RRosternomics

Red Sox BOS

GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.79× league · TAB -8.0
-8.0TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-7.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)21st/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/30
40%dead money %24th/30
0.509win %15th/30
33.3roster fWAR18th/30
-57surplus $M (value vs cost)30th/30
$112Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFCarl Everett 84GTrot Nixon 70GDarren Lewis 21G
LFManny Ramirez 55GTroy O'Leary 52GDante Bichette 37G
RFTrot Nixon 83GTroy O'Leary 41GDarren Lewis 29G
SSMike Lansing 76GLou Merloni 45GCraig Grebeck 23G
2BJose Offerman 91GChris Stynes 43GMike Lansing 31G
3BShea Hillenbrand 129GChris Stynes 46GJohn Valentin 3G
1BBrian Daubach 106GJose Offerman 43GCalvin Pickering 12G
STARTERSPedro Martínez 5.5WARHideo Nomo 3.0WARFrank Castillo 2.2WARTim Wakefield 2.2WARDavid Cone 1.4WAR
CDoug Mirabelli 75GScott Hatteberg 72GJason Varitek 50G
DHManny Ramirez 87GDante Bichette 44GCarl Everett 7G
BULLPEN Derek Lowe 24svRich Garces 17hRod Beck 15hPete Schourek 5hUgueth Urbina 3hHipolito Pichardo 2hSun-Woo Kim 1hAllen McDill 0h
CDoug Mirabelli 75 · Scott Hatteberg 72 · Jason Varitek 50
1BBrian Daubach 106 · Jose Offerman 43 · Calvin Pickering 12
2BJose Offerman 91 · Chris Stynes 43 · Mike Lansing 31
3BShea Hillenbrand 129 · Chris Stynes 46 · John Valentin 3
SSMike Lansing 76 · Lou Merloni 45 · Craig Grebeck 23
LFManny Ramirez 55 · Troy O'Leary 52 · Dante Bichette 37
CFCarl Everett 84 · Trot Nixon 70 · Darren Lewis 21
RFTrot Nixon 83 · Troy O'Leary 41 · Darren Lewis 29
DHManny Ramirez 87 · Dante Bichette 44 · Carl Everett 7
SPPedro Martínez 5.5 · Hideo Nomo 3.0 · Frank Castillo 2.2 · Tim Wakefield 2.2 · David Cone 1.4
BP Derek Lowe 24 · Rich Garces 17 · Rod Beck 15 · Pete Schourek 5 · Ugueth Urbina 3 · Hipolito Pichardo 2 · Sun-Woo Kim 1 · Allen McDill 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pedro Martínez 29 FA-elig 185.5 13.0 -4.1
Manny Ramirez 29 FA-elig 1425.2 13.1 -4.7
Trot Nixon 27 arb 1483.5 0.4 +5.2
Hideo Nomo 32 FA-elig 333.0 4.5 +0.4
Tim Wakefield 34 FA-elig 452.2 3.0 +0.6
Frank Castillo 32 FA-elig 262.2 2.2 +1.3
Brian Daubach 29 arb 1222.0 0.4 +2.8
Jason Varitek 29 arb 511.7 1.8 +0.9
Derek Lowe 28 arb 671.6 2.1 +0.5
Jose Offerman 32 FA-elig 1281.4 6.8 -4.5
David Cone 38 FA-elig 251.4 1.0 +1.3
Doug Mirabelli↔ TEX 30 arb 541.4 0.2 +2.0
Rolando Arrojo 35 arb 411.2 1.6 +0.3
Ugueth Urbina↔ WSN 27 FA-elig 190.9 1.2 +0.2
Chris Stynes 28 FA-elig 960.8 1.3 -0.1
Carl Everett 30 FA-elig 1020.6 7.3 -6.4
Lou Merloni 30 520.5
Paxton Crawford 23 pre-arb 80.5 0.2 +0.7
Dante Bichette 37 FA-elig 1070.5 7.0 -6.1
Rich Garces 30 FA-elig 620.4 1.4 -0.7
Tomo Ohka↔ WSN 25 pre-arb 120.4 0.1 +0.6
Sun-Woo Kim 23 200.4
Nomar Garciaparra 27 arb 210.3 7.2 -6.7
Calvin Pickering↔ CIN 24 170.3
Darren Lewis 33 FA-elig 820.2 2.5 -2.1
Casey Fossum 23 130.2
Willie Banks 32 50.2
Bret Saberhagen 37 FA-elig 30.1 5.0 -4.8
Marcus Jensen↔ TEX 28 10.1
Allen McDill 29 150.0
Hipolito Pichardo 31 FA-elig 300.0 1.7 -1.6
John Valentin 34 FA-elig 200.0 6.3 -6.3
Bryce Florie 31 FA-elig 7-0.1 1.4 -1.6
Joe Oliver↔ NYY 35 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Carlos Castillo 26 2-0.1
Shea Hillenbrand 25 pre-arb 139-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Pete Schourek 32 FA-elig 33-0.2 1.0 -1.3
Todd Erdos 27 10-0.2
Mike Lansing 33 FA-elig 106-0.3 6.2 -6.7
Angel Santos 21 9-0.3
Bill Pulsipher↔ CHW 27 23-0.3
Izzy Alcantara 28 14-0.3
Troy O'Leary 31 FA-elig 104-0.4 4.6 -5.2
Morgan Burkhart 29 11-0.4
James Lofton 27 8-0.4
Rod Beck 32 FA-elig 68-0.6 4.5 -5.5
Craig Grebeck 36 FA-elig 23-0.7 0.7 -1.8
Scott Hatteberg 31 FA-elig 94-1.2 1.1 -3.1

