RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.01× league · TAB -26.9
-26.9TAB — talent above budget
-22.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)
0.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars20th/30
-5.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
86%dead money %29th/30
0.367win %29th/30
2.8roster fWAR30th/30
-99surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$119Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFLeody Taveras 33GScott Heineman 17GNick Solak 13G
LFNick Solak 29GShin-Soo Choo 16GEli White 13G
RFJoey Gallo 53GShin-Soo Choo 3GEli White 3G
SSElvis Andrus 29GAnderson Tejeda 18GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 15G
2BRougned Odor 37GNick Solak 17GAnderson Tejeda 4G
3BIsiah Kiner-Falefa 46GDerek Dietrich 3GSherten Apostel 2G
1BRonald Guzmán 24GTodd Frazier 16GDanny Santana 9G
STARTERSLance Lynn 1.4WARKyle Cody 0.4WARKolby Allard 0.3WARKyle Gibson 0.2WARJordan Lyles -0.1WAR
CJeff Mathis 24GJose Trevino 21GSam Huff 10G
DHWillie Calhoun 21GShin-Soo Choo 14GDerek Dietrich 9G
BULLPEN Rafael Montero 8svJonathan Hernández 5hJesse Chavez 2hBrett Martin 2hIan Gibaut 2hJimmy Herget 1hTaylor Hearn 1hNick Goody 0h
CJeff Mathis 24 · Jose Trevino 21 · Sam Huff 10
1BRonald Guzmán 24 · Todd Frazier 16 · Danny Santana 9
2BRougned Odor 37 · Nick Solak 17 · Anderson Tejeda 4
3BIsiah Kiner-Falefa 46 · Derek Dietrich 3 · Sherten Apostel 2
SSElvis Andrus 29 · Anderson Tejeda 18 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 15
LFNick Solak 29 · Shin-Soo Choo 16 · Eli White 13
CFLeody Taveras 33 · Scott Heineman 17 · Nick Solak 13
RFJoey Gallo 53 · Shin-Soo Choo 3 · Eli White 3
DHWillie Calhoun 21 · Shin-Soo Choo 14 · Derek Dietrich 9
SPLance Lynn 1.4 · Kyle Cody 0.4 · Kolby Allard 0.3 · Kyle Gibson 0.2 · Jordan Lyles -0.1
BP Rafael Montero 8 · Jonathan Hernández 5 · Jesse Chavez 2 · Brett Martin 2 · Ian Gibaut 2 · Jimmy Herget 1 · Taylor Hearn 1 · Nick Goody 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2020 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Lance Lynn 33 FA-elig 131.4 11.3 -0.8
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 25 pre-arb 581.0 0.2 +7.4
Jonathan Hernández 23 pre-arb 270.6 0.2 +4.1
Joey Gallo 26 arb 570.6 4.4 -0.2
Kyle Cody 25 80.4 0.1 +3.0
Leody Taveras 21 330.4 0.1 +2.8
Joely Rodríguez 28 arb 120.4 2.5 +0.3
Sam Huff 22 100.4 0.1 +2.7
Mike Minor↔ OAK 32 FA-elig 70.4 5.7 -3.1
Kolby Allard 22 pre-arb 110.3 0.2 +2.3
Ronald Guzmán 25 pre-arb 260.3 0.1 +2.2
Rafael Montero 29 FA-elig 170.3 0.8 +1.1
Jose Trevino 27 pre-arb 240.2 0.2 +1.3
Kyle Gibson 32 FA-elig 120.2 10.7 -9.2
Derek Dietrich 30 arb 250.2 0.2 +1.0
Anderson Tejeda 22 230.1 0.1 +0.9
Wes Benjamin 26 80.1 0.1 +0.8
Taylor Hearn 25 pre-arb 140.1 0.2 +0.7
Edinson Volquez 36 FA-elig 70.1 0.4 +0.5
Jeff Mathis 37 FA-elig 240.1 3.0 -2.4
José Leclerc 26 arb 20.1 2.8 -2.2
Andrew Romine 34 FA-elig 20.0 0.0 +0.2
Corey Kluber 34 FA-elig 10.0 6.5 -6.4
Todd Frazier↔ NYM 34 FA-elig 310.0 2.4 -2.4
Demarcus Evans 23 4-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Luke Farrell 29 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Shin-Soo Choo 37 FA-elig 33-0.0 21.0 -21.2
Luis García 33 11-0.0 0.2 -0.4
Jimmy Herget 26 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.2 -0.5
Ian Gibaut 26 pre-arb 14-0.1 0.1 -0.5
John King 25 6-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Adolis García 27 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Rougned Odor 26 FA-elig 38-0.1 9.3 -9.9
Yadiel Rivera 28 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.7
Joe Palumbo 25 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.2 -0.8
Brett Martin 25 pre-arb 15-0.1 0.2 -0.8
Juan Nicasio 33 FA-elig 2-0.1 0.1 -0.8
Rob Refsnyder 29 pre-arb 15-0.1 0.1 -0.9
Danny Santana 29 FA-elig 15-0.1 3.6 -4.4
Jordan Lyles 29 FA-elig 12-0.1 8.0 -9.0
Nick Goody 28 arb 17-0.2 0.9 -2.3
