RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Jim Bowden

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.39× league · TAB -4.9
-4.9TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
+3.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-7.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
52%dead money %26th/30
0.451win %21st/30
17.6roster fWAR30th/30
+8surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$32Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFNook Logan 111GRyan Church 41GRyan Langerhans 40G
LFRyan Church 91GRyan Langerhans 66GWily Mo Peña 55G
RFAustin Kearns 158GWily Mo Peña 37GRobert Fick 7G
SSFelipe López 111GCristian Guzman 44GD'Angelo Jimenez 11G
2BRonnie Belliard 115GFelipe López 43GD'Angelo Jimenez 10G
3BRyan Zimmerman 161GTony Batista 2GRonnie Belliard 2G
1BDmitri Young 116GRobert Fick 84GTony Batista 27G
STARTERSShawn Hill 1.4WARJason Bergmann 0.7WARMatt Chico 0.1WARMicah Bowie 0.1WARJohn Lannan -0.0WAR
CBrian Schneider 122GJesus Flores 55G
DHDmitri Young 7GRonnie Belliard 2GRyan Church 1G
BULLPEN★ Chad Cordero 37svJon Rauch 33hSaul Rivera 19hJesus Colome 11hLuis Ayala 6hWinston Abreu 4hChris Schroder 2hBilly Traber 2h
CBrian Schneider 122 · Jesus Flores 55
1BDmitri Young 116 · Robert Fick 84 · Tony Batista 27
2BRonnie Belliard 115 · Felipe López 43 · D'Angelo Jimenez 10
3BRyan Zimmerman 161 · Tony Batista 2 · Ronnie Belliard 2
SSFelipe López 111 · Cristian Guzman 44 · D'Angelo Jimenez 11
LFRyan Church 91 · Ryan Langerhans 66 · Wily Mo Peña 55
CFNook Logan 111 · Ryan Church 41 · Ryan Langerhans 40
RFAustin Kearns 158 · Wily Mo Peña 37 · Robert Fick 7
DHDmitri Young 7 · Ronnie Belliard 2 · Ryan Church 1
SPShawn Hill 1.4 · Jason Bergmann 0.7 · Matt Chico 0.1 · Micah Bowie 0.1 · John Lannan -0.0
BP★ Chad Cordero 37 · Jon Rauch 33 · Saul Rivera 19 · Jesus Colome 11 · Luis Ayala 6 · Winston Abreu 4 · Chris Schroder 2 · Billy Traber 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ryan Zimmerman 22 – 1624.5 0.4 +9.4
Austin Kearns 27 arb 1613.4 3.5 +3.7
Ryan Church 28 arb 1442.8 0.4 +5.7
Ronnie Belliard 32 FA-elig 1472.3 0.8 +4.2
Jon Rauch 28 arb 881.7 0.5 +3.1
Cristian Guzman 29 FA-elig 461.4 4.2 -1.1
Shawn Hill 26 arb 161.4 0.4 +2.7
Saul Rivera 29 – 851.3 – –
Dmitri Young 33 FA-elig 1361.0 0.5 +1.7
Chris Schroder 28 – 370.7 – –
Jason Bergmann 25 pre-arb 220.7 0.4 +1.1
Brian Schneider 30 FA-elig 1290.6 3.5 -2.2
Wily Mo Peña↔ BOS 25 arb 370.6 0.6 +0.6
Nook Logan 27 arb 1180.5 0.4 +0.7
Chad Cordero 25 arb 760.4 4.2 -3.2
Jesus Flores 22 pre-arb 790.4 0.4 +0.4
D'Angelo Jimenez 29 – 730.3 – –
Jonathan Albaladejo 24 – 140.3 – –
Jesus Colome 29 FA-elig 610.3 0.8 -0.3
Luis Ayala 29 arb 440.2 1.3 -0.9
Billy Traber 27 – 280.1 – –
Micah Bowie 32 FA-elig 300.1 0.4 -0.3
Justin Maxwell 23 – 150.1 – –
Matt Chico 24 pre-arb 310.1 0.4 -0.3
Brandon Watson 25 – 50.1 – –
Tim Redding 29 – 150.0 – –
Ross Detwiler 21 – 10.0 0.4 -0.3
Joel Hanrahan 25 – 120.0 – –
John Lannan 22 – 6-0.0 – –
Ryan Wagner 24 arb 14-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Winston Abreu 30 – 26-0.2 – –
Felipe Lopez 27 FA-elig 154-0.2 3.9 -4.3
Levale Speigner 26 pre-arb 19-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Jason Simontacchi 33 – 13-0.2 – –
Chris Booker 30 – 3-0.2 – –
Jerome Williams 25 arb 6-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Tony Batista 33 – 80-0.3 – –
Michael Restovich 28 – 15-0.4 – –
Chris Snelling↔ OAK 25 arb 24-0.4 0.4 -1.2
John Patterson 29 arb 7-0.4 0.8 -1.7
Ryan Langerhans↔ ATL 27 arb 103-0.4 0.3 -1.3
Ray King↔ MIL 33 FA-elig 55-0.5 0.7 -1.8
Josh Wilson↔ TBR 26 pre-arb 15-0.5 0.1 -1.2
Arnie Munoz 25 – 13-0.6 – –
Kory Casto 25 – 16-0.8 – –
Robert Fick 33 FA-elig 118-1.0 0.8 -2.9
Mike Bacsik 29 – 29-1.0 – –

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Ronnie Belliard2.3
Cristian Guzman1.4
Dmitri Young1.0
Wily Mo Peña0.6
Jesus Flores0.4
D'Angelo Jimenez0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Alfonso Soriano5.4
Nick Johnson4.9
Livan Hernandez1.6
Mike Stanton0.7
Marlon Anderson0.6
Pedro Astacio0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$31.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Cristian Guzman298.000$4.2M$4.2M$8.0M$6.8MFREE AGENT
Felipe Lopez276.000$3.9M$3.4MFREE AGENT
Brian Schneider307.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Robert Fick339.000$850kFREE AGENT
Jesus Colome296.000$815k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Ronnie Belliard329.000$750k$1.6M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Ray King338.000$698k$850kFREE AGENT
Dmitri Young3311.000$500k$5.0MFREE AGENT
Micah Bowie328.000$435kFREE AGENT
Tony Batista3311.000—FREE AGENT
D'Angelo Jimenez298.000—FREE AGENT
Tim Redding296.000—$1.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Bacsik296.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Chad Cordero254.000$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Kearns275.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Luis Ayala294.000$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Patterson295.000$850kFREE AGENT
Wily Mo Peña255.000$631kFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams254.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Rauch285.000$455kFREE AGENT
Ryan Wagner244.000$425kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Church283.000$395kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nook Logan273.000$392kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Hill263.000$380kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snelling255.000$360kFREE AGENT
Ryan Langerhans275.000$338kFREE AGENT
Billy Traber274.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Simontacchi335.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Ryan Zimmerman222.000$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler210.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Levale Speigner260.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Chico240.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Flores220.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bergmann252.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Wilson262.000$60kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Winston Abreu30–—
Michael Restovich28–—
Saul Rivera291.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Booker30–—
Arnie Munoz25–—
Brandon Watson252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Hanrahan250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Maxwell230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Albaladejo240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Schroder28–—
Kory Casto25–—
John Lannan220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.