RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Jerry Dipoto

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.49× league · TAB +4.6
+4.6TAB — talent above budget12th/30
+1.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag10th/30
36%dead money %16th/30
0.549win %10th/30
43.8roster fWAR6th/30
-33surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$149Mpayroll $M3rd/30

Roster

CFMike Trout 110GPeter Bourjos 90GVernon Wells 6G
LFVernon Wells 69GMike Trout 67GMark Trumbo 66G
RFTorii Hunter 134GMark Trumbo 35GKole Calhoun 14G
SSErick Aybar 139GMaicer Izturis 26GAndrew Romine 8G
2BHowie Kendrick 143GMaicer Izturis 29GAndrew Romine 1G
3BAlberto Callaspo 131GMaicer Izturis 30GMark Trumbo 8G
1BAlbert Pujols 120GKendrys Morales 28GMark Trumbo 21G
STARTERSJered Weaver 3.2WARC.J. Wilson 2.6WARDan Haren 1.7WARZack Greinke 1.4WARJerome Williams 0.9WAR
CChris Iannetta 78GBobby Wilson 72GJohn Hester 38G
DHKendrys Morales 92GAlbert Pujols 34GMark Trumbo 23G
BULLPEN Ernesto Frieri 23svScott Downs 25hKevin Jepsen 18hJordan Walden 8hLaTroy Hawkins 6hJason Isringhausen 4hNick Maronde 3hDavid Carpenter 2h
CChris Iannetta 78 · Bobby Wilson 72 · John Hester 38
1BAlbert Pujols 120 · Kendrys Morales 28 · Mark Trumbo 21
2BHowie Kendrick 143 · Maicer Izturis 29 · Andrew Romine 1
3BAlberto Callaspo 131 · Maicer Izturis 30 · Mark Trumbo 8
SSErick Aybar 139 · Maicer Izturis 26 · Andrew Romine 8
LFVernon Wells 69 · Mike Trout 67 · Mark Trumbo 66
CFMike Trout 110 · Peter Bourjos 90 · Vernon Wells 6
RFTorii Hunter 134 · Mark Trumbo 35 · Kole Calhoun 14
DHKendrys Morales 92 · Albert Pujols 34 · Mark Trumbo 23
SPJered Weaver 3.2 · C.J. Wilson 2.6 · Dan Haren 1.7 · Zack Greinke 1.4 · Jerome Williams 0.9
BP Ernesto Frieri 23 · Scott Downs 25 · Kevin Jepsen 18 · Jordan Walden 8 · LaTroy Hawkins 6 · Jason Isringhausen 4 · Nick Maronde 3 · David Carpenter 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Trout 20 pre-arb 13910.1 0.5 +25.5
Torii Hunter 36 FA-elig 1404.7 18.0 -5.8
Erick Aybar 28 FA-elig 1413.5 5.1 +3.8
Albert Pujols 32 FA-elig 1543.3 12.0 -3.5
Jered Weaver 29 FA-elig 303.2 14.0 -5.9
Alberto Callaspo 29 FA-elig 1383.0 3.1 +4.5
Mark Trumbo 26 pre-arb 1442.8 0.5 +6.8
C.J. Wilson 31 FA-elig 342.6 10.0 -3.3
Howie Kendrick 28 FA-elig 1472.3 4.5 +1.5
Dan Haren 31 FA-elig 311.7 12.8 -8.4
Kendrys Morales 29 FA-elig 1341.5 3.0 +1.0
Zack Greinke↔ MIL 28 FA-elig 131.4 4.7 -1.0
Peter Bourjos 25 pre-arb 1011.3 0.5 +2.9
Bobby Wilson 29 arb 751.2 0.5 +2.5
Jerome Williams 30 FA-elig 320.9 0.8 +1.6
Maicer Izturis 31 FA-elig 1000.8 3.8 -1.8
Kevin Jepsen 27 arb 490.7 0.5 +1.4
Ernesto Frieri↔ SDP 26 arb 560.7 0.4 +1.4
Jordan Walden 24 pre-arb 450.5 0.5 +0.8
Hisanori Takahashi↔ PIT 37 pre-arb 420.4 3.5 -2.5
Brad Mills 27 pre-arb 10.3 0.5 +0.3
Scott Downs 36 FA-elig 570.2 5.0 -4.4
Vernon Wells 33 FA-elig 770.2 21.0 -20.5
Garrett Richards 24 pre-arb 300.2 0.5 -0.0
Andrew Romine 26 pre-arb 120.2 0.5 -0.1
Nick Maronde 22 pre-arb 120.1 0.5 -0.1
Chris Iannetta 29 FA-elig 790.0 3.5 -3.5
Alexi Amarista↔ SDP 23 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Andrew Taylor 25 3-0.0
David Pauley↔ TOR 29 5-0.0
Steve Geltz 24 2-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Jean Segura↔ MIL 22 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Hank Conger 24 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Rich Thompson↔ OAK 27 arb 2-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Barry Enright 26 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Kole Calhoun 24 21-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Ryan Langerhans 32 2-0.1
Bobby Abreu↔ LAD 38 FA-elig 8-0.1 0.7 -1.0
LaTroy Hawkins 39 FA-elig 48-0.1 3.0 -3.3
Jason Isringhausen 39 FA-elig 50-0.3 0.7 -1.4
David Carpenter 24 28-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Bobby Cassevah 26 pre-arb 4-0.8 0.5 -2.5
Ervin Santana 29 FA-elig 30-0.8 11.2 -13.3
John Hester 28 39-1.0

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Albert Pujols3.3
C.J. Wilson2.6
Kendrys Morales1.5
Zack Greinke1.4
Ernesto Frieri0.7
Brad Mills0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Joel Pineiro0.5
Matt Palmer0.3
Gil Velazquez0.1
Tyler Chatwood0.1
Trevor Bell0.1
Chris Pettit0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$148.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Vernon Wells3310.113$21.0MFREE AGENT
Torii Hunter3612.135$18.0MFREE AGENT
Dan Haren317.154$12.8MFREE AGENT
Albert Pujols3211.000$12.0M$16.0M$23.0M$24.0M$25.0M$26.0M$27.0M
Ervin Santana296.104$11.2MFREE AGENT
C.J. Wilson316.055$10.0M$11.0M$16.0M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Downs369.121$5.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Zack Greinke287.057$4.7MFREE AGENT
Maicer Izturis317.038$3.8MFREE AGENT
LaTroy Hawkins3915.054$3.0MFREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu3814.165$720kFREE AGENT
Jason Isringhausen3915.030$650kFREE AGENT
Ryan Langerhans326.053FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Jered Weaver295.129$14.0MFREE AGENT
Erick Aybar285.086$5.1MFREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick285.091$4.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta295.013$3.5MFREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo294.135$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kendrys Morales294.057$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerome Williams303.049$820kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Thompson275.000$330kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Hisanori Takahashi372.000$3.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen272.041$501kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo261.027$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bourjos251.062$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Walden241.043$495kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Trout200.083$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Cassevah261.007$490kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Wilson292.076$488kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Barry Enright260.134$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Mills270.138$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Maronde220.088$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hank Conger241.008$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Romine260.061$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Richards240.050$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Geltz240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Carpenter240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ernesto Frieri261.101$409kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Amarista230.075$5kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jean Segura220.000$4kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Hester280.127Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Pauley292.011ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Taylor25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3