RRosternomics

Diamondbacks ARI

GM: Josh Byrnes

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.81× league · TAB -0.1
-0.1TAB — talent above budget17th/30
-9.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)23rd/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/30
-5.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/30
57%dead money %29th/30
0.432win %24th/30
31.5roster fWAR19th/30
+1surplus $M (value vs cost)10th/30
$74Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFChris Young 124GGerardo Parra 43GEric Byrnes 6G
LFGerardo Parra 75GEric Byrnes 49GConor Jackson 23G
RFJustin Upton 136GAlex Romero 21GGerardo Parra 9G
SSStephen Drew 132GAugie Ojeda 34G
2BRyan Roberts 57GAugie Ojeda 35GRusty Ryal 13G
3BMark Reynolds 130GAugie Ojeda 28GRyan Roberts 19G
1BChad Tracy 66GBrandon Allen 32GJosh Whitesell 30G
STARTERSDan Haren 6.0WARMax Scherzer 3.1WARDoug Davis 1.0WARBilly Buckner 0.7WARDaniel Cabrera 0.0WAR
CMiguel Montero 111GChris Snyder 56GJohn Hester 8G
DHEric Byrnes 3GMiguel Montero 2GStephen Drew 1G
BULLPEN Chad Qualls 24svJuan Gutierrez 7hScott Schoeneweis 6hEsmerling Vasquez 4hClay Zavada 4hBlaine Boyer 4hLeo Rosales 2hDaniel Schlereth 0h
CMiguel Montero 111 · Chris Snyder 56 · John Hester 8
1BChad Tracy 66 · Brandon Allen 32 · Josh Whitesell 30
2BRyan Roberts 57 · Augie Ojeda 35 · Rusty Ryal 13
3BMark Reynolds 130 · Augie Ojeda 28 · Ryan Roberts 19
SSStephen Drew 132 · Augie Ojeda 34
LFGerardo Parra 75 · Eric Byrnes 49 · Conor Jackson 23
CFChris Young 124 · Gerardo Parra 43 · Eric Byrnes 6
RFJustin Upton 136 · Alex Romero 21 · Gerardo Parra 9
DHEric Byrnes 3 · Miguel Montero 2 · Stephen Drew 1
SPDan Haren 6.0 · Max Scherzer 3.1 · Doug Davis 1.0 · Billy Buckner 0.7 · Daniel Cabrera 0.0
BP Chad Qualls 24 · Juan Gutierrez 7 · Scott Schoeneweis 6 · Esmerling Vasquez 4 · Clay Zavada 4 · Blaine Boyer 4 · Leo Rosales 2 · Daniel Schlereth 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2009 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dan Haren 28 FA-elig 376.0 7.5 +6.9
Justin Upton 21 pre-arb 1384.9 0.4 +11.3
Miguel Montero 25 arb 1284.8 0.4 +10.9
Mark Reynolds 25 pre-arb 1553.3 0.4 +7.4
Max Scherzer 24 pre-arb 313.1 1.4 +5.9
Stephen Drew 26 arb 1352.1 1.5 +3.4
Ryan Roberts 28 arb 1101.8 0.4 +4.0
Felipe Lopez↔ MIL 29 FA-elig 851.5 2.0 +1.6
Augie Ojeda 34 FA-elig 1031.4 0.7 +2.6
Juan Gutierrez 25 pre-arb 651.2 0.4 +2.5
Doug Davis 33 FA-elig 341.0 8.8 -6.4
Jon Garland↔ LAD 29 FA-elig 280.9 5.1 -3.0
Chad Qualls 30 arb 510.9 2.5 -0.4
Billy Buckner 25 pre-arb 160.7 0.4 +1.2
Rusty Ryal 26 300.6
Chris Young 25 arb 1340.4 1.9 -1.0
Jon Rauch↔ MIN 30 FA-elig 580.4 2.0 -1.0
Eric Byrnes 33 FA-elig 840.3 11.7 -10.9
Chris Snyder 28 arb 610.3 2.0 -1.3
Blaine Boyer↔ ATL 27 arb 300.3 0.3 +0.4
Clay Zavada 25 pre-arb 490.3 0.4 +0.2
Ramon Pena↔ CHW 27 arb 370.2 0.2 +0.3
Leo Rosales 28 pre-arb 330.2 0.4 +0.1
Trent Oeltjen 26 240.1
Esmerling Vasquez 25 pre-arb 530.1 0.4 -0.2
Daniel Schlereth 23 pre-arb 210.1 0.4 -0.2
Josh Wilson↔ SDP 28 110.0
Daniel Cabrera↔ WSN 28 arb 60.0 1.0 -1.0
Bobby Korecky 29 50.0
Doug Slaten 29 arb 11-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Bryan Augenstein 22 7-0.0
Tom Gordon 41 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Tony Clark 37 FA-elig 36-0.1 0.8 -1.1
Luke Carlin 28 10-0.2
John Hester 25 15-0.2
Alex Romero 25 66-0.2
Yusmeiro Petit 24 arb 23-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Gerardo Parra 22 120-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Brandon Webb 30 FA-elig 1-0.2 6.5 -7.0
Kevin Mulvey↔ MIN 24 6-0.2
Josh Whitesell 27 pre-arb 46-0.5 0.4 -1.5
Brandon Allen 23 pre-arb 32-0.7 0.4 -2.1
Scott Schoeneweis 35 FA-elig 45-0.8 3.6 -5.4
Chad Tracy 29 arb 98-0.8 5.0 -6.9
Conor Jackson 27 arb 30-0.9 3.0 -5.3

Key additions (new vs 2008)

PlayerfWAR
Ryan Roberts1.8
Felipe Lopez1.5
Juan Gutierrez1.2
Jon Garland0.9
Rusty Ryal0.6
Blaine Boyer0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2008)

Player2008 fWAR
Randy Johnson3.6
Micah Owings1.8
Orlando Hudson1.3
Brandon Lyon0.7
Juan Cruz0.5
Jailen Peguero0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2009 payroll
$74.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Eric Byrnes339.000$11.7MFREE AGENT
Doug Davis3310.000$8.8MFREE AGENT
Dan Haren286.000$7.5M$5.1MFREE AGENT
Brandon Webb306.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jon Garland299.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Scott Schoeneweis3510.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Felipe Lopez298.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jon Rauch307.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Tony Clark3714.000$800kFREE AGENT
Augie Ojeda349.000$712k$825kFREE AGENT
Tom Gordon4121.000$500kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Chad Tracy295.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Conor Jackson274.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Qualls305.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Snyder285.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Young253.000$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Drew263.000$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Cabrera285.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Miguel Montero253.000$425kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Slaten293.000$422kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit243.000$412kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Roberts283.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer274.000$270kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Pena273.000$221kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Wilson284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Max Scherzer241.000$1.4MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds252.000$422kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Upton212.000$412kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Buckner252.000$403kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Rosales281.000$403kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Whitesell271.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Gutierrez252.000$401kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmerling Vasquez250.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerardo Parra220.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Allen230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Zavada250.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Schlereth230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Korecky29
Bryan Augenstein220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Carlin280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hester250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Mulvey24
Alex Romero251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trent Oeltjen26
Rusty Ryal260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2009; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3