RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.94× league · TAB +2.4
+2.4TAB — talent above budget15th/30
+1.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/30
-3.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
49%dead money %26th/30
0.512win %14th/30
35.9roster fWAR16th/30
-2surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$86Mpayroll $M14th/30

Roster

CFDexter Fowler 120GCarlos González 58GRyan Spilborghs 6G
LFSeth Smith 71GCarlos González 63GRyan Spilborghs 46G
RFRyan Spilborghs 62GCarlos González 40GSeth Smith 33G
SSTroy Tulowitzki 122GClint Barmes 47GJonathan Herrera 7G
2BClint Barmes 88GJonathan Herrera 57GEric Young Jr. 35G
3BIan Stewart 115GMelvin Mora 63GJonathan Herrera 16G
1BTodd Helton 115GJason Giambi 37GMelvin Mora 25G
STARTERSUbaldo Jiménez 5.5WARJason Hammel 2.9WARJhoulys Chacín 2.4WARJeff Francis 1.6WARJorge De La Rosa 1.3WAR
CMiguel Olivo 111GChris Iannetta 52GPaul Phillips 10G
DHJason Giambi 8GChris Iannetta 1G
BULLPEN Octavio Dotel 22svRafael Betancourt 23hMatt Belisle 21hJoe Beimel 20hManny Delcarmen 9hManny Corpas 2hFranklin Morales 1hHuston Street 0h
CMiguel Olivo 111 · Chris Iannetta 52 · Paul Phillips 10
1BTodd Helton 115 · Jason Giambi 37 · Melvin Mora 25
2BClint Barmes 88 · Jonathan Herrera 57 · Eric Young Jr. 35
3BIan Stewart 115 · Melvin Mora 63 · Jonathan Herrera 16
SSTroy Tulowitzki 122 · Clint Barmes 47 · Jonathan Herrera 7
LFSeth Smith 71 · Carlos González 63 · Ryan Spilborghs 46
CFDexter Fowler 120 · Carlos González 58 · Ryan Spilborghs 6
RFRyan Spilborghs 62 · Carlos González 40 · Seth Smith 33
DHJason Giambi 8 · Chris Iannetta 1
SPUbaldo Jiménez 5.5 · Jason Hammel 2.9 · Jhoulys Chacín 2.4 · Jeff Francis 1.6 · Jorge De La Rosa 1.3
BP Octavio Dotel 22 · Rafael Betancourt 23 · Matt Belisle 21 · Joe Beimel 20 · Manny Delcarmen 9 · Manny Corpas 2 · Franklin Morales 1 · Huston Street 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carlos González 24 pre-arb 1455.7 0.4 +13.1
Troy Tulowitzki 25 arb 1225.5 3.5 +9.5
Ubaldo Jiménez 26 arb 335.5 1.2 +11.6
Jason Hammel 27 arb 302.9 1.9 +4.9
Miguel Olivo 31 FA-elig 1122.5 2.0 +3.8
Jhoulys Chacín 22 282.4 0.4 +5.2
Matt Belisle 30 FA-elig 762.1 0.8 +4.1
Rafael Betancourt 35 FA-elig 721.8 3.8 +0.5
Jeff Francis 29 FA-elig 201.6 5.8 -2.0
Jorge De La Rosa 29 FA-elig 201.3 5.6 -2.5
Seth Smith 27 arb 1331.3 0.4 +2.6
Esmil Rogers 24 pre-arb 331.2 0.4 +2.5
Dexter Fowler 24 pre-arb 1321.0 0.4 +1.9
Aaron Cook 31 FA-elig 281.0 9.6 -7.4
Huston Street 26 arb 440.8 7.2 -5.3
Ian Stewart 25 arb 1210.7 0.4 +1.3
Manny Corpas 27 arb 560.4 2.8 -1.7
Jonathan Herrera 25 760.4 0.3 +0.6
Clint Barmes 31 FA-elig 1330.2 3.3 -2.7
Jay Payton 37 200.2
Brad Hawpe↔ TBR 31 FA-elig 880.2 6.4 -5.9
Matt Reynolds 25 210.2 0.1 +0.3
Melvin Mora 38 FA-elig 1130.2 1.3 -0.9
Matt Daley 28 pre-arb 280.1 0.4 -0.2
Brad Eldred 29 110.0
Edgmer Escalona 23 50.0
Greg Smith 26 pre-arb 100.0 0.4 -0.4
Juan Rincon 31 2-0.0
Manny Delcarmen↔ BOS 28 arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Joe Beimel 33 FA-elig 71-0.0 0.8 -0.9
Taylor Buchholz↔ TOR 28 arb 7-0.0 0.8 -0.9
Octavio Dotel↔ LAD 36 FA-elig 8-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Samuel Deduno 26 4-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Jason Giambi 39 FA-elig 87-0.1 1.8 -1.9
Paul Phillips 33 12-0.1
Chris Iannetta 27 arb 61-0.1 1.8 -2.0
Michael McKenry 25 6-0.2
Randy Flores↔ MIN 34 FA-elig 47-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Chris Nelson 24 17-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Eric Young Jr. 25 51-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Todd Helton 36 FA-elig 118-0.5 17.8 -19.0
Franklin Morales 24 arb 35-0.6 0.4 -1.7
Ryan Spilborghs 30 arb 134-0.9 1.3 -3.4

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Miguel Olivo2.5
Jeff Francis1.6
Jonathan Herrera0.4
Jay Payton0.2
Matt Reynolds0.2
Melvin Mora0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Jason Marquis3.3
Yorvit Torrealba0.7
Glendon Rusch0.2
Jose Contreras0.1
Jason Grilli0.1
Matt Murton0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$85.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Todd Helton3613.000$17.8M$20.3M$4.9M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Cook318.000$9.6M$9.9MFREE AGENT
Brad Hawpe316.000$6.4MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francis296.000$5.8MFREE AGENT$307k$1.5M
Jorge De La Rosa296.000$5.6M$10.0M$10.0M$11.0M$11.0M$12.5M$12.5M
Rafael Betancourt357.000$3.8M$3.8M$4.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Clint Barmes317.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Miguel Olivo318.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Giambi3915.000$1.8M$1.0M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Melvin Mora3811.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Joe Beimel339.000$850kFREE AGENT
Matt Belisle307.000$850k$2.4M$3.8M$4.1M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Randy Flores348.000$527kFREE AGENT
Octavio Dotel3611.000$412kFREE AGENT
Jay Payton3712.000FREE AGENT
Paul Phillips336.000FREE AGENT
Juan Rincon319.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Huston Street265.000$7.2MFREE AGENT
Troy Tulowitzki254.000$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Corpas274.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Hammel274.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta274.000$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Spilborghs305.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez264.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Buchholz284.000$821kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Stewart253.000$408kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Smith273.000$407kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklin Morales243.000$406kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Delcarmen285.000$143kFREE AGENT
Brad Eldred295.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Dexter Fowler242.000$406kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Smith262.000$406kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos González242.000$406kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Daley281.000$404kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmil Rogers241.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín221.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.251.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nelson241.171$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Samuel Deduno260.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Herrera250.001$277kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Reynolds250.000$101kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgmer Escalona230.152Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael McKenry250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3