan Spilborghs 13
RFSeth Smith 107 · Carlos González 34 · Ryan Spilborghs 29
DHJason Giambi 6 · Eric Young Jr. 1
SPJhoulys Chacín 2.2 · Jorge De La Rosa 1.5 · Juan Nicasio 1.3 · Jason Hammel 1.0 · Kevin Millwood 0.8
BP★ Huston Street 29 · Rafael Betancourt 21 · Matt Reynolds 18 · Rex Brothers 16 · Matt Belisle 14 · Matt Lindstrom 14 · Josh Roenicke 4 · J.C. Romero 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Troy Tulowitzki 26 arb 1435.4 5.5 +7.7
Carlos González 25 arb 1273.5 1.4 +7.1
Todd Helton 37 FA-elig 1242.3 20.3 -14.6
Jhoulys Chacín 23 pre-arb 332.2 0.4 +4.9
Dexter Fowler 25 arb 1252.1 0.4 +4.7
Ubaldo Jiménez↔ CLE 27 arb 212.0 1.8 +3.1
Rafael Betancourt 36 FA-elig 681.7 3.8 +0.4
Jorge De La Rosa 30 FA-elig 101.5 10.0 -6.3
Chris Iannetta 28 arb 1121.3 2.5 +0.7
Matt Belisle 31 FA-elig 741.3 2.4 +0.9
Juan Nicasio 24 – 131.3 0.4 +2.7
Seth Smith 28 arb 1471.2 0.4 +2.5
Mark Ellis↔ OAK 34 FA-elig 701.2 3.2 -0.3
Jason Giambi 40 FA-elig 641.2 1.0 +1.8
Jason Hammel 28 arb 331.0 3.0 -0.4
Kevin Millwood 36 – 90.8 – –
Matt Lindstrom 31 arb 630.8 2.8 -0.9
Rex Brothers 23 – 480.7 – –
Drew Pomeranz 22 – 40.7 0.0 +1.5
Aaron Cook 32 FA-elig 230.6 9.9 -8.3
Huston Street 27 FA-elig 620.4 7.3 -6.3
Wilin Rosario 22 – 160.3 – –
Eric Young Jr. 26 – 770.1 0.4 -0.1
Josh Roenicke 28 – 190.1 – –
J.C. Romero↔ PHI 35 FA-elig 120.1 0.5 -0.3
Edgmer Escalona 24 pre-arb 140.1 0.4 -0.3
Jim Miller 29 – 60.0 – –
Alan Johnson 27 – 10.0 – –
Matt Daley 29 – 70.0 – –
Bruce Billings↔ OAK 25 – 10.0 – –
Edgar Gonzalez 28 – 10.0 – –
Cole Garner 26 – 4-0.0 – –
Kevin Kouzmanoff↔ OAK 29 arb 27-0.0 1.8 -1.8
Tommy Field 24 – 16-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Jose Morales 28 arb 22-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Eliezer Alfonzo 32 – 25-0.0 – –
Franklin Morales↔ BOS 25 arb 14-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Héctor Gómez 23 – 2-0.1 – –
Felipe Paulino↔ KCR 27 arb 18-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Alfredo Amezaga↔ MIA 33 – 20-0.1 – –
Matt Pagnozzi↔ PIT 28 – 7-0.1 – –
Eric Stults 31 – 6-0.2 – –
Esmil Rogers 25 pre-arb 22-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Ty Wigginton 33 FA-elig 130-0.2 3.5 -4.1
Greg Reynolds 25 – 13-0.3 – –
Matt Reynolds 26 pre-arb 73-0.3 0.4 -1.0
Jonathan Herrera 26 arb 104-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Clayton Mortensen 26 – 16-0.3 – –
Jordan Pacheco 25 – 21-0.4 – –
Jose Lopez↔ MIA 27 FA-elig 38-0.5 1.7 -2.8
Ian Stewart 26 arb 48-0.7 2.3 -4.1
Charlie Blackmon 24 FA-elig 27-0.7 0.4 -2.2
Chris Nelson 25 pre-arb 63-0.9 0.4 -2.5
Alex White↔ CLE 22 pre-arb 7-0.9 0.3 -2.5
Ryan Spilborghs 31 FA-elig 98-1.5 1.9 -5.5

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Nicasio1.3
Mark Ellis1.2
Kevin Millwood0.8
Matt Lindstrom0.8
Rex Brothers0.7
Drew Pomeranz0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Miguel Olivo2.5
Jeff Francis1.6
Clint Barmes0.2
Jay Payton0.2
Brad Hawpe0.2
Melvin Mora0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$92.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Todd Helton3713.059$20.3M$4.9M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge De La Rosa307.000$10.0M$10.0M$11.0M$11.0M$12.5M$12.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Cook328.020$9.9MFREE AGENT
Huston Street276.000$7.3MFREE AGENT
Rafael Betancourt3610.079$3.8M$4.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Ty Wigginton337.169$3.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Ellis348.136$3.2MFREE AGENT
Matt Lindstrom318.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Lopez277.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jason Giambi4015.082$1.0M$1.0MFREE AGENT
J.C. Romero3510.055$450kFREE AGENT
Charlie Blackmon2412.102$414k$480k$270k$501k$518k$3.5M$7.3M
Kevin Millwood3614.000—FREE AGENT
Alfredo Amezaga339.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Troy Tulowitzki264.033$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Hammel283.153$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta284.013$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Belisle315.019$2.4MFREE AGENT
Ian Stewart264.171$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Spilborghs314.072$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez273.087$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Kouzmanoff294.030$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eliezer Alfonzo325.000—FREE AGENT
Edgar Gonzalez284.142—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (31)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Carlos González252.059$1.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Smith282.119$429kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dexter Fowler252.010$424kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Morales282.052$420kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín231.012$419kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Herrera261.001$419kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmil Rogers250.135$417kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Reynolds261.000$415kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nelson252.171$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Field240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Nicasio240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgmer Escalona241.152$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.262.000$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Paulino272.163$365kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex White222.155$290kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklin Morales252.007$119kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Pomeranz220.000$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Pagnozzi28–—
Eric Stults310.097—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Garner26–—
Greg Reynolds25–—
Jordan Pacheco252.073—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Daley292.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Miller290.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Gómez230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clayton Mortensen262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Johnson27–—
Wilin Rosario220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Billings25–—
Josh Roenicke282.062—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rex Brothers230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.