Rosternomics

Orioles BAL

201581–81 (0.500)
‹ Previous Next ›

GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2015, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$110M
Win %
0.500
TAB
+0.4
WAB
+0.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
33.4
Dead money %
40%
Depth Players
7.0
Dead WAR
-3.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2015 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RCaleb Joseph94
BMatt Wieters55
RRyan Lavarnway10
LSteve Clevenger9

1B

LChris Davis111
RSteve Pearce28
LChris Parmelee25
LRyan Flaherty11
BMatt Wieters3
RChristian Walker2
RCaleb Joseph1
LSteve Clevenger1

2B

RJonathan Schoop84
LRyan Flaherty56
RSteve Pearce18
BRey Navarro9
BJimmy Paredes6
BEverth Cabrera2
RPaul Janish1

3B

RManny Machado156
BJimmy Paredes8
LRyan Flaherty8

SS

RJ.J. Hardy114
BEverth Cabrera27
LRyan Flaherty15
RPaul Janish13
RManny Machado7

LF

LDavid Lough49
RSteve Pearce41
RNolan Reimold37
LGerardo Parra19
LHenry Urrutia8
RJunior Lake5
RDelmon Young2
BJimmy Paredes1
LRyan Flaherty1

CF

RAdam Jones134
LDavid Lough26
LGerardo Parra14
RNolan Reimold9
RJunior Lake2
RDariel Álvarez1

RF

RDelmon Young40
LChris Davis30
LGerardo Parra22
RNolan Reimold13
RDariel Álvarez12
LChris Parmelee8
RSteve Pearce8
LRyan Flaherty5
LDavid Lough2
BJimmy Paredes2

DH

BJimmy Paredes81
LChris Davis22
LSteve Clevenger18
BMatt Wieters12
LTravis Snider5
RNolan Reimold4
RDelmon Young4
RAdam Jones3
RCaleb Joseph3
RChristian Walker2
LHenry Urrutia1
RJunior Lake1
RSteve Pearce1

Starters

LWei-Yin Chen2.8 WAR
RUbaldo Jimenez2.7 WAR
RChris Tillman1.9 WAR
RKevin Gausman1.5 WAR
RMiguel Gonzalez0.5 WAR
RTyler Wilson0.4 WAR
RBud Norris-0.3 WAR
RMike Wright Jr.-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

