RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Dan Duquette

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.5× league · TAB +7.8
+7.8TAB — talent above budget7th/28
+21.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)1st/28
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/28
-6.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/28
23%dead money %5th/28
0.580win %5th/28
33.5roster fWAR15th/28
+11surplus $M (value vs cost)1st/28
$16Mpayroll $M27th/28

Roster

CFMarquis Grissom 157GMoises Alou 12GLou Frazier 7G
LFMoises Alou 102GLou Frazier 52GJohn Vander Wal 27G
RFLarry Walker 132GMoises Alou 34GJohn Vander Wal 10G
SSWil Cordero 134GMike Lansing 51G
2BDelino DeShields 123GRandy Ready 28GMike Lansing 25G
3BSean Berry 96GMike Lansing 81GFrank Bolick 24G
1BGreg Colbrunn 61GFrank Bolick 51GJohn Vander Wal 42G
STARTERSJeff Fassero 3.3WARKen Hill 2.6WARDennis Martinez 1.9WARKirk Rueter 1.3WARGil Heredia 1.0WAR
CDarrin Fletcher 127GTim Spehr 49GTim Laker 43G
BULLPEN★ John Wetteland 43svMel Rojas 0hTim Scott 0hScott Aldred 0hPete Young 0hBruce Walton 0hSergio Valdez 0hBrian Looney 0h
CDarrin Fletcher 127 · Tim Spehr 49 · Tim Laker 43
1BGreg Colbrunn 61 · Frank Bolick 51 · John Vander Wal 42
2BDelino DeShields 123 · Randy Ready 28 · Mike Lansing 25
3BSean Berry 96 · Mike Lansing 81 · Frank Bolick 24
SSWil Cordero 134 · Mike Lansing 51
LFMoises Alou 102 · Lou Frazier 52 · John Vander Wal 27
CFMarquis Grissom 157 · Moises Alou 12 · Lou Frazier 7
RFLarry Walker 132 · Moises Alou 34 · John Vander Wal 10
SPJeff Fassero 3.3 · Ken Hill 2.6 · Dennis Martinez 1.9 · Kirk Rueter 1.3 · Gil Heredia 1.0
BP★ John Wetteland 43 · Mel Rojas 0 · Tim Scott 0 · Scott Aldred 0 · Pete Young 0 · Bruce Walton 0 · Sergio Valdez 0 · Brian Looney 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1993 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Marquis Grissom 26 arb 1575.5 1.5 +3.0
Larry Walker 26 arb 1384.7 3.0 +0.8
Delino DeShields 24 arb 1234.5 1.5 +2.2
John Wetteland 26 arb 703.4 0.3 +2.4
Jeff Fassero 30 pre-arb 563.3 0.2 +2.5
Moises Alou 26 arb 1363.0 0.2 +2.3
Mike Lansing 25 pre-arb 1412.7 0.1 +2.1
Ken Hill 27 arb 292.6 2.0 +0.1
Sean Berry 27 arb 1222.0 0.1 +1.5
Dennis Martinez 39 FA-elig 361.9 2.8 -1.3
Kirk Rueter 22 pre-arb 141.3 0.1 +0.9
Gil Heredia 27 pre-arb 201.0 0.1 +0.7
Darrin Fletcher 26 arb 1330.9 0.2 +0.6
Denis Boucher 25 – 50.8 – –
Chris Nabholz 26 arb 260.5 0.3 +0.1
Curtis Pride 24 – 100.3 – –
Lou Frazier 28 pre-arb 1120.3 0.1 +0.1
Mel Rojas 26 arb 660.2 0.3 -0.1
Brian Looney 23 – 30.2 – –
Jimmy Jones 29 FA-elig 120.2 0.4 -0.3
Tim Scott↔ SDP 26 pre-arb 320.2 0.1 +0.1
Butch Henry↔ COL 24 pre-arb 100.1 0.1 +0.1
Brian Barnes 26 arb 520.1 0.2 -0.1
Randy Ready 33 – 400.1 – –
Matt Stairs 25 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 -0.1
Rondell White 21 pre-arb 230.0 0.1 -0.1
Archi Cianfrocco↔ SDP 26 pre-arb 12-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Tim Spehr 26 pre-arb 53-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Pete Young 25 – 4-0.0 – –
Scott Aldred↔ COL 25 arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Charlie Montoyo 27 – 4-0.0 – –
Sergio Valdez 28 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Mike Gardiner↔ DET 27 arb 24-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Bill Risley 26 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Derrick White 23 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Bruce Walton 30 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Cliff Floyd 20 pre-arb 10-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Joe Siddall 25 pre-arb 19-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Ted Wood 26 pre-arb 13-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Tim McIntosh 28 arb 20-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Greg Colbrunn 23 pre-arb 70-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Kent Bottenfield↔ COL 24 pre-arb 23-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Wil Cordero 21 pre-arb 138-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Oreste Marrero 23 – 32-0.4 – –
Frank Bolick 27 pre-arb 95-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Jeff Shaw 26 arb 55-0.5 0.1 -0.5
John Vander Wal 27 pre-arb 106-0.9 0.1 -0.9
Tim Laker 23 pre-arb 43-1.1 0.1 -1.0

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Lansing2.7
Kirk Rueter1.3
Denis Boucher0.8
Curtis Pride0.3
Lou Frazier0.3
Brian Looney0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Spike Owen2.2
Mark Gardner2.0
Bret Barberie1.0
Tim Wallach0.9
Gary Carter0.5
Ivan Calderon0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$15.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (4)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Dennis Martinez3917.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Jones297.000$400kFREE AGENT
Sergio Valdez287.000$172kFREE AGENT
Randy Ready3310.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Larry Walker264.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Hill275.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Delino DeShields243.000$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marquis Grissom264.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Wetteland264.000$315kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nabholz263.000$308kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mel Rojas263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Moises Alou263.000$210kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Barnes263.000$182kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darrin Fletcher264.000$170kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Shaw263.000$140kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Berry273.000$121kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim McIntosh283.000$120kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Gardiner273.000$77kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Aldred253.000$53kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (29)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Jeff Fassero302.000$188kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Vander Wal272.000$142kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wil Cordero211.000$126kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Colbrunn231.000$126kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gil Heredia272.000$122kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Spehr262.000$115kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Walton302.000$115kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Laker231.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Stairs251.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Risley261.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derrick White230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Rueter220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Bolick270.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rondell White210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd200.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lansing250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Frazier280.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ted Wood262.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Siddall250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Scott262.000$71kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kent Bottenfield241.000$71kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Butch Henry241.000$51kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Archi Cianfrocco261.000$16kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Denis Boucher252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Looney23–—
Oreste Marrero23–—
Charlie Montoyo27–—
Curtis Pride240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Young25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 1993; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.