RRosternomics

Diamondbacks ARI

GM: Josh Byrnes

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.66× league · TAB -3.2
-3.2TAB — talent above budget19th/30
+13.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)2nd/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-4.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
32%dead money %17th/30
0.556win %5th/30
26.0roster fWAR25th/30
-6surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/30
$55Mpayroll $M26th/30

2007: made playoffs · 90–72. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFChris Young 146GEric Byrnes 23GJeff Salazar 1G
LFEric Byrnes 123GJeff Salazar 6GRobby Hammock 5G
RFCarlos Quentin 75GJustin Upton 42GEric Byrnes 35G
SSStephen Drew 147GAugie Ojeda 12GAlberto Callaspo 9G
2BOrlando Hudson 137GAugie Ojeda 26GAlberto Callaspo 10G
3BMark Reynolds 104GChad Tracy 48GJeff Cirillo 26G
1BConor Jackson 108GTony Clark 83GChad Tracy 18G
STARTERSBrandon Webb 5.6WARMicah Owings 3.0WARDoug Davis 1.7WARRandy Johnson 1.5WARLivan Hernandez 0.3WAR
CChris Snyder 106GMiguel Montero 73GRobby Hammock 12G
DHConor Jackson 3GChad Tracy 2GOrlando Hudson 1G
BULLPEN Jose Valverde 47svBrandon Lyon 35hRamon Pena 30hDoug Slaten 7hJuan Cruz 4hDustin Nippert 2hBrandon Medders 2hBob Wickman 1h
CChris Snyder 106 · Miguel Montero 73 · Robby Hammock 12
1BConor Jackson 108 · Tony Clark 83 · Chad Tracy 18
2BOrlando Hudson 137 · Augie Ojeda 26 · Alberto Callaspo 10
3BMark Reynolds 104 · Chad Tracy 48 · Jeff Cirillo 26
SSStephen Drew 147 · Augie Ojeda 12 · Alberto Callaspo 9
LFEric Byrnes 123 · Jeff Salazar 6 · Robby Hammock 5
CFChris Young 146 · Eric Byrnes 23 · Jeff Salazar 1
RFCarlos Quentin 75 · Justin Upton 42 · Eric Byrnes 35
DHConor Jackson 3 · Chad Tracy 2 · Orlando Hudson 1
SPBrandon Webb 5.6 · Micah Owings 3.0 · Doug Davis 1.7 · Randy Johnson 1.5 · Livan Hernandez 0.3
BP Jose Valverde 47 · Brandon Lyon 35 · Ramon Pena 30 · Doug Slaten 7 · Juan Cruz 4 · Dustin Nippert 2 · Brandon Medders 2 · Bob Wickman 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brandon Webb 28 arb 345.6 4.5 +7.6
Eric Byrnes 31 FA-elig 1603.6 4.6 +3.2
Micah Owings 24 353.0
Orlando Hudson 29 arb 1392.6 3.9 +1.6
Mark Reynolds 23 1111.8 0.4 +3.5
Doug Davis 31 FA-elig 331.7 5.5 -1.9
Chris Snyder 26 arb 1101.6 0.4 +3.1
Randy Johnson 43 FA-elig 101.5 9.1 -5.8
Brandon Lyon 27 FA-elig 731.5 1.5 +1.7
Jose Valverde 29 arb 651.4 2.0 +1.1
Conor Jackson 25 pre-arb 1301.1 0.4 +1.9
Chris Young 23 pre-arb 1480.8 0.4 +1.4
Ramon Pena 25 pre-arb 750.7 0.4 +1.1
Chad Tracy 27 arb 760.7 3.0 -1.6
Juan Cruz 28 FA-elig 530.6 1.4 -0.2
Jeff Salazar 26 380.5
Scott Hairston↔ SDP 27 arb 760.5 0.3 +0.7
Livan Hernandez 32 FA-elig 340.3 7.0 -6.3
Augie Ojeda 32 570.3
Edgar Gonzalez 24 arb 320.2 0.4 +0.1
Dustin Nippert 26 pre-arb 360.2 0.4 +0.1
Doug Slaten 27 pre-arb 610.2 0.4 +0.0
Bob Wickman↔ ATL 38 FA-elig 80.1 0.9 -0.8
Mike Schultz 27 10.0
Tony Clark 35 FA-elig 1130.0 1.0 -1.0
Dana Eveland 23 50.0 0.4 -0.4
Randy Choate 31 20.0
J.D. Durbin↔ PHI 25 arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Enrique Gonzalez 24 1-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Yusmeiro Petit 22 14-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Jason Smith↔ KCR 29 FA-elig 2-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Emilio Bonifácio 22 11-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Donnie Sadler 32 1-0.0
Jeff Cirillo↔ MIN 37 FA-elig 28-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Bill Murphy 26 10-0.1
Byung-Hyun Kim↔ COL 28 FA-elig 2-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Carlos Quentin 24 pre-arb 81-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Jeff DaVanon↔ OAK 33 FA-elig 13-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Joe Kennedy↔ OAK 28 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Robby Hammock 30 arb 34-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Jailen Peguero 26 18-0.2
Brian Barden↔ STL 26 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Miguel Montero 23 pre-arb 84-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Stephen Drew 24 pre-arb 150-0.6 1.5 -2.7
Justin Upton 19 43-0.6 0.4 -1.6
Brandon Medders 27 pre-arb 30-0.7 0.4 -1.8
Alberto Callaspo 24 pre-arb 56-1.1 0.4 -2.7

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Micah Owings3.0
Mark Reynolds1.8
Doug Davis1.7
Randy Johnson1.5
Jeff Salazar0.5
Augie Ojeda0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Miguel Batista2.6
Claudio Vargas1.6
Orlando Hernandez0.9
Luis Gonzalez0.9
Craig Counsell0.9
Johnny Estrada0.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$54.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Randy Johnson4319.000$9.1M$15.1MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3211.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Doug Davis318.000$5.5M$7.8M$8.8MFREE AGENT
Eric Byrnes317.000$4.6M$6.7M$11.7MFREE AGENT
Brandon Lyon276.000$1.5M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Juan Cruz286.000$1.4M$1.9MFREE AGENT
Tony Clark3512.000$1.0M$583k$800kFREE AGENT
Bob Wickman3815.000$912kFREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo3713.000$538kFREE AGENT
Jeff DaVanon338.000$417kFREE AGENT
Joe Kennedy286.000$215kFREE AGENT
Byung-Hyun Kim288.000$179kFREE AGENT
Jason Smith296.000$14kFREE AGENT
Donnie Sadler329.000FREE AGENT
Augie Ojeda327.000$550k$712k$825kFREE AGENT
Randy Choate317.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Brandon Webb284.000$4.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Hudson295.000$3.9MFREE AGENT
Chad Tracy273.000$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Valverde294.000$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snyder263.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robby Hammock304.000$390kARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Gonzalez244.000$388kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hairston273.000$276kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Durbin253.000$20kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Stephen Drew241.000$1.5MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Jackson252.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Medders272.000$390kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dana Eveland232.000$382kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Pena251.000$381kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Quentin241.000$381kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emilio Bonifácio220.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yusmeiro Petit221.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Young231.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Upton190.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo241.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds230.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Gonzalez241.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Nippert262.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Montero231.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Slaten271.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Barden260.000$132kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Murphy26
Jeff Salazar261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Schultz27
Micah Owings240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jailen Peguero26

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3