LZack Britton36 sv
RDarren O'Day18 h
RBrad Brach15 h
RChaz Roe4 h
RMychal Givens4 h
LT.J. McFarland3 h
LBrian Matusz2 h
RTommy Hunter0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Mychal Givens0.9
Nolan Reimold0.4
Tyler Wilson0.4
Chaz Roe0.2
Oliver Drake0.1
Paul Janish0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Nelson Cruz3.9
Andrew Miller1.0
Ryan Webb0.7
Kelly Johnson0.1
Jemile Weeks0.1
Ramon E Ramirez0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2015; everyone else is shown as a 2015 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Manny Machado 2015 +6.6 +75.4 0.5 +74.8 $0.1M 1.43× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Chris Davis 2015 +5.4 +59.5 12.0 +47.5 $2.2M 1.37×
Wei-Yin Chen 2015 +2.8 +43.4 4.8 +38.7 $1.7M 1.96×
Adam Jones 2015 +3.4 +43.4 13.3 +30.1 $3.9M 1.60×
Zack Britton 2015 +2.1 +32.8 3.2 +29.6 $1.5M 1.95×
Ubaldo Jiménez 2015 +2.7 +41.5 12.2 +29.3 $4.6M 1.96×
Darren O'Day 2015 +1.8 +28.0 4.2 +23.7 $2.4M 1.95×
Chris Tillman 2015 +1.9 +22.9 4.3 +18.5 $2.2M 1.49×
Kevin Gausman 2015 +1.5 +18.0 0.5 +17.5 $0.3M 1.49× Free Agent · 2022–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Caleb Joseph 2015 +2.1 +12.7 0.5 +12.2 $0.2M 0.76×
Jonathan Schoop 2015 +1.3 +5.7 0.5 +5.2 $0.4M 0.56×
Brad Brach 2015 +0.9 +5.0 0.5 +4.5 $0.6M 0.67×
Mychal Givens 2015 +0.9 +4.6 0.2 +4.4 $0.2M 0.67×
Tyler Wilson 2015 +0.4 +3.1 0.1 +3.0 $0.2M 1.02×
Nolan Reimold 2015 +0.4 +2.9 0.3 +2.6 $0.7M 0.83×
Miguel González 2015 +0.5 +4.5 3.3 +1.2 $6.0M 1.02×
Chaz Roe 2015 +0.2 +1.3 0.4 +0.9 $1.6M 0.67×
Oliver Drake 2015 +0.1 +0.8 0.1 +0.7 $0.7M 0.67×
Dariel Álvarez 2015 +0.1 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $0.8M 0.83×
Paul Janish 2015 +0.1 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $0.8M 0.61×
Jimmy Paredes 2015 +0.2 +1.0 0.5 +0.5 $2.8M 0.69×
Rey Navarro 2015 +0.1 +0.2 0.1 +0.2 $1.4M 0.56×
Henry Urrutia 2015 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.83×
Ryan Flaherty 2015 +0.2 +1.0 1.1 -0.1 $5.1M 0.56×
Chris Parmelee 2015 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.56×
Christian Walker 2015 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 0.56× Free Agent · 2025–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Brian Matusz 2015 +0.5 +2.9 3.2 -0.3 $5.9M 0.67×
Wesley Wright 2015 +0.0 +0.1 0.3 -0.3 $32.4M 0.67×
Tommy Hunter 2015 +0.5 +2.7 3.1 -0.4 $6.1M 0.67×
Steve Clevenger 2015 -0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.6 0.69×
Jorge Rondon 2015 -0.2 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 0.67×
Steve Johnson 2015 -0.2 -0.9 0.1 -1.0 0.67×
T.J. McFarland 2015 -0.1 -0.5 0.5 -1.0 0.67×
Jason García 2015 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 -1.1 0.67×
Travis Snider 2015 +0.0 +0.2 1.7 -1.5 $53.4M 0.69×
Ryan Lavarnway 2015 -0.4 -1.6 0.1 -1.7 0.52×
David Lough 2015 -0.3 -1.7 0.5 -2.2 0.83×
Mike Wright Jr. 2015 -0.3 -2.4 0.3 -2.6 1.02×
Junior Lake 2015 -0.4 -2.7 0.0 -2.7 0.83×
Steve Pearce 2015 +0.1 +0.8 3.7 -2.9 $29.9M 0.83×
Alejandro De Aza 2015 -0.3 -1.9 1.3 -3.2 0.83×
Everth Cabrera 2015 -0.4 -2.2 2.4 -4.6 0.61×
Gerardo Parra 2015 -0.4 -2.8 2.2 -5.0 0.83×
Delmon Young 2015 -0.5 -3.5 2.2 -5.7 0.83×
Bud Norris 2015 -0.3 -2.6 4.2 -6.7 1.02×
Matt Wieters 2015 +0.3 +1.4 8.3 -6.9 $24.4M 0.52×
J.J. Hardy 2015 +0.0 +0.1 11.5 -11.4 $478.6M 0.61×
Cesar Cabral 2015 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.67×
Total+33.2+392.5109.7+282.9

Trades

Every graded 2015 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$109.9M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Adam Jones297.139$13.3MFREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez317.087$12.2MFREE AGENT
J.J. Hardy3212.164$11.5MFREE AGENT
Darren O'Day326.103$4.2MFREE AGENT
Steve Pearce328.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Delmon Young298.028$2.2MFREE AGENT
Alejandro De Aza318.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Christian Walker248.124$53kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Chris Davis295.061$12.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Wieters295.129$8.3MFREE AGENT
Wei-Yin Chen293.000$4.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Tillman273.113$4.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bud Norris305.068$4.2MFREE AGENT
Brian Matusz284.156$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter285.090$3.1MFREE AGENT
Everth Cabrera284.144$2.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerardo Parra285.145$2.2MFREE AGENT
Travis Snider274.091$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Flaherty283.000$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wesley Wright305.105$309kFREE AGENT
Nolan Reimold315.004$288kFREE AGENT
Paul Janish324.115$111kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Miguel González310.122$3.3MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Britton272.158$3.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Machado222.056$548kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Lough291.169$526kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Brach292.063$523kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Gausman240.164$522kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. McFarland261.138$519kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Paredes262.059$515kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Joseph290.145$515kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop231.027$515kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Clevenger292.123$514kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason García221.002$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chaz Roe280.079$372kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Wright Jr.250.000$272kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mychal Givens250.000$175kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Parmelee272.058$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Lavarnway271.133$122kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Drake280.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Johnson271.046$92kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Rondon270.061$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dariel Álvarez260.045$83kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rey Navarro25$75k
Tyler Wilson251.037$72kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Urrutia280.070$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Junior Lake251.073$28kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Cabral261.113$11kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2015 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.