RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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GM: Frank Wren

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.03× league · TAB +4.0
+4.0TAB — talent above budget11th/30
+8.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/30
23%dead money %5th/30
0.562win %6th/30
38.6roster fWAR13th/30
-5surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$94Mpayroll $M12th/30

2010: made playoffs · 91–71. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFNate McLouth 71GRick Ankiel 70GMelky Cabrera 55G
LFMelky Cabrera 84GMatt Diaz 63GEric Hinske 50G
RFJason Heyward 140GMelky Cabrera 25GOmar Infante 6G
SSÁlex González 157GOmar Infante 19GDiory Hernandez 4G
2BMartín Prado 98GOmar Infante 65GBrooks Conrad 9G
3BChipper Jones 89GMartín Prado 43GBrooks Conrad 37G
1BDerrek Lee 144GTroy Glaus 114GEric Hinske 32G
STARTERSTommy Hanson 3.3WARDerek Lowe 2.1WARTim Hudson 2.0WARKris Medlen 1.3WARJair Jurrjens 0.9WAR
CBrian McCann 136GDavid Ross 57GJ.C. Boscan 1G
DHTroy Glaus 2GBrian McCann 2GEric Hinske 1G
BULLPEN★ Billy Wagner 37svJonny Venters 24hPeter Moylan 21hTakashi Saito 17hKyle Farnsworth 9hEric O'Flaherty 9hCraig Kimbrel 2hMike Dunn 1h
CBrian McCann 136 · David Ross 57 · J.C. Boscan 1
1BDerrek Lee 144 · Troy Glaus 114 · Eric Hinske 32
2BMartín Prado 98 · Omar Infante 65 · Brooks Conrad 9
3BChipper Jones 89 · Martín Prado 43 · Brooks Conrad 37
SSÁlex González 157 · Omar Infante 19 · Diory Hernandez 4
LFMelky Cabrera 84 · Matt Diaz 63 · Eric Hinske 50
CFNate McLouth 71 · Rick Ankiel 70 · Melky Cabrera 55
RFJason Heyward 140 · Melky Cabrera 25 · Omar Infante 6
DHTroy Glaus 2 · Brian McCann 2 · Eric Hinske 1
SPTommy Hanson 3.3 · Derek Lowe 2.1 · Tim Hudson 2.0 · Kris Medlen 1.3 · Jair Jurrjens 0.9
BP★ Billy Wagner 37 · Jonny Venters 24 · Peter Moylan 21 · Takashi Saito 17 · Kyle Farnsworth 9 · Eric O'Flaherty 9 · Craig Kimbrel 2 · Mike Dunn 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brian McCann 26 arb 1436.0 5.7 +8.3
Jason Heyward 20 pre-arb 1424.7 0.4 +10.6
Martín Prado 26 arb 1403.8 0.4 +8.6
Tommy Hanson 23 pre-arb 343.3 0.4 +7.4
Chipper Jones Jr. 38 FA-elig 952.5 14.0 -8.1
David Ross 33 FA-elig 592.2 1.6 +3.6
Derek Lowe 37 FA-elig 342.1 15.0 -10.1
Omar Infante 28 FA-elig 1342.0 2.2 +2.5
Billy Wagner 38 FA-elig 712.0 6.8 -2.1
Tim Hudson 34 FA-elig 352.0 9.0 -4.4
Jonny Venters 25 – 791.3 0.4 +2.7
Kris Medlen 24 pre-arb 321.3 0.4 +2.5
Takashi Saito 40 arb 561.2 3.2 -0.4
Jair Jurrjens 24 arb 200.9 0.5 +1.6
Yunel Escobar↔ TOR 27 arb 750.8 0.2 +1.7
Brooks Conrad 30 pre-arb 1030.8 0.4 +1.5
Kenshin Kawakami 35 pre-arb 180.7 7.3 -5.6
Grégor Blanco↔ KCR 26 – 360.6 – –
Eric Hinske 32 FA-elig 1310.6 1.0 +0.4
Derrek Lee↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 390.5 3.5 -2.3
Brandon Beachy 23 – 30.5 0.0 +1.1
Álex González↔ TOR 33 FA-elig 720.5 1.3 -0.1
Craig Kimbrel 22 – 210.4 0.1 +0.9
Rick Ankiel↔ KCR 30 FA-elig 470.4 1.7 -0.7
Mike Minor 22 – 90.4 0.1 +0.8
Eric O'Flaherty 25 arb 560.4 0.4 +0.4
Matt Diaz 32 FA-elig 840.3 2.5 -1.9
Kyle Farnsworth↔ KCR 34 FA-elig 230.2 1.7 -1.3
Brent Clevlen 26 – 40.1 – –
Mike Dunn 25 – 250.1 0.4 -0.2
J.C. Boscan 30 – 10.0 – –
Chris Resop↔ PIT 27 – 1-0.0 – –
Cristhian Martinez 28 – 18-0.0 – –
Brandon Hicks 24 – 16-0.0 – –
Diory Hernandez 26 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Scott Proctor 33 – 6-0.0 0.8 -0.9
Troy Glaus 33 FA-elig 128-0.1 1.8 -1.9
Jo-Jo Reyes 25 arb 1-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Freddie Freeman 20 – 20-0.2 0.1 -0.5
Jesse Chavez↔ KCR 26 pre-arb 28-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Peter Moylan 31 arb 85-0.4 1.1 -2.2
Nate McLouth 28 arb 85-1.4 5.0 -8.3
Melky Cabrera 25 arb 147-1.5 3.1 -6.5

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Jason Heyward4.7
Billy Wagner2.0
Jonny Venters1.3
Takashi Saito1.2
Eric Hinske0.6
Derrek Lee0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Javier Vazquez6.2
Adam LaRoche1.8
Rafael Soriano1.8
Michael Gonzalez0.8
Casey Kotchman0.8
Kelly Johnson0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$93.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Derek Lowe3713.000$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Chipper Jones Jr.3817.000$14.0M$14.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Hudson3411.000$9.0M$9.0M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Billy Wagner3815.000$6.8MFREE AGENT
Derrek Lee3413.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Diaz327.000$2.5M$1.8M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Omar Infante288.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Troy Glaus3312.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Rick Ankiel3011.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Kyle Farnsworth3411.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
David Ross338.000$1.6M$1.6M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Álex González3312.000$1.3M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Eric Hinske328.000$1.0M$1.4M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Scott Proctor336.000$750k$596kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Brian McCann265.000$5.7MFREE AGENT
Nate McLouth285.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Takashi Saito404.000$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Melky Cabrera255.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Peter Moylan314.000$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jair Jurrjens243.000$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Prado264.000$440kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty254.000$440kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jo-Jo Reyes253.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yunel Escobar273.000$242kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Kenshin Kawakami351.000$7.3MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hanson231.000$435kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kris Medlen241.000$408kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Dunn251.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Diory Hernandez261.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Venters250.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Heyward200.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Conrad302.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez262.000$228kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Kimbrel220.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Minor220.000$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Freeman200.000$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Beachy230.000$28kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Boscan300.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Resop271.038—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristhian Martinez280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grégor Blanco262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Clevlen26–—
Brandon Hicks240.151—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.