RRosternomics
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Rockies COL

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GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.77× league · TAB -10.1
-10.1TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-14.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-5.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag15th/30
49%dead money %28th/30
0.395win %28th/30
21.0roster fWAR26th/30
-20surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$77Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFDexter Fowler 131GTyler Colvin 38GEric Young Jr. 15G
LFCarlos González 131GCharlie Blackmon 15GAndrew Brown 12G
RFMichael Cuddyer 74GTyler Colvin 59GAndrew Brown 24G
SSJosh Rutledge 57GTroy Tulowitzki 47GJonathan Herrera 42G
2BDJ LeMahieu 67GChris Nelson 21GJonathan Herrera 19G
3BChris Nelson 92GJordan Pacheco 82GJonathan Herrera 13G
1BTodd Helton 67GJordan Pacheco 43GTyler Colvin 31G
STARTERSJeff Francis 1.4WARDrew Pomeranz 1.1WARJuan Nicasio 0.9WARJhoulys Chacín 0.7WARChristian Friedrich 0.7WAR
CWilin Rosario 105GRamon Hernandez 46GJordan Pacheco 5G
DHJason Giambi 6GEric Young Jr. 1G
BULLPEN★ Rafael Betancourt 31svMatt Belisle 26hRex Brothers 18hJosh Roenicke 8hAdam Ottavino 6hMatt Reynolds 2hCarlos Torres 1hGuillermo Moscoso 1h
CWilin Rosario 105 · Ramon Hernandez 46 · Jordan Pacheco 5
1BTodd Helton 67 · Jordan Pacheco 43 · Tyler Colvin 31
2BDJ LeMahieu 67 · Chris Nelson 21 · Jonathan Herrera 19
3BChris Nelson 92 · Jordan Pacheco 82 · Jonathan Herrera 13
SSJosh Rutledge 57 · Troy Tulowitzki 47 · Jonathan Herrera 42
LFCarlos González 131 · Charlie Blackmon 15 · Andrew Brown 12
CFDexter Fowler 131 · Tyler Colvin 38 · Eric Young Jr. 15
RFMichael Cuddyer 74 · Tyler Colvin 59 · Andrew Brown 24
DHJason Giambi 6 · Eric Young Jr. 1
SPJeff Francis 1.4 · Drew Pomeranz 1.1 · Juan Nicasio 0.9 · Jhoulys Chacín 0.7 · Christian Friedrich 0.7
BP★ Rafael Betancourt 31 · Matt Belisle 26 · Rex Brothers 18 · Josh Roenicke 8 · Adam Ottavino 6 · Matt Reynolds 2 · Carlos Torres 1 · Guillermo Moscoso 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dexter Fowler 26 arb 1433.0 2.4 +5.4
Carlos González 26 arb 1352.7 5.0 +2.0
Tyler Colvin 26 arb 1362.2 0.5 +5.1
Matt Belisle 32 FA-elig 801.8 3.8 +0.7
Eric Young Jr. 27 arb 981.5 0.5 +3.3
Jeff Francis 31 FA-elig 241.4 0.3 +3.3
Rafael Betancourt 37 FA-elig 601.3 4.0 -0.6
Troy Tulowitzki 27 FA-elig 471.3 8.2 -4.8
Drew Pomeranz 23 pre-arb 221.1 0.3 +2.6
Rex Brothers 24 pre-arb 751.1 0.5 +2.2
Juan Nicasio 25 pre-arb 110.9 0.5 +1.8
Christian Friedrich 24 – 170.7 0.5 +1.4
Michael Cuddyer 33 FA-elig 1010.7 10.5 -8.7
Wilin Rosario 23 pre-arb 1170.7 0.5 +1.3
Jhoulys Chacín 24 arb 140.7 0.5 +1.3
Josh Rutledge 23 arb 730.6 0.5 +1.0
Charlie Blackmon 25 pre-arb 420.6 0.5 +1.0
Carlos Torres 29 pre-arb 320.5 0.5 +0.9
Adam Ottavino 26 pre-arb 530.5 0.5 +0.8
Alex White 23 pre-arb 280.4 0.5 +0.6
DJ LeMahieu 23 pre-arb 810.4 0.5 +0.5
Marco Scutaro↔ SFG 36 FA-elig 950.4 3.7 -2.7
Tyler Chatwood 22 pre-arb 230.3 0.5 +0.4
Chris Nelson 26 pre-arb 1110.2 0.5 +0.1
Guillermo Moscoso 28 pre-arb 230.2 0.5 -0.0
Mike Ekstrom 28 – 150.2 – –
Andrew Brown 27 pre-arb 460.1 0.5 -0.1
Rob Scahill 25 – 60.1 – –
Esmil Rogers↔ CLE 26 arb 230.1 0.2 +0.2
Rafael Ortega 21 – 20.1 0.0 +0.3
Jonathan Herrera 27 arb 860.1 0.5 -0.2
Josh Outman 27 arb 280.1 0.5 -0.2
Jamie Moyer 49 FA-elig 100.1 1.1 -0.9
Will Harris 27 – 200.1 0.1 +0.0
Todd Helton 38 FA-elig 690.0 4.9 -4.8
Zach Putnam 24 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Tommy Field 25 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Edgmer Escalona 25 pre-arb 22-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Jordan Pacheco 26 pre-arb 132-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Matt Reynolds 27 pre-arb 71-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Wil Nieves↔ ARI 34 – 16-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Josh Roenicke 29 arb 63-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Jonathan Sánchez↔ KCR 29 FA-elig 3-0.2 1.1 -1.6
