Rosternomics
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Cubs CHC

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GM: Jed Hoyer (since 2012)

2015 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+14.4
WAB — wins above budget
+13.5
TAB — roster Talent above budget
97–65 (0.599)
record · made playoffs
+25M
surplus $M (value/$)
48.3
roster fWAR
$127.3M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jake Arrieta 29 arb 33 7.3 3.6 +19.3
Kris Bryant 23 – 151 6.1 0.5 +18.7
Anthony Rizzo 25 arb 160 5.2 5.0 +11.5
Jon Lester 31 FA-elig 32 4.5 20.0 -5.9
Chris Coghlan 30 FA-elig 148 3.1 2.5 +7.4
Miguel Montero 31 FA-elig 113 3.1 12.0 -2.2
Dexter Fowler 29 FA-elig 156 3.0 9.5 -0.2
Kyle Hendricks 25 pre-arb 32 2.7 0.5 +8.1
Addison Russell 21 – 142 2.6 0.5 +7.6
Jason Hammel 32 FA-elig 32 2.3 9.0 -1.7
Kyle Schwarber 22 – 69 1.8 0.2 +5.4
Héctor Rondón 27 pre-arb 72 1.6 0.5 +4.4
Travis Wood 28 arb 60 1.2 5.7 -2.0
Pedro Strop 30 FA-elig 76 1.0 2.5 +0.6
Justin Grimm 26 arb 62 0.6 0.5 +1.3
Starlin Castro 25 arb 151 0.6 6.9 -5.0
Chris Denorfia 34 FA-elig 103 0.4 2.6 -1.2
Clayton Richard 31 arb 23 0.4 0.2 +1.2
Javier Báez 22 pre-arb 28 0.4 0.1 +1.3
Jason Motte 33 FA-elig 57 0.4 4.5 -3.2
Edwin Jackson↔ ATL 31 FA-elig 23 0.3 6.9 -5.9
David Ross 38 FA-elig 72 0.3 2.5 -1.7
Jorge Soler 23 pre-arb 101 0.3 2.7 -1.9
Dan Haren↔ MIA 34 FA-elig 11 0.2 3.3 -2.7
Tommy La Stella 26 pre-arb 33 0.2 0.5 +0.1
Trevor Cahill↔ ATL 27 FA-elig 11 0.2 5.1 -4.5
Tsuyoshi Wada 34 pre-arb 8 0.2 4.0 -3.5
Dallas Beeler 26 pre-arb 3 0.1 0.5 -0.0
Donn Roach 25 – 1 0.1 0.0 +0.3
Neil Ramírez 26 pre-arb 19 0.1 0.5 -0.2
Gonzalez Germen↔ COL 27 – 6 0.1 0.0 +0.2
Fernando Rodney↔ SEA 38 FA-elig 14 0.1 1.4 -1.2
Phil Coke↔ TOR 32 FA-elig 16 0.1 2.0 -1.8
James Russell 29 arb 49 0.0 0.3 -0.2
Quintin Berry 30 pre-arb 8 0.0 0.1 +0.0
Austin Jackson↔ SEA 28 arb 29 0.0 1.6 -1.5
Carl Edwards Jr. 23 – 5 0.0 – –
Yoervis Medina↔ SEA 26 pre-arb 5 -0.0 0.2 -0.2
Mike Baxter 30 pre-arb 34 -0.1 0.0 -0.2
Matt Szczur 25 pre-arb 47 -0.1 0.5 -0.7
Welington Castillo↔ ARI 28 arb 24 -0.1 0.5 -0.7
Mike Olt↔ CHW 26 arb 6 -0.1 0.1 -0.4
Taylor Teagarden 31 arb 8 -0.1 0.1 -0.5
Junior Lake↔ BAL 25 – 21 -0.2 0.1 -0.7
Tommy Hunter↔ BAL 28 FA-elig 19 -0.2 1.5 -2.1
Rafael Soriano 35 – 6 -0.2 4.1 -4.8
Jonathan Herrera 30 FA-elig 73 -0.2 0.9 -1.6
Brian Schlitter 29 pre-arb 10 -0.3 0.1 -0.9
Arismendy Alcántara 23 pre-arb 11 -0.3 0.5 -1.5
Zac Rosscup 27 pre-arb 33 -0.4 0.4 -1.6

50 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 49 of them (98%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for CHC
Sammy Sosa199260.7
Ryne Sandberg198248.2
Anthony Rizzo201231.1
Aramis Ramírez200325.0
Kyle Hendricks201224.4
Derrek Lee200321.4
Jake Arrieta201319.6
Rick Sutcliffe198417.2
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Rafael Palmeiro198842.3
Dontrelle Willis200220.7
Dennis Eckersley198719.3
Ricky Nolasco200517.5
Jon Garland199817.2
Chris Archer201116.9
Gleyber Torres201615.9
Josh Donaldson200813.8
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.