Elvis Andrus 31 FA-elig 29-0.2 15.2 -16.7
Scott Heineman 27 pre-arb 24-0.3 0.2 -2.5
Nick Solak 25 pre-arb 58-0.3 0.2 -2.7
Eli White 26 19-0.4 0.1 -2.9
Robinson Chirinos↔ NYM 36 FA-elig 14-0.5 3.0 -6.4
Sherten Apostel 21 7-0.5 0.0 -3.6
Jesse Chavez 36 FA-elig 18-0.5 4.0 -8.0
Willie Calhoun 25 pre-arb 29-0.9 0.2 -7.1

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Kyle Cody0.4
Leody Taveras0.4
Joely Rodríguez0.4
Sam Huff0.4
Kyle Gibson0.2
Derek Dietrich0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Hunter Pence1.5
Ariel Jurado0.9
Delino DeShields0.8
Nomar Mazara0.8
Chris Martin0.5
Emmanuel Clase0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$119.4M
2021 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Shin-Soo Choo3712.119$21.0MFREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus3111.000$15.2MFREE AGENT
Lance Lynn338.119$11.3MFREE AGENT
Kyle Gibson326.039$10.7MFREE AGENT
Jordan Lyles298.002$8.0MFREE AGENT
Corey Kluber347.074$6.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Minor328.138$5.7MFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez369.108$4.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Mathis3713.012$3.0MFREE AGENT
Robinson Chirinos369.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Todd Frazier349.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Edinson Volquez3611.059$370kFREE AGENT
Juan Nicasio338.084$100kFREE AGENT
Andrew Romine346.049$13kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Rougned Odor265.121$9.3MFREE AGENT
Joey Gallo263.103$4.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Santana294.140$3.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Leclerc263.041$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Goody283.105$915kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Montero293.138$785kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García335.006$170kFREE AGENT
Derek Dietrich305.151$153kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Joely Rodríguez280.023$2.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa251.169$217kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun251.032$214kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Martin250.151$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kolby Allard220.114$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Solak250.041$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Hernández231.041$209kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Palumbo250.130$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Trevino270.063$188kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Herget260.041$184kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Heineman270.146$159kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Hearn250.158$153kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Benjamin260.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leody Taveras210.000$128kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Guzmán251.147$127kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Cody250.000$121kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anderson Tejeda220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Gibaut260.041$106kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Refsnyder292.020$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli White260.000$84kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John King250.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Huff220.000$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Farrell291.095$50kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sherten Apostel21$50k
Yadiel Rivera281.161$47kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adolis García270.056$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Demarcus Evans230.000$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2020; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3