RRosternomics
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Rangers TEX

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President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels · GM: Chris Young

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.44× league · TAB -6.6
-6.6TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-11.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-7.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/30
66%dead money %29th/30
0.370win %28th/30
17.7roster fWAR27th/30
-1surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$56Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFAdolis García 79GLeody Taveras 48GDJ Peters 29G
LFWillie Calhoun 41GJason Martin 41GDavid Dahl 31G
RFAdolis García 51GDJ Peters 16GDavid Dahl 12G
SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa 156GYonny Hernández 6GCharlie Culberson 3G
2BNick Solak 121GAndy Ibáñez 31GYonny Hernández 9G
3BBrock Holt 69GCharlie Culberson 68GYonny Hernández 29G
1BNathaniel Lowe 148GAndy Ibáñez 12GCharlie Culberson 4G
STARTERSDane Dunning 1.9WARGlenn Otto Jr. 0.6WARTaylor Hearn 0.2WARJordan Lyles 0.1WARSpencer Howard -0.1WAR
CJose Trevino 88GJonah Heim 78GJohn Hicks 8G
DHWillie Calhoun 29GYohel Pozo 17GAndy Ibáñez 16G
BULLPEN★ Joe Barlow 11svBrett Martin 11hSpencer Patton 11hJosh Sborz 9hDennis Santana 7hJohn King 4hDemarcus Evans 3hJharel Cotton 3h
CJose Trevino 88 · Jonah Heim 78 · John Hicks 8
1BNathaniel Lowe 148 · Andy Ibáñez 12 · Charlie Culberson 4
2BNick Solak 121 · Andy Ibáñez 31 · Yonny Hernández 9
3BBrock Holt 69 · Charlie Culberson 68 · Yonny Hernández 29
SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa 156 · Yonny Hernández 6 · Charlie Culberson 3
LFWillie Calhoun 41 · Jason Martin 41 · David Dahl 31
CFAdolis García 79 · Leody Taveras 48 · DJ Peters 29
RFAdolis García 51 · DJ Peters 16 · David Dahl 12
DHWillie Calhoun 29 · Yohel Pozo 17 · Andy Ibáñez 16
SPDane Dunning 1.9 · Glenn Otto Jr. 0.6 · Taylor Hearn 0.2 · Jordan Lyles 0.1 · Spencer Howard -0.1
BP★ Joe Barlow 11 · Brett Martin 11 · Spencer Patton 11 · Josh Sborz 9 · Dennis Santana 7 · John King 4 · Demarcus Evans 3 · Jharel Cotton 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2021 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Joey Gallo↔ NYY 27 FA-elig 953.8 3.8 +8.6
Adolis García 28 pre-arb 1492.8 0.5 +8.4
Nathaniel Lowe 25 pre-arb 1572.0 0.6 +6.0
Kyle Gibson↔ PHI 33 FA-elig 192.0 6.1 +0.2
Dane Dunning 26 pre-arb 271.9 0.6 +5.7
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 26 arb 1581.6 2.0 +3.2
Nick Solak 26 pre-arb 1271.2 0.5 +3.2
Andy Ibáñez 28 – 761.1 0.4 +3.3
Charlie Culberson 32 arb 911.0 1.5 +1.8
Jose Trevino 28 pre-arb 891.0 0.6 +2.5
Jonah Heim 26 pre-arb 820.7 0.6 +1.8
Spencer Patton 33 FA-elig 420.7 0.6 +1.6
Brett Martin 26 pre-arb 660.6 0.6 +1.4
John King 26 pre-arb 270.6 0.6 +1.4
Glenn Otto Jr. 25 – 60.6 – –
Ian Kennedy↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 320.4 1.3 +0.1
Joe Barlow 25 – 310.4 0.3 +1.0
Jharel Cotton 29 pre-arb 230.4 0.2 +1.0
Josh Sborz 27 pre-arb 630.3 0.5 +0.5
John Hicks 31 arb 100.3 0.1 +0.8
Joely Rodríguez↔ NYY 29 arb 310.3 1.5 -0.6
Yonny Hernández 23 – 430.2 0.2 +0.5
Taylor Hearn 26 pre-arb 420.2 0.6 +0.1
Dennis Santana↔ LAD 25 pre-arb 390.2 0.2 +0.4
Drew Anderson 27 pre-arb 90.2 0.2 +0.3
Jordan Lyles 30 FA-elig 320.1 8.0 -7.6
DJ Peters↔ LAD 25 – 520.1 0.2 +0.1
Demarcus Evans 24 pre-arb 25-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Nick Snyder 25 – 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
A.J. Alexy 23 – 5-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Hunter Wood 27 arb 5-0.0 0.6 -0.7
Spencer Howard↔ PHI 24 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Yohel Pozo 24 – 21-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Eli White 27 pre-arb 64-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Ryan Dorow 25 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Jimmy Herget↔ ANA 27 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Kyle Cody 26 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Brett de Geus↔ ARI 23 – 19-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Jacob Latz 25 – 1-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Anderson Tejeda 23 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Ronald Guzmán 26 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.6 -1.2
Kolby Allard 23 pre-arb 32-0.2 0.6 -1.2
Khris Davis↔ OAK 33 FA-elig 22-0.2 8.8 -9.4
Matt Bush 35 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.7 -1.4
Leody Taveras 22 pre-arb 49-0.2 0.2 -1.0
Brock Holt 33 FA-elig 77-0.2 1.8 -2.5
Hyeon-Jong Yang 33 – 12-0.4 0.2 -1.4
Jason Martin 25 pre-arb 58-0.4 0.3 -1.5
Willie Calhoun 26 pre-arb 75-0.5 0.6 -2.2
Wes Benjamin 27 pre-arb 13-0.5 0.2 -1.8
Kohei Arihara 28 – 10-0.6 2.6 -4.5
Mike Foltynewicz 29 arb 28-0.7 2.0 -4.3
Curtis Terry 24 – 13-0.7 0.1 -2.5
David Dahl 27 arb 63-0.9 2.7 -5.6

