RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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GM: Frank Wren

Overview

CONTEND → steady
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.1× league · TAB +6.1
+6.1TAB — talent above budget7th/30
+2.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)13th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-6.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
14%dead money %2nd/30
0.531win %12th/30
41.6roster fWAR7th/30
-2surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$101Mpayroll $M12th/30

Roster

CFNate McLouth 129GJordan Schafer 50GRyan Church 23G
LFGarret Anderson 124GMatt Diaz 50GReid Gorecki 22G
RFRyan Church 86GMatt Diaz 66GOmar Infante 3G
SSYunel Escobar 139GDiory Hernandez 22GOmar Infante 10G
2BKelly Johnson 84GMartín Prado 63GOmar Infante 30G
3BChipper Jones 133GMartín Prado 41GOmar Infante 10G
1BAdam LaRoche 148GMartín Prado 28GBarbaro Canizares 5G
STARTERSJavier Vazquez 6.2WARJair Jurrjens 3.7WARDerek Lowe 2.4WARTommy Hanson 2.0WARKenshin Kawakami 1.2WAR
CBrian McCann 127GDavid Ross 52GClint Sammons 6G
DHChipper Jones 3GGarret Anderson 1GBrian McCann 1G
BULLPEN★ Rafael Soriano 27svPeter Moylan 25hMichael Gonzalez 17hEric O'Flaherty 15hManny Acosta 2hBuddy Carlyle 2hKris Medlen 1hBoone Logan 1h
CBrian McCann 127 · David Ross 52 · Clint Sammons 6
1BAdam LaRoche 148 · Martín Prado 28 · Barbaro Canizares 5
2BKelly Johnson 84 · Martín Prado 63 · Omar Infante 30
3BChipper Jones 133 · Martín Prado 41 · Omar Infante 10
SSYunel Escobar 139 · Diory Hernandez 22 · Omar Infante 10
LFGarret Anderson 124 · Matt Diaz 50 · Reid Gorecki 22
CFNate McLouth 129 · Jordan Schafer 50 · Ryan Church 23
RFRyan Church 86 · Matt Diaz 66 · Omar Infante 3
DHChipper Jones 3 · Garret Anderson 1 · Brian McCann 1
SPJavier Vazquez 6.2 · Jair Jurrjens 3.7 · Derek Lowe 2.4 · Tommy Hanson 2.0 · Kenshin Kawakami 1.2
BP★ Rafael Soriano 27 · Peter Moylan 25 · Michael Gonzalez 17 · Eric O'Flaherty 15 · Manny Acosta 2 · Buddy Carlyle 2 · Kris Medlen 1 · Boone Logan 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2009 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Javier Vazquez 32 FA-elig 376.2 11.5 +3.2
Brian McCann 25 arb 1386.0 3.7 +10.6
Yunel Escobar 26 pre-arb 1413.9 0.4 +8.8
Jair Jurrjens 23 pre-arb 363.7 0.5 +8.3
David Ross 32 FA-elig 543.1 1.4 +6.0
Martín Prado 25 arb 1282.5 0.4 +5.6
Derek Lowe 36 FA-elig 342.4 15.0 -9.3
Chipper Jones Jr. 37 FA-elig 1432.3 10.0 -4.4
Matt Diaz 31 FA-elig 1252.2 1.2 +3.9
Tommy Hanson 22 – 212.0 – –
Adam LaRoche↔ BOS 29 arb 571.8 2.7 +1.7
Rafael Soriano 29 FA-elig 771.8 6.3 -2.1
Nate McLouth↔ PIT 27 arb 841.5 1.6 +1.8
Kenshin Kawakami 34 pre-arb 341.2 8.3 -5.4
Peter Moylan 30 arb 871.1 0.4 +2.3
Omar Infante 27 FA-elig 701.1 1.9 +0.8
Tim Hudson 33 FA-elig 70.9 15.5 -13.2
Michael Gonzalez 31 FA-elig 800.8 3.5 -1.5
Casey Kotchman↔ BOS 26 arb 870.8 2.0 -0.1
Kris Medlen 23 – 390.5 0.4 +0.9
Kelly Johnson 27 arb 1060.5 2.8 -1.7
Ryan Church↔ NYM 30 arb 440.5 1.1 -0.0
Eric O'Flaherty 24 arb 780.4 0.4 +0.6
Clint Sammons 26 pre-arb 60.1 0.4 -0.1
Brandon Jones 25 – 50.1 – –
James Parr 23 pre-arb 80.1 0.4 -0.3
Jorge Campillo 30 arb 50.0 0.4 -0.3
Jo-Jo Reyes 24 pre-arb 60.0 0.4 -0.4
Jairo Asencio 26 – 3-0.0 – –
Brian Barton 27 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Manny Acosta 28 pre-arb 36-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Boone Logan 24 arb 20-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Blaine Boyer↔ ARI 27 arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Brooks Conrad 29 – 30-0.1 – –
Vladimir Nunez 34 – 1-0.2 – –
Greg Norton 36 FA-elig 95-0.2 0.8 -1.2
Jeff Bennett↔ TBR 29 arb 33-0.2 0.3 -0.9
Reid Gorecki 28 – 31-0.3 – –
Barbaro Canizares 29 – 5-0.3 – –
Grégor Blanco 25 pre-arb 24-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Buddy Carlyle 31 FA-elig 16-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Jordan Schafer 22 pre-arb 50-0.7 0.4 -2.1
Jeff Francoeur↔ NYM 25 arb 82-0.8 1.8 -3.6
Garret Anderson 37 FA-elig 135-1.1 2.5 -5.0
Diory Hernandez 25 – 33-1.1 – –

Key additions (new vs 2008)

PlayerfWAR
Javier Vazquez6.2
David Ross3.1
Derek Lowe2.4
Tommy Hanson2.0
Adam LaRoche1.8
Nate McLouth1.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2008)

Player2008 fWAR
Mark Teixeira3.4
Will Ohman0.9
John Smoltz0.8
Josh Anderson0.7
Mark Kotsay0.5
Mike Hampton0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2009 payroll
$100.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Tim Hudson3310.000$15.5M$9.0M$9.0M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Derek Lowe3612.000$15.0M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Javier Vazquez3211.000$11.5MFREE AGENT
Chipper Jones Jr.3716.000$10.0M$14.0M$14.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Soriano297.000$6.3MFREE AGENT
Michael Gonzalez316.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Garret Anderson3715.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Omar Infante277.000$1.9M$2.2MFREE AGENT
David Ross327.000$1.4M$1.6M$1.6M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Matt Diaz316.000$1.2M$2.5M$1.8M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Greg Norton3613.000$800kFREE AGENT
Buddy Carlyle3110.000$425kFREE AGENT
Vladimir Nunez3411.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Brian McCann254.000$3.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelly Johnson274.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam LaRoche295.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Casey Kotchman265.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francoeur254.000$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate McLouth274.000$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Church305.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Boone Logan243.000$428kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Campillo304.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Prado253.000$415kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Moylan303.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty243.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Bennett295.000$328kFREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer274.000$27kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Kenshin Kawakami340.000$8.3MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jair Jurrjens232.000$450kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yunel Escobar262.000$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grégor Blanco251.000$415kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Acosta282.000$412kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jo-Jo Reyes242.000$410kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Barton271.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kris Medlen230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Parr231.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Schafer220.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Sammons262.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Gorecki28–—
Jairo Asencio260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Jones25–—
Diory Hernandez250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hanson220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Conrad291.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Barbaro Canizares29–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2009; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.