RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Jerry Dipoto

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.19× league · TAB -4.7
-4.7TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
-6.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)21st/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars19th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
27%dead money %6th/30
0.481win %17th/30
31.7roster fWAR17th/30
-35surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$123Mpayroll $M9th/30

Roster

CFMike Trout 111GPeter Bourjos 53GCollin Cowgill 24G
LFJB Shuck 97GMike Trout 47GCollin Cowgill 32G
RFJosh Hamilton 83GKole Calhoun 54GMark Trumbo 19G
SSErick Aybar 138GBrendan Harris 21GAndrew Romine 17G
2BHowie Kendrick 118GGrant Green 45GTommy Field 9G
3BChris Nelson 57GLuis Jimenez 29GAndrew Romine 24G
1BMark Trumbo 123GAlbert Pujols 34GBrad Hawpe 7G
STARTERSC.J. Wilson 2.9WARJered Weaver 2.3WARJason Vargas 1.7WARGarrett Richards 1.7WARTommy Hanson 0.4WAR
CChris Iannetta 113GHank Conger 71GJohn Hester 1G
DHAlbert Pujols 65GJosh Hamilton 37GMark Trumbo 17G
BULLPEN Ernesto Frieri 37svDane De La Rosa 20hMichael Kohn 8hKevin Jepsen 8hBuddy Boshers 6hJuan Gutierrez 4hCory Rasmus 2hRobert Coello 0h
CChris Iannetta 113 · Hank Conger 71 · John Hester 1
1BMark Trumbo 123 · Albert Pujols 34 · Brad Hawpe 7
2BHowie Kendrick 118 · Grant Green 45 · Tommy Field 9
3BChris Nelson 57 · Luis Jimenez 29 · Andrew Romine 24
SSErick Aybar 138 · Brendan Harris 21 · Andrew Romine 17
LFJB Shuck 97 · Mike Trout 47 · Collin Cowgill 32
CFMike Trout 111 · Peter Bourjos 53 · Collin Cowgill 24
RFJosh Hamilton 83 · Kole Calhoun 54 · Mark Trumbo 19
DHAlbert Pujols 65 · Josh Hamilton 37 · Mark Trumbo 17
SPC.J. Wilson 2.9 · Jered Weaver 2.3 · Jason Vargas 1.7 · Garrett Richards 1.7 · Tommy Hanson 0.4
BP Ernesto Frieri 37 · Dane De La Rosa 20 · Michael Kohn 8 · Kevin Jepsen 8 · Buddy Boshers 6 · Juan Gutierrez 4 · Cory Rasmus 2 · Robert Coello 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Trout 21 pre-arb 15710.1 0.5 +26.7
C.J. Wilson 32 FA-elig 332.9 11.0 -3.2
Hank Conger 25 arb 922.8 0.5 +7.0
Jered Weaver 30 FA-elig 242.3 16.0 -9.9
Howie Kendrick 29 FA-elig 1222.1 8.8 -3.0
Garrett Richards 25 pre-arb 471.7 0.5 +4.1
Jason Vargas 30 FA-elig 241.7 8.5 -4.0
Mark Trumbo 27 arb 1591.7 0.5 +3.9
Josh Hamilton 32 FA-elig 1511.3 17.0 -13.5
Erick Aybar 29 FA-elig 1381.2 8.5 -5.4
Dane De La Rosa 30 751.0 0.5 +2.3
Kole Calhoun 25 pre-arb 581.0 0.5 +2.2
JB Shuck 26 pre-arb 1290.8 0.5 +1.6
Ernesto Frieri 27 pre-arb 670.7 0.5 +1.4
Grant Green↔ OAK 25 pre-arb 400.7 0.1 +1.6
Peter Bourjos 26 pre-arb 550.6 0.5 +1.0
Albert Pujols 33 FA-elig 990.5 16.0 -14.7
Robert Coello 28 160.4 0.4 +0.7
Tommy Hanson 26 arb 150.4 3.7 -2.7
Alberto Callaspo↔ OAK 30 FA-elig 860.4 2.6 -1.6
Luis Jimenez 25 340.3 0.2 +0.7
Scott Downs↔ ATL 37 FA-elig 430.3 3.2 -2.3
Michael Roth 23 pre-arb 150.3 0.1 +0.8
Kevin Jepsen 28 arb 450.3 1.2 -0.4
Jerome Williams 31 FA-elig 370.3 2.0 -1.3
Buddy Boshers 25 pre-arb 250.2 0.1 +0.4
Matt Shoemaker 26 10.1 0.0 +0.3
Collin Cowgill↔ NYM 27 pre-arb 500.1 0.3 -0.1
Efren Navarro 27 pre-arb 40.1 0.0 +0.1
Juan Gutierrez↔ KCR 29 FA-elig 280.1 0.4 -0.3
John Hester 29 arb 10.0 0.5 -0.4
Ryan Brasier 25 7-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Sean Burnett 30 FA-elig 13-0.1 3.5 -3.6
Scott Cousins 28 7-0.1
Andrew Romine 27 arb 47-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Cory Rasmus↔ ATL 25 pre-arb 16-0.2 0.1 -0.5
Daniel Stange 27 3-0.2
Brad Hawpe 34 17-0.2
Michael Kohn 27 pre-arb 63-0.2 0.4 -1.1
David Carpenter 25 pre-arb 1-0.3 0.5 -1.2
Chris Nelson↔ COL 27 arb 33-0.3 0.3 -1.0
Mark Lowe 30 FA-elig 11-0.3 0.6 -1.3
Barry Enright 27 pre-arb 4-0.3 0.1 -0.8
Nick Maronde 23 pre-arb 10-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Tommy Field 26 15-0.3
Joe Blanton 32 FA-elig 28-0.4 6.5 -7.5
Brendan Harris 32 44-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Billy Buckner 29 7-0.5
Chris Iannetta 30 FA-elig 115-0.6 5.0 -6.5