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Nathaniel Lowe2.0
Dane Dunning1.9
Andy Ibáñez1.1
Charlie Culberson1.0
Jonah Heim0.7
Spencer Patton0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Lance Lynn1.4
Mike Minor0.4
Rafael Montero0.3
Derek Dietrich0.2
Edinson Volquez0.1
Jeff Mathis0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$56.2M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Khris Davis337.104$8.8MFREE AGENT
Jordan Lyles309.002$8.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Gibson337.039$6.1MFREE AGENT
Brock Holt337.052$1.8MFREE AGENT
Ian Kennedy3611.124$1.3MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Joey Gallo274.103$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
David Dahl275.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Mike Foltynewicz294.156$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa263.000$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Culberson325.051$1.5MFREE AGENT
John Hicks313.001$77kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (43)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Kohei Arihara280.000$2.6MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joely Rodríguez291.096$1.5MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bush352.132$680kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Guzmán262.083$606kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun262.033$593kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Martin261.151$590kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kolby Allard231.114$584kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Trevino281.055$584kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Hearn261.122$582kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nathaniel Lowe250.145$575kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Heim260.097$574kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Cody260.108$574kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John King260.067$572kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Dunning260.083$572kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Wood271.070$570kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Patton331.009$570kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Sborz270.113$549kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adolis García280.095$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Solak261.041$498kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli White270.075$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Ibáñez280.000$374kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Demarcus Evans240.036$323kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Barlow250.000$313kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Martin250.139$276kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hyeon-Jong Yang33–$221k
Wes Benjamin270.133$204kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leody Taveras220.114$204kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennis Santana251.105$202kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Peters251.088$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jharel Cotton292.158$199kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Anderson270.048$199kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonny Hernández230.000$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Herget271.033$156kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Snyder250.000$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett de Geus230.000$123kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohel Pozo240.000$110kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Alexy230.000$104kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Howard240.139$84kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Terry24–$71k
Anderson Tejeda230.103$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dorow25–$25k
Jacob Latz250.000$15kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Otto Jr.25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2021; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.