RRosternomics

Red Sox BOS

GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.42× league · TAB -1.7
-1.7TAB — talent above budget18th/30
-1.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars20th/30
-5.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/30
46%dead money %26th/30
0.525win %11th/30
36.9roster fWAR14th/30
-24surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$78Mpayroll $M6th/30

Roster

CFCarl Everett 126GDarren Lewis 41GDonnie Sadler 13G
LFTroy O'Leary 137GDarren Lewis 18GBernard Gilkey 9G
RFTrot Nixon 115GDarren Lewis 37GMidre Cummings 36G
SSNomar Garciaparra 136GManny Alexander 20GDonnie Sadler 19G
2BMike Lansing 137GJose Offerman 80GDonnie Sadler 12G
3BManny Alexander 63GWilton Veras 49GLou Merloni 40G
1BBrian Daubach 83GRico Brogna 71GJose Offerman 38G
STARTERSPedro Martínez 9.4WARJeff Fassero 1.7WARTomo Ohka 1.0WARPete Schourek 0.9WARRamon Martinez 0.9WAR
CJason Varitek 128GScott Hatteberg 48G
DHBrian Daubach 39GDante Bichette 28GMorgan Burkhart 18G
BULLPEN Derek Lowe 42svRich Garces 17hRheal Cormier 9hHector Carrasco 8hRod Beck 6hHipolito Pichardo 4hBryce Florie 1hJesus Pena 0h
CJason Varitek 128 · Scott Hatteberg 48
1BBrian Daubach 83 · Rico Brogna 71 · Jose Offerman 38
2BMike Lansing 137 · Jose Offerman 80 · Donnie Sadler 12
3BManny Alexander 63 · Wilton Veras 49 · Lou Merloni 40
SSNomar Garciaparra 136 · Manny Alexander 20 · Donnie Sadler 19
LFTroy O'Leary 137 · Darren Lewis 18 · Bernard Gilkey 9
CFCarl Everett 126 · Darren Lewis 41 · Donnie Sadler 13
RFTrot Nixon 115 · Darren Lewis 37 · Midre Cummings 36
DHBrian Daubach 39 · Dante Bichette 28 · Morgan Burkhart 18
SPPedro Martínez 9.4 · Jeff Fassero 1.7 · Tomo Ohka 1.0 · Pete Schourek 0.9 · Ramon Martinez 0.9
BP Derek Lowe 42 · Rich Garces 17 · Rheal Cormier 9 · Hector Carrasco 8 · Rod Beck 6 · Hipolito Pichardo 4 · Bryce Florie 1 · Jesus Pena 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pedro Martínez 28 FA-elig 299.4 11.5 +1.8
Nomar Garciaparra 26 arb 1407.6 3.7 +7.0
Carl Everett 29 FA-elig 1374.7 5.0 +1.7
Trot Nixon 26 arb 1232.6 0.3 +3.5
Derek Lowe 27 arb 742.3 0.6 +2.7
Jeff Fassero 37 FA-elig 381.7 2.0 +0.5
Jason Varitek 28 arb 1391.5 0.4 +1.8
Troy O'Leary 30 FA-elig 1381.4 4.0 -2.1
Rich Garces 29 FA-elig 641.3 0.6 +1.3
Hipolito Pichardo 30 FA-elig 381.1 1.2 +0.4
Tomo Ohka 24 pre-arb 131.0 0.2 +1.2
Ramon Martinez 32 FA-elig 270.9 6.3 -5.0
Pete Schourek 31 FA-elig 220.9 0.2 +1.0
Rod Beck 31 FA-elig 340.9 3.5 -2.3
Rolando Arrojo↔ COL 31 pre-arb 130.8 0.1 +1.0
Rheal Cormier 33 FA-elig 640.8 2.0 -0.9
Paxton Crawford 22 70.6
Brian Daubach 28 pre-arb 1420.6 0.3 +0.6
Morgan Burkhart 28 250.5
Jose Offerman 31 FA-elig 1160.4 5.8 -5.2
Jeff Frye↔ COL 33 FA-elig 690.3 1.6 -1.2
Dante Bichette↔ CIN 36 FA-elig 300.3 1.4 -1.0
Bryce Florie 30 FA-elig 290.3 1.4 -1.0
Lou Merloni 29 pre-arb 400.2 0.2 +0.0
Izzy Alcantara 27 pre-arb 210.2 0.2 +0.1
Mike Stanley↔ OAK 37 FA-elig 580.1 2.3 -2.1
Curtis Pride 31 90.1
Midre Cummings↔ MIN 28 FA-elig 210.1 0.1 +0.0
Bernard Gilkey↔ ARI 33 FA-elig 360.1 2.6 -2.5
Scott Hatteberg 30 arb 920.1 0.7 -0.6
John Wasdin↔ COL 27 arb 250.0 0.4 -0.4
Ed Sprague Jr.↔ SDP 32 FA-elig 330.0 0.2 -0.2
Dan Smith 24 2-0.0
Donnie Sadler 25 49-0.0
Rick Croushore↔ COL 29 5-0.0
John Valentin 33 FA-elig 10-0.1 6.3 -6.5
Sang-Hoon Lee 29 9-0.1
Steve Ontiveros 39 3-0.1
Rob Stanifer 28 8-0.2
Jesus Pena↔ CHW 25 2-0.2
Tim Young 26 8-0.2
Hector Carrasco↔ MIN 30 FA-elig 8-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Sean Berry↔ MIL 34 FA-elig 1-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Darren Lewis 32 FA-elig 97-0.2 2.4 -2.7
Brian Rose↔ COL 24 arb 15-0.2 0.1 -0.5
Gary Gaetti 41 FA-elig 5-0.3 0.3 -0.8
Tim Wakefield 33 FA-elig 52-0.3 4.5 -5.0
Andy Sheets 28 12-0.4
Rico Brogna↔ PHI 30 FA-elig 43-0.5 2.2 -2.9
Manny Alexander 29 FA-elig 101-0.8 0.6 -1.7
Wilton Veras 22 49-0.8
Mike Lansing↔ COL 32 FA-elig 49-1.1 2.2 -3.7