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Manny Ramirez5.2
Hideo Nomo3.0
Frank Castillo2.2
David Cone1.4
Doug Mirabelli1.4
Ugueth Urbina0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Jeff Fassero1.7
Ramon Martinez0.9
Rheal Cormier0.8
Jeff Frye0.3
Mike Stanley0.1
Curtis Pride0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$111.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Manny Ramirez298.000$13.1M$15.5M$20.0M$22.5M$22.0M$18.3M$17.0M
Pedro Martínez299.000$13.0M$14.0M$15.5M$17.5MFREE AGENT
Carl Everett308.000$7.3MFREE AGENT
Dante Bichette3713.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Offerman3211.000$6.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
John Valentin349.000$6.3MFREE AGENT
Mike Lansing338.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Bret Saberhagen3717.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Troy O'Leary318.000$4.6MFREE AGENT
Rod Beck3210.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Hideo Nomo326.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Tim Wakefield349.000$3.0M$3.2M$4.0M$4.3M$4.7M$4.0M$4.0M
Darren Lewis3311.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Frank Castillo3210.000$2.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Hipolito Pichardo319.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Bryce Florie317.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Rich Garces3011.000$1.4M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Chris Stynes286.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Ugueth Urbina276.000$1.2M$6.7MFREE AGENT
Scott Hatteberg316.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Pete Schourek3210.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
David Cone3815.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Craig Grebeck3611.000$700kFREE AGENT
Joe Oliver3512.000$324kFREE AGENT
Willie Banks3210.000$450kFREE AGENT
Bill Pulsipher276.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Nomar Garciaparra275.000$7.2MFREE AGENT
Derek Lowe284.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Varitek294.000$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Rolando Arrojo353.000$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Daubach293.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trot Nixon275.000$390kFREE AGENT
Doug Mirabelli305.000$207kFREE AGENT
Carlos Castillo264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Erdos274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Jensen285.000FREE AGENT
Allen McDill294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Merloni303.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Calvin Pickering243.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Shea Hillenbrand250.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paxton Crawford231.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomo Ohka252.000$123kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Izzy Alcantara281.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sun-Woo Kim230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Morgan Burkhart29
Casey Fossum230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Santos21
James Lofton27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3