RRosternomics

Diamondbacks ARI

GM: Josh Byrnes

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.72× league · TAB -0.5
-0.5TAB — talent above budget19th/30
-1.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars29th/30
-3.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
33%dead money %17th/30
0.469win %22nd/30
29.8roster fWAR22nd/30
+2surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$55Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFEric Byrnes 123GJeff DaVanon 36GChris Young 24G
LFLuis Gonzalez 150GEric Byrnes 12GJeff DaVanon 8G
RFCarlos Quentin 44GJeff DaVanon 16GEric Byrnes 10G
SSCraig Counsell 88GStephen Drew 56GDamion Easley 27G
2BOrlando Hudson 157GDamion Easley 9GAndy Green 6G
3BChad Tracy 147GDamion Easley 20GAndy Green 7G
1BConor Jackson 129GTony Clark 53GChad Tracy 6G
STARTERSBrandon Webb 6.4WARMiguel Batista 2.6WARClaudio Vargas 1.6WAREnrique Gonzalez 1.6WARJuan Cruz 1.4WAR
CJohnny Estrada 108GChris Snyder 60GMiguel Montero 5G
DHJeff DaVanon 3GChad Tracy 2GDamion Easley 1G
BULLPEN Jose Valverde 18svLuis Vizcaino 25hBrandon Lyon 23hBrandon Medders 10hRandy Choate 5hGreg Aquino 2hRamon Pena 2hJorge Julio 1h
CJohnny Estrada 108 · Chris Snyder 60 · Miguel Montero 5
1BConor Jackson 129 · Tony Clark 53 · Chad Tracy 6
2BOrlando Hudson 157 · Damion Easley 9 · Andy Green 6
3BChad Tracy 147 · Damion Easley 20 · Andy Green 7
SSCraig Counsell 88 · Stephen Drew 56 · Damion Easley 27
LFLuis Gonzalez 150 · Eric Byrnes 12 · Jeff DaVanon 8
CFEric Byrnes 123 · Jeff DaVanon 36 · Chris Young 24
RFCarlos Quentin 44 · Jeff DaVanon 16 · Eric Byrnes 10
DHJeff DaVanon 3 · Chad Tracy 2 · Damion Easley 1
SPBrandon Webb 6.4 · Miguel Batista 2.6 · Claudio Vargas 1.6 · Enrique Gonzalez 1.6 · Juan Cruz 1.4
BP Jose Valverde 18 · Luis Vizcaino 25 · Brandon Lyon 23 · Brandon Medders 10 · Randy Choate 5 · Greg Aquino 2 · Ramon Pena 2 · Jorge Julio 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brandon Webb 27 arb 336.4 2.5 +10.3
Eric Byrnes 30 FA-elig 1432.9 2.2 +3.6
Miguel Batista 35 FA-elig 342.6 4.8 +0.3
Orlando Hudson 28 arb 1571.9 2.3 +1.5
Chad Tracy 26 pre-arb 1541.8 0.4 +3.2
Claudio Vargas 28 arb 311.6 1.3 +1.9
Enrique Gonzalez 23 231.6
Juan Cruz 27 arb 311.4 0.6 +2.2
Stephen Drew 23 pre-arb 591.0 0.3 +1.7
Carlos Quentin 23 570.9 0.3 +1.5
Jose Valverde 28 arb 440.9 0.4 +1.5
Orlando Hernandez↔ NYM 36 FA-elig 90.9 1.4 +0.4
Luis Gonzalez 38 FA-elig 1530.9 10.7 -8.9
Craig Counsell 35 FA-elig 1050.9 1.8 -0.1
Chris Snyder 25 pre-arb 610.8 0.3 +1.3
Livan Hernandez↔ WSN 31 FA-elig 110.8 2.4 -0.7
Jeff DaVanon 32 FA-elig 870.8 0.5 +1.1
Johnny Estrada 30 arb 1150.7 2.0 -0.5
Brandon Lyon 26 arb 680.7 0.8 +0.6
Brandon Medders 26 pre-arb 600.7 0.3 +1.0
Luis Vizcaino 31 FA-elig 700.6 1.8 -0.5
Conor Jackson 24 pre-arb 1400.4 0.3 +0.5
Chris Young 22 300.3 0.5 +0.2
Randy Choate 30 300.3 0.8 -0.1
Jorge Julio↔ NYM 27 arb 440.3 1.8 -1.1
Edgar Gonzalez 23 110.3
Doug Slaten 26 90.1
Robby Hammock 29 10.1
Mike Koplove 29 20.1
Casey Daigle 25 100.0
Miguel Montero 22 6-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Scott Hairston 26 9-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Greg Aquino 28 pre-arb 42-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Kevin Jarvis↔ BOS 36 5-0.1
Jason Grimsley 38 FA-elig 19-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Russ Ortiz↔ BAL 32 FA-elig 6-0.1 1.8 -2.0
Terry Mulholland 43 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Ramon Pena 24 25-0.1
Damion Easley 36 FA-elig 90-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Andy Green 28 pre-arb 73-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Alberto Callaspo 23 23-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Jeff Bajenaru 28 1-0.3
Dustin Nippert 25 2-0.4
Shawn Green↔ NYM 33 FA-elig 115-0.6 7.9 -9.1
Tony Clark 34 FA-elig 79-0.9 1.0 -2.9

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Eric Byrnes2.9
Miguel Batista2.6
Orlando Hudson1.9
Enrique Gonzalez1.6
Juan Cruz1.4
Stephen Drew1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Javier Vazquez4.0
Troy Glaus3.2
Brad Halsey1.8
Shawn Estes0.6
Lance Cormier0.2
Tim Worrell0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$55.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Luis Gonzalez3816.000$10.7MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green3313.000$7.9MFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista3514.000$4.8MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3110.000$2.4M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Eric Byrnes306.000$2.2M$4.6M$6.7M$11.7MFREE AGENT
Russ Ortiz328.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Luis Vizcaino317.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Craig Counsell3511.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Orlando Hernandez368.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Tony Clark3411.000$1.0M$1.0M$583k$800kFREE AGENT
Jason Grimsley3817.000$825kFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland4320.000$800kFREE AGENT
Randy Choate306.000$750kFREE AGENT
Damion Easley3614.000$700kFREE AGENT
Jeff DaVanon327.000$525k$833kFREE AGENT
Kevin Jarvis3612.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Brandon Webb273.000$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Hudson284.000$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Estrada305.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge Julio275.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Claudio Vargas283.000$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Lyon265.000$830kFREE AGENT
Juan Cruz275.000$575kFREE AGENT
Jose Valverde283.000$359kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Koplove295.000FREE AGENT
Robby Hammock293.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Gonzalez233.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Chris Young220.000$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Tracy262.000$381kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Aquino282.000$342kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snyder252.000$341kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Green282.000$330kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Jackson241.000$328kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hairston262.000$327kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Medders261.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo230.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Quentin230.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Montero220.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Drew230.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Daigle252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Nippert251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Pena240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Bajenaru28
Enrique Gonzalez230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Slaten260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3