RRosternomics
TP

Tim Purpura

Born Mar 19, 1958 · Oak Lawn, IL · age 68

General manager for the Astros (2005–2007).

3 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants1
Playoffs1
Record244–242
Win %0.502
-1.1GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±6.5107th/195 execs
8.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)24th/195 execs
-4.2Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)37th/195 execs
28%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)40th/195 execs
$16MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track90th/195 execs
$7MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)82nd/195 execs
$7MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade64th/195 execs
$2MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees55th/195 execs
-1.8TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total87th/195 execs
-4.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)86th/195 execs
2.04Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)80th/195 execs
-40Roster surplus $M97th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Astros GM 2005–2007 3 -4.9 -1.63 -1.8 -18.7 +66.8 -35.9 -17.5 -0.4 2.04 0.502 11 -40
Career total (1985+ data) 3 -4.9 -1.8 -18.7 +66.8 -35.9 -17.5 -0.4 2.04 0.502 11 -40

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+66.8
Trade-35.9
Free agency-17.5
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.4
Sourcing mix: 83% draft · 16% FA · 1% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Tim Purpura's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 42 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
José Altuve 2B HOU Intl FA 2007 15 +60.5 +4.0
Carlos Lee OF HOU Free agency 2006 5 +7.7 +1.5 0.3
Bud Norris P HOU Draft 2006 5 +5.4 +1.1
Ty Wigginton 1B/3B HOU Trade 2007 2 +3.4 +1.7 0.1
Mark Loretta 2B HOU Free agency 2007 3 +2.1 +0.7 1.4
Kazuo Matsui 2B HOU Free agency 2007 2 +1.8 +0.9 2.5
José Valverde P HOU Trade 2007 2 +1.8 +0.9 1.5
Brian Moehler P HOU Trade 2007 4 +1.5 +0.4 0.0
Geoff Blum 3B HOU Free agency 2007 5 +1.4 +0.3 4.6
Brian Bogusevic OF HOU Draft 2005 1 +1.4 +1.4
Brandon Barnes OF HOU Draft 2005 2 +0.9 +0.4
Trever Miller P HOU Free agency 2006 3 +0.6 +0.2 0.6
Dennis Sarfate P HOU Trade 2007 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.1
John Franco P HOU Free agency 2005 1 +0.3 +0.3 2.1
Woody Williams P HOU Free agency 2006 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Orlando Palmeiro OF HOU Trade 2005 1 +0.3 +0.3 5.6
Jason Jennings P HOU Trade 2007 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Doug Brocail P HOU Free agency 2007 2 +0.2 +0.1 0.0
Darin Erstad 1B/OF HOU Free agency 2007 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.9
Cody Ransom 3B/SS HOU Trade 2007 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0
Geoff Geary P HOU Trade 2007 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.8
Jack Cassel P HOU Free agency 2007 -0.0
José Cisnero P HOU Intl FA 2007 1 -0.0 -0.0
Charles Gipson OF HOU Free agency 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
David Martínez P HOU Intl FA 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0
Henry Villar P HOU Intl FA 2005 -0.0
Travis Driskill P HOU Trade 2005 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.3
Aubrey Huff 1B HOU Trade 2006 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Dave Borkowski P HOU Free agency 2005 2 -0.1 -0.1 1.9
José Cruz OF HOU Free agency 2007 -0.1
Humberto Quintero C HOU Trade 2005 4 -0.1 -0.0 2.0
Tomás Pérez 2B/3B/SS HOU Free agency 2007 -0.2
Scott Strickland P HOU Free agency 2005 -0.2
Jorge De León P HOU Intl FA 2006 -0.3
J. R. House C HOU Free agency 2006 -0.3
Chris Johnson 3B HOU Draft 2006 2 -0.3 -0.1
Eric Munson 3B HOU Free agency 2005 -0.3
Chad Paronto P HOU Free agency 2007 -0.3
Steve Randolph P HOU Free agency 2007 -0.4
Wesley Wright P HOU Rule 5 2007 2 -0.4 -0.2
Tommy Manzella SS HOU Draft 2005 -0.9
Óscar Villarreal P HOU Trade 2007 -1.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset