RRosternomics
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Reds CIN

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GM: Jim Bowden

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.71× league · TAB +14.3
+14.3TAB — talent above budget2nd/30
+18.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)1st/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-1.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
30%dead money %16th/30
0.589win %7th/30
44.5roster fWAR9th/30
+20surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/30
$34Mpayroll $M22nd/30

Roster

CFMike Cameron 146GJeffrey Hammonds 21GMichael Tucker 13G
LFGreg Vaughn 144GJeffrey Hammonds 46GDmitri Young 23G
RFMichael Tucker 107GDmitri Young 75GJeffrey Hammonds 53G
SSBarry Larkin 161GPokey Reese 16GGookie Dawkins 7G
2BPokey Reese 146GChris Stynes 43GMark Lewis 2G
3BAaron Boone 136GMark Lewis 52GChris Stynes 8G
1BSean Casey 148GHal Morris 25GDmitri Young 9G
STARTERSPete Harnisch 2.9WARRon Villone 2.0WARBrett Tomko 1.7WARSteve Parris 1.4WARJuan Guzmán 1.3WAR
CEddie Taubensee 124GBrian Johnson 39GJason LaRue 35G
DHGreg Vaughn 6GSean Casey 1GHal Morris 1G
BULLPEN★ Danny Graves 27svScott Sullivan 13hDennys Reyes 13hScott Williamson 5hGabe White 3hStan Belinda 2hRick Greene 0h
CEddie Taubensee 124 · Brian Johnson 39 · Jason LaRue 35
1BSean Casey 148 · Hal Morris 25 · Dmitri Young 9
2BPokey Reese 146 · Chris Stynes 43 · Mark Lewis 2
3BAaron Boone 136 · Mark Lewis 52 · Chris Stynes 8
SSBarry Larkin 161 · Pokey Reese 16 · Gookie Dawkins 7
LFGreg Vaughn 144 · Jeffrey Hammonds 46 · Dmitri Young 23
CFMike Cameron 146 · Jeffrey Hammonds 21 · Michael Tucker 13
RFMichael Tucker 107 · Dmitri Young 75 · Jeffrey Hammonds 53
DHGreg Vaughn 6 · Sean Casey 1 · Hal Morris 1
SPPete Harnisch 2.9 · Ron Villone 2.0 · Brett Tomko 1.7 · Steve Parris 1.4 · Juan Guzmán 1.3
BP★ Danny Graves 27 · Scott Sullivan 13 · Dennys Reyes 13 · Scott Williamson 5 · Gabe White 3 · Stan Belinda 2 · Rick Greene 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1999 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Cameron 26 arb 1465.3 0.3 +6.4
Barry Larkin 35 FA-elig 1615.1 5.3 +1.1
Pokey Reese 26 pre-arb 1494.3 0.3 +5.1
Sean Casey 24 pre-arb 1514.1 0.2 +4.9
Greg Vaughn 33 FA-elig 1533.5 5.6 -1.2
Pete Harnisch 32 FA-elig 332.9 3.0 +0.7
Aaron Boone 26 pre-arb 1392.4 0.2 +2.9
Jeffrey Hammonds 28 FA-elig 1232.4 2.5 +0.5
Scott Williamson 23 pre-arb 622.0 0.2 +2.4
Dmitri Young 25 arb 1272.0 0.4 +2.2
Ron Villone 29 – 292.0 – –
Brett Tomko 26 pre-arb 331.7 0.4 +1.7
Eddie Taubensee 30 FA-elig 1261.6 1.2 +0.8
Steve Parris 31 arb 221.4 0.3 +1.5
Juan Guzman↔ BAL 32 FA-elig 121.3 1.9 -0.2
Michael Tucker 28 arb 1331.0 1.6 -0.4
Dennys Reyes 22 pre-arb 650.8 0.2 +0.8
Danny Graves 25 arb 750.7 0.3 +0.6
Scott Sullivan 28 arb 790.5 0.3 +0.4
Mark Sweeney 29 arb 370.4 0.5 -0.0
Jason LaRue 25 pre-arb 360.3 0.2 +0.1
Denny Neagle 30 FA-elig 200.3 4.8 -4.4
Gabe White 27 arb 500.2 0.3 -0.1
Hal Morris 34 FA-elig 800.0 0.5 -0.4
B.J. Ryan↔ BAL 23 pre-arb 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Brian Johnson 31 arb 450.0 0.8 -0.8
Jason Bere↔ MIL 28 FA-elig 12-0.1 0.8 -0.9
Kerry Robinson 25 – 9-0.1 – –
Mark Lewis 29 FA-elig 88-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Rick Greene 28 – 1-0.1 – –
Gookie Dawkins 20 – 7-0.2 – –
John Hudek↔ ATL 32 arb 2-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Steve Avery 29 FA-elig 19-0.3 0.8 -1.1
Chris Stynes 26 arb 73-0.3 0.3 -0.6
Stan Belinda 32 FA-elig 29-0.3 0.8 -1.3

Key additions (new vs 1998)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Cameron5.3
Greg Vaughn3.5
Scott Williamson2.0
Ron Villone2.0
Juan Guzman1.3
Michael Tucker1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1998)

Player1998 fWAR
Willie Greene2.5
Reggie Sanders1.9
Bret Boone1.5
David Weathers1.3
Jeff Shaw1.2
Mike Remlinger0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

1999 payroll
$34.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1999, 1999–2005. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Greg Vaughn3310.000$5.6MFREE AGENT
Barry Larkin3513.000$5.3M$5.3M$9.0M$9.0M$9.0M$700kFREE AGENT
Denny Neagle308.000$4.8M$2.6MFREE AGENT
Pete Harnisch3211.000$3.0M$3.2M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Jeffrey Hammonds286.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Juan Guzman328.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Eddie Taubensee308.000$1.2M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Jason Bere286.000$847kFREE AGENT
Stan Belinda3210.000$835kFREE AGENT
Steve Avery299.000$750kFREE AGENT
Mark Lewis298.000$500k$520kFREE AGENT
Hal Morris3411.000$450k$298kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Michael Tucker284.000$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Johnson315.000$775kFREE AGENT
Mark Sweeney294.000$515kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dmitri Young253.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabe White275.000$300kFREE AGENT
Scott Sullivan284.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Cameron264.000$295kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Parris314.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Stynes264.000$270kARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Graves253.000$260kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hudek325.000$80kFREE AGENT
Ron Villone294.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Brett Tomko262.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pokey Reese262.000$270kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Casey242.000$220kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Boone262.000$210kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennys Reyes222.000$202kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Williamson230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason LaRue250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
B.J. Ryan230.000$14kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kerry Robinson251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Greene28–—
Gookie Dawkins20–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Reds 1999; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.