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Jason Vargas1.7
Josh Hamilton1.3
Dane De La Rosa1.0
JB Shuck0.8
Grant Green0.7
Robert Coello0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Torii Hunter4.7
Kendrys Morales1.5
Zack Greinke1.4
Bobby Wilson1.2
Maicer Izturis0.8
Jordan Walden0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$123.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Josh Hamilton326.000$17.0M$17.0MFREE AGENT
Albert Pujols3312.000$16.0M$23.0M$24.0M$25.0M$26.0M$27.0M$28.0M
Jered Weaver306.129$16.0M$16.0M$18.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
C.J. Wilson327.055$11.0M$16.0M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick296.091$8.8M$9.3MFREE AGENT
Erick Aybar296.086$8.5M$8.5M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Joe Blanton328.016$6.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta306.013$5.0M$5.0M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Sean Burnett306.085$3.5M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Downs3710.121$3.2MFREE AGENT
Mark Lowe306.087$575kFREE AGENT
Juan Gutierrez296.000$396kFREE AGENT
Brendan Harris329.000$383kFREE AGENT
Brad Hawpe348.058FREE AGENT
Billy Buckner296.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Jason Vargas305.114$8.5MFREE AGENT
Tommy Hanson263.120$3.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo305.135$2.6MFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams314.049$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Kevin Jepsen282.163$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo272.027$540kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ernesto Frieri272.101$530kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bourjos262.062$512kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Trout211.070$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JB Shuck260.055$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hester291.127$495kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Richards250.148$495kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hank Conger251.051$495kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Carpenter251.000$493kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Romine270.140$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun250.066$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane De La Rosa302.000$453kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kohn271.112$439kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Coello28$380k
Collin Cowgill271.014$338kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nelson272.171$253kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Jimenez251.109$187kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buddy Boshers252.026$137kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Roth230.086$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Green251.033$131kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Brasier250.000$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Rasmus251.155$86kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Maronde230.088$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Barry Enright270.164$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Shoemaker260.000$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Efren Navarro270.028$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Stange27
Tommy Field261.094Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Cousins282.108ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3