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Carl Everett4.7
Jeff Fassero1.7
Hipolito Pichardo1.1
Pete Schourek0.9
Rolando Arrojo0.8
Paxton Crawford0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Bret Saberhagen3.3
Pat Rapp1.6
Juan Pena0.7
Kent Mercker0.7
Damon Buford0.6
Mark Portugal0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$77.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Pedro Martínez288.000$11.5M$13.0M$14.0M$15.5M$17.5MFREE AGENT
John Valentin338.000$6.3M$6.3MFREE AGENT
Ramon Martinez3212.000$6.3MFREE AGENT
Jose Offerman3110.000$5.8M$6.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Carl Everett297.000$5.0M$7.3MFREE AGENT
Tim Wakefield338.000$4.5M$3.0M$3.2M$4.0M$4.3M$4.7M$4.0M
Troy O'Leary307.000$4.0M$4.6MFREE AGENT
Rod Beck319.000$3.5M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Bernard Gilkey3310.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Darren Lewis3210.000$2.4M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Stanley3714.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Rico Brogna308.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Lansing327.000$2.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Rheal Cormier339.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Fassero379.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Frye338.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Dante Bichette3612.000$1.4M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Bryce Florie306.000$1.4M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Hipolito Pichardo308.000$1.2M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Manny Alexander298.000$612kFREE AGENT
Rich Garces2910.000$610k$1.4M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Gary Gaetti4119.000$350kFREE AGENT
Ed Sprague Jr.329.000$249kFREE AGENT
Pete Schourek319.000$200k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Hector Carrasco306.000$96kFREE AGENT
Sean Berry3410.000$71kFREE AGENT
Midre Cummings287.000$64kFREE AGENT
Steve Ontiveros3915.000FREE AGENT
Curtis Pride317.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Nomar Garciaparra264.000$3.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hatteberg305.000$695kFREE AGENT
Derek Lowe273.000$625kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Wasdin275.000$401kFREE AGENT
Jason Varitek283.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trot Nixon264.000$270kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Rose243.000$139kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Sheets284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Stanifer283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Brian Daubach282.000$295kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Merloni292.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomo Ohka241.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Izzy Alcantara270.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rolando Arrojo312.000$132kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Smith241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Croushore292.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Sadler252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Young26
Wilton Veras221.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Pena251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paxton Crawford220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sang-Hoon Lee29
Morgan Burkhart28

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3