RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Jerry Dipoto

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.48× league · TAB -0.8
-0.8TAB — talent above budget14th/30
-1.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
48%dead money %25th/30
0.531win %11th/30
38.3roster fWAR11th/30
-48surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$141Mpayroll $M4th/30

Roster

CFPeter Bourjos 147GMike Trout 13GVernon Wells 12G
LFVernon Wells 111GHowie Kendrick 23GReggie Willits 19G
RFTorii Hunter 136GMike Trout 13GMark Trumbo 10G
SSErick Aybar 142GMaicer Izturis 16GAndrew Romine 7G
2BHowie Kendrick 108GMaicer Izturis 49GAlexi Amarista 14G
3BAlberto Callaspo 129GMaicer Izturis 37GAndrew Romine 3G
1BMark Trumbo 149GRussell Branyan 25GHowie Kendrick 17G
STARTERSDan Haren 6.0WARJered Weaver 5.4WARErvin Santana 2.5WARJoel Pineiro 0.5WARJerome Williams 0.3WAR
CJeff Mathis 91GHank Conger 56GBobby Wilson 47G
DHBobby Abreu 108GTorii Hunter 19GRussell Branyan 13G
BULLPEN Jordan Walden 32svScott Downs 26hFernando Rodney 10hHisanori Takahashi 7hBobby Cassevah 6hRich Thompson 3hKevin Jepsen 2hTrevor Bell 0h
CJeff Mathis 91 · Hank Conger 56 · Bobby Wilson 47
1BMark Trumbo 149 · Russell Branyan 25 · Howie Kendrick 17
2BHowie Kendrick 108 · Maicer Izturis 49 · Alexi Amarista 14
3BAlberto Callaspo 129 · Maicer Izturis 37 · Andrew Romine 3
SSErick Aybar 142 · Maicer Izturis 16 · Andrew Romine 7
LFVernon Wells 111 · Howie Kendrick 23 · Reggie Willits 19
CFPeter Bourjos 147 · Mike Trout 13 · Vernon Wells 12
RFTorii Hunter 136 · Mike Trout 13 · Mark Trumbo 10
DHBobby Abreu 108 · Torii Hunter 19 · Russell Branyan 13
SPDan Haren 6.0 · Jered Weaver 5.4 · Ervin Santana 2.5 · Joel Pineiro 0.5 · Jerome Williams 0.3
BP Jordan Walden 32 · Scott Downs 26 · Fernando Rodney 10 · Hisanori Takahashi 7 · Bobby Cassevah 6 · Rich Thompson 3 · Kevin Jepsen 2 · Trevor Bell 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dan Haren 30 FA-elig 356.0 12.8 +1.8
Jered Weaver 28 arb 335.4 7.4 +5.8
Howie Kendrick 27 arb 1405.4 3.3 +9.9
Peter Bourjos 24 pre-arb 1474.3 0.4 +10.0
Erick Aybar 27 arb 1433.8 3.0 +6.3
Alberto Callaspo 28 arb 1413.6 2.0 +6.7
Ervin Santana 28 FA-elig 332.5 8.0 -1.8
Torii Hunter 35 FA-elig 1562.0 18.5 -13.6
Maicer Izturis 30 FA-elig 1221.9 3.3 +1.3
Mark Trumbo 25 pre-arb 1491.8 0.4 +4.0
Jordan Walden 23 pre-arb 621.4 0.4 +3.0
Mike Trout 19 400.7 0.1 +1.6
Scott Downs 35 FA-elig 600.6 5.0 -3.4
Hank Conger 23 pre-arb 590.6 0.4 +1.1
Joel Pineiro 32 FA-elig 270.5 8.0 -6.7
Rich Thompson 26 arb 440.4 0.4 +0.7
Vernon Wells 32 FA-elig 1310.4 26.2 -25.3
Matt Palmer 32 30.3
Jerome Williams 29 FA-elig 100.3 0.4 +0.3
Hisanori Takahashi 36 pre-arb 610.2 3.8 -3.2
Bobby Abreu 37 FA-elig 1420.2 9.0 -8.4
Bobby Cassevah 25 pre-arb 300.2 0.4 -0.0
Gil Velazquez 31 40.1
Tyler Chatwood 21 270.1 0.4 -0.1
Trevor Bell 24 190.1 0.9 -0.8
Chris Pettit 26 pre-arb 10.0 0.4 -0.4
Russell Branyan↔ ARI 35 FA-elig 37-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Efren Navarro 25 8-0.0
Horacio Ramirez 31 12-0.0
Jeremy Moore 24 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Andrew Romine 25 pre-arb 10-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Jeff Mathis 28 FA-elig 93-0.1 1.7 -2.0
Francisco Rodriguez 28 10-0.1 2.5 -2.8
Bobby Wilson 28 arb 57-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Scott Kazmir 27 FA-elig 1-0.2 12.0 -12.5
Reggie Willits 30 arb 22-0.2 0.8 -1.3
Brandon Wood↔ PIT 26 arb 6-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Garrett Richards 23 7-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Jason Bulger 32 FA-elig 5-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Fernando Rodney 34 FA-elig 39-0.4 5.5 -6.5
Kevin Jepsen 26 arb 16-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Alexi Amarista 22 23-0.7 0.4 -2.0
Michael Kohn 25 pre-arb 14-0.9 0.4 -2.6

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Trout0.7
Scott Downs0.6
Vernon Wells0.4
Jerome Williams0.3
Hisanori Takahashi0.2
Gil Velazquez0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Mike Napoli2.2
Hideki Matsui1.5
Joe Saunders0.7
Juan Rivera0.4
Ryan Budde0.2
Sean O'Sullivan0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$141.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Vernon Wells329.113$26.2M$21.0MFREE AGENT
Torii Hunter3511.135$18.5M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Dan Haren306.154$12.8M$12.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Kazmir276.042$12.0MFREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu3713.165$9.0M$8.3MFREE AGENT
Joel Pineiro329.144$8.0MFREE AGENT
Fernando Rodney347.137$5.5MFREE AGENT
Scott Downs358.121$5.0M$5.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Maicer Izturis306.038$3.3M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Russell Branyan359.147$544kFREE AGENT
Jason Bulger326.000$423kFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams297.043$414k$820k$2.0MFREE AGENT
Horacio Ramirez318.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Ervin Santana285.104$8.0MFREE AGENT
Jered Weaver284.129$7.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick274.091$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Aybar274.086$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo283.135$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Mathis284.012$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Willits304.051$775kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Thompson264.000$418kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Palmer323.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Hisanori Takahashi361.000$3.8MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Rodriguez28$2.5M
Trevor Bell240.000$925kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen261.169$435kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Wilson281.076$416kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo250.027$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Cassevah250.051$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Walden230.043$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hank Conger230.027$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bourjos240.062$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Romine250.010$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Chatwood210.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Moore240.028$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Pettit261.040$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Amarista220.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Richards230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kohn250.070$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Trout190.000$149kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Wood262.015$24kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gil Velazquez310.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Efren Navarro250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3