RRosternomics
𝕏

Diamondbacks ARI

‹ ›

GM: Jerry Dipoto

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.55× league · TAB -1.4
-1.4TAB — talent above budget19th/30
-9.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-8.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
39%dead money %20th/30
0.401win %28th/30
25.5roster fWAR24th/30
+16surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/30
$50Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFChris Young 156GRyan Church 7GCole Gillespie 7G
LFGerardo Parra 76GRusty Ryal 36GCole Gillespie 24G
RFJustin Upton 128GGerardo Parra 36GCole Gillespie 9G
SSStephen Drew 147GTony Abreu 15GAugie Ojeda 9G
2BKelly Johnson 149GBobby Crosby 16GAugie Ojeda 15G
3BMark Reynolds 142GTony Abreu 20GAugie Ojeda 12G
1BAdam LaRoche 146GRusty Ryal 24GMark Reynolds 5G
STARTERSDaniel Hudson 2.1WARIan Kennedy 2.1WARJoe Saunders 0.4WARBarry Enright -0.2WARDontrelle Willis -0.5WAR
CMiguel Montero 79GJohn Hester 33GKonrad Schmidt 2G
DHKelly Johnson 2GAdam LaRoche 2GMiguel Montero 2G
BULLPEN★ Juan Gutierrez 15svAaron Heilman 12hD.J. Carrasco 7hEsmerling Vasquez 6hBlaine Boyer 5hSam Demel 4hJordan Norberto 3hCarlos Rosa 1h
CMiguel Montero 79 · John Hester 33 · Konrad Schmidt 2
1BAdam LaRoche 146 · Rusty Ryal 24 · Mark Reynolds 5
2BKelly Johnson 149 · Bobby Crosby 16 · Augie Ojeda 15
3BMark Reynolds 142 · Tony Abreu 20 · Augie Ojeda 12
SSStephen Drew 147 · Tony Abreu 15 · Augie Ojeda 9
LFGerardo Parra 76 · Rusty Ryal 36 · Cole Gillespie 24
CFChris Young 156 · Ryan Church 7 · Cole Gillespie 7
RFJustin Upton 128 · Gerardo Parra 36 · Cole Gillespie 9
DHKelly Johnson 2 · Adam LaRoche 2 · Miguel Montero 2
SPDaniel Hudson 2.1 · Ian Kennedy 2.1 · Joe Saunders 0.4 · Barry Enright -0.2 · Dontrelle Willis -0.5
BP★ Juan Gutierrez 15 · Aaron Heilman 12 · D.J. Carrasco 7 · Esmerling Vasquez 6 · Blaine Boyer 5 · Sam Demel 4 · Jordan Norberto 3 · Carlos Rosa 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kelly Johnson 28 arb 1545.3 2.4 +10.2
Stephen Drew 27 arb 1514.8 3.4 +7.9
Chris Young 26 arb 1564.2 3.5 +6.4
Dan Haren↔ ANA 29 FA-elig 232.9 5.1 +1.7
Justin Upton 22 arb 1332.5 0.7 +5.1
Miguel Montero 26 arb 852.4 2.0 +3.5
Daniel Hudson↔ CHW 23 – 112.1 0.1 +4.8
Ian Kennedy 25 arb 332.1 0.4 +4.5
Mark Reynolds 26 arb 1451.7 0.8 +3.1
Chris Snyder↔ PIT 29 FA-elig 651.6 3.2 +0.6
Edwin Jackson↔ CHW 26 FA-elig 221.4 3.1 +0.3
Adam LaRoche 30 FA-elig 1510.7 4.5 -2.8
Gerardo Parra 23 pre-arb 1330.7 0.4 +1.3
Ryan Church↔ PIT 31 FA-elig 370.5 0.5 +0.7
Brandon Allen 24 – 220.5 0.4 +0.8
Joe Saunders↔ ANA 29 arb 130.4 1.5 -0.5
D.J. Carrasco↔ PIT 33 FA-elig 180.1 0.3 +0.0
Mike Hampton 37 – 100.1 – –
Sam Demel 24 – 370.0 – –
Kris Benson 35 FA-elig 3-0.0 0.7 -0.7
Konrad Schmidt 25 – 4-0.0 – –
César Valdez 25 – 9-0.1 – –
Rusty Ryal 27 pre-arb 104-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Rafael Rodriguez↔ ANA 25 – 2-0.1 – –
Bobby Crosby↔ PIT 30 FA-elig 9-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Aaron Heilman 31 FA-elig 70-0.1 2.1 -2.3
Carlos Rosa 25 – 22-0.1 – –
Ryan Roberts 29 – 36-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Blaine Boyer 28 arb 54-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Leo Rosales 29 pre-arb 16-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Chad Qualls↔ TBR 31 FA-elig 43-0.1 2.6 -2.8
Daniel Stange 24 – 4-0.1 – –
Barry Enright 24 – 18-0.2 – –
Kevin Mulvey 25 – 2-0.2 – –
Conor Jackson↔ OAK 28 arb 42-0.2 2.2 -2.6
Saul Rivera 32 – 4-0.2 – –
Billy Buckner 26 – 3-0.2 – –
Zach Kroenke 26 – 3-0.2 – –
Augie Ojeda 35 FA-elig 59-0.3 0.8 -1.5
Esmerling Vasquez 26 pre-arb 57-0.4 0.4 -1.2
Cole Gillespie 26 – 45-0.4 – –
Dontrelle Willis↔ DET 28 FA-elig 6-0.5 4.5 -5.7
Jordan Norberto 23 pre-arb 33-0.6 0.4 -1.7
Rodrigo Lopez 34 FA-elig 33-0.6 0.7 -2.0
Bob Howry↔ CHC 36 FA-elig 14-0.7 0.7 -2.3
John Hester 26 – 38-1.0 – –
Tony Abreu 25 arb 81-1.1 0.4 -3.0
Juan Gutierrez 26 arb 58-1.1 0.4 -3.0