Jorge De La Rosa 31 FA-elig 3-0.2 10.0 -10.6
Jason Giambi 41 FA-elig 60-0.3 1.0 -1.7
Edwar Cabrera 24 – 2-0.3 – –
Matt McBride 27 – 31-1.0 – –
Jeremy Guthrie↔ KCR 33 FA-elig 24-1.1 5.2 -7.9
Ramon Hernandez 36 FA-elig 52-1.2 3.2 -6.4

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Tyler Colvin2.2
Jeff Francis1.4
Christian Friedrich0.7
Michael Cuddyer0.7
Josh Rutledge0.6
Carlos Torres0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Ubaldo Jiménez2.0
Chris Iannetta1.3
Seth Smith1.2
Mark Ellis1.2
Jason Hammel1.0
Kevin Millwood0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$77.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Michael Cuddyer338.157$10.5M$10.5M$10.5MFREE AGENT
Jorge De La Rosa318.000$10.0M$11.0M$11.0M$12.5M$12.5MFREE AGENT
Todd Helton3814.059$4.9M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Betancourt3710.079$4.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Matt Belisle326.019$3.8M$4.1M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Marco Scutaro368.138$3.7MFREE AGENT
Ramon Hernandez3612.099$3.2MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4926.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jason Giambi4116.082$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francis317.040$307k$1.5MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Troy Tulowitzki275.033$8.2MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Guthrie335.130$5.2MFREE AGENT
Carlos González263.059$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Sánchez295.071$1.1MFREE AGENT
Josh Roenicke293.062$481kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.273.000$481kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Pacheco263.073$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rutledge233.090$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wil Nieves344.169$184kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Ekstrom284.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Dexter Fowler262.168$2.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín242.012$482kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Herrera272.001$482kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Outman272.102$482kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Reynolds272.000$481kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Colvin261.139$481kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rex Brothers240.117$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Field250.094$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Moscoso281.097$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Putnam240.016$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nelson262.171$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Torres290.071$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Blackmon251.000$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ LeMahieu230.053$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgmer Escalona251.152$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilin Rosario230.023$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Nicasio250.124$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex White232.155$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Brown270.015$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Ottavino260.117$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Friedrich240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Chatwood220.147$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Pomeranz230.018$310kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmil Rogers261.135$165kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Harris270.000$142kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Ortega210.000$10kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt McBride27–—
Edwar Cabrera240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Scahill250.147—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.