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Kelly Johnson5.3
Daniel Hudson2.1
Ian Kennedy2.1
Edwin Jackson1.4
Adam LaRoche0.7
Ryan Church0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Max Scherzer3.1
Felipe Lopez1.5
Doug Davis1.0
Jon Garland0.9
Jon Rauch0.4
Eric Byrnes0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$50.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Dan Haren297.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Dontrelle Willis287.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Adam LaRoche306.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Snyder296.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Edwin Jackson267.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Chad Qualls316.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Aaron Heilman317.000$2.1M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Augie Ojeda3510.000$825kFREE AGENT
Bob Howry3612.000$737kFREE AGENT
Kris Benson3511.000$650kFREE AGENT
Rodrigo Lopez3410.000$650kFREE AGENT
Ryan Church316.000$524kFREE AGENT
D.J. Carrasco337.000$271kFREE AGENT
Bobby Crosby307.000$129kFREE AGENT
Mike Hampton3717.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Chris Young264.000$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Drew274.000$3.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelly Johnson285.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Conor Jackson285.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Miguel Montero264.000$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Saunders295.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds263.000$833kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer285.000$725kFREE AGENT
Justin Upton223.000$708kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Gutierrez263.000$411kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Abreu253.000$407kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Kennedy253.000$403kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Roberts294.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Saul Rivera324.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Buckner263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Leo Rosales292.000$410kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerardo Parra231.000$406kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmerling Vasquez261.000$404kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rusty Ryal271.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Allen241.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Norberto230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson230.000$141kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Rodriguez251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Barry Enright240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Demel240.091—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hester260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Mulvey25–—
Daniel Stange24–—
Carlos Rosa252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Kroenke26–—
César Valdez250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Gillespie260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Konrad Schmidt250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.