RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels · GM: Chris Young

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.89× league · TAB -6.3
-6.3TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-12.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-7.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
30%dead money %16th/30
0.420win %23rd/30
26.6roster fWAR20th/30
-30surplus $M (value vs cost)17th/30
$127Mpayroll $M18th/30

Roster

CFLeody Taveras 93GAdolis García 57GEli White 22G
LFBubba Thompson 35GKole Calhoun 29GBrad Miller 28G
RFAdolis García 93GKole Calhoun 75GBubba Thompson 10G
SSCorey Seager 144GMarcus Semien 17GJosh Smith 6G
2BMarcus Semien 148GCharlie Culberson 11GEzequiel Duran 9G
3BEzequiel Duran 51GJosh Smith 36GBrad Miller 27G
1BNathaniel Lowe 153GSam Huff 6GAndy Ibáñez 6G
STARTERSMartín Pérez 3.9WARJon Gray 1.8WARDane Dunning 0.9WARTaylor Hearn 0.9WARCole Ragans 0.2WAR
CJonah Heim 111GKevin Plawecki 61GSam Huff 29G
DHMitch Garver 36GBrad Miller 22GAdolis García 21G
BULLPEN Joe Barlow 13svDennis Santana 20hMatt Moore 14hBrock Burke 9hJohn King 8hBrett Martin 7hJosé Leclerc 4hGarrett Richards 3h
CJonah Heim 111 · Kevin Plawecki 61 · Sam Huff 29
1BNathaniel Lowe 153 · Sam Huff 6 · Andy Ibáñez 6
2BMarcus Semien 148 · Charlie Culberson 11 · Ezequiel Duran 9
3BEzequiel Duran 51 · Josh Smith 36 · Brad Miller 27
SSCorey Seager 144 · Marcus Semien 17 · Josh Smith 6
LFBubba Thompson 35 · Kole Calhoun 29 · Brad Miller 28
CFLeody Taveras 93 · Adolis García 57 · Eli White 22
RFAdolis García 93 · Kole Calhoun 75 · Bubba Thompson 10
DHMitch Garver 36 · Brad Miller 22 · Adolis García 21
SPMartín Pérez 3.9 · Jon Gray 1.8 · Dane Dunning 0.9 · Taylor Hearn 0.9 · Cole Ragans 0.2
BP Joe Barlow 13 · Dennis Santana 20 · Matt Moore 14 · Brock Burke 9 · John King 8 · Brett Martin 7 · José Leclerc 4 · Garrett Richards 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Marcus Semien 31 FA-elig 1614.4 25.0 -9.0
Corey Seager 28 FA-elig 1514.3 33.0 -17.1
Martín Pérez 31 FA-elig 323.9 4.0 +10.2
Adolis García 29 pre-arb 1563.2 0.7 +11.0
Nathaniel Lowe 26 pre-arb 1573.1 0.7 +10.5
Jonah Heim 27 pre-arb 1272.7 0.7 +9.3
Jon Gray 30 FA-elig 241.8 15.0 -8.3
Matt Moore 33 FA-elig 631.3 0.1 +4.8
Leody Taveras 23 pre-arb 991.2 0.4 +4.0
Brock Burke 25 pre-arb 521.0 0.7 +2.8
Dane Dunning 27 pre-arb 290.9 0.7 +2.5
Taylor Hearn 27 arb 310.9 1.1 +2.2
Dennis Santana 26 pre-arb 630.7 0.7 +1.7
Eli White 28 pre-arb 470.6 0.7 +1.5
Mark Mathias↔ MIL 27 pre-arb 240.6 0.2 +2.0
José Leclerc 28 FA-elig 390.6 5.2 -3.2
Meibrys Viloria 25 pre-arb 260.4 0.3 +1.3
Matt Bush↔ MIL 36 400.4 0.3 +1.1
Brett Martin 27 arb 550.3 1.0 +0.2
Sam Huff 24 pre-arb 440.3 0.3 +0.8
Garrett Richards 34 FA-elig 320.3 4.5 -3.6
Cole Ragans 24 90.2 0.7 +0.1
Bubba Thompson 24 550.2 0.2 +0.5
Ezequiel Duran 23 580.2 0.3 +0.5
Mitch Garver 31 arb 540.2 3.3 -2.6
Josh Jung 24 260.1 0.1 +0.4
Dallas Keuchel↔ ARI 34 FA-elig 20.1 2.6 -2.3
Josh Sborz 28 pre-arb 190.1 0.4 -0.2
Yerry Rodríguez 24 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Jesus Tinoco 27 pre-arb 170.0 0.2 -0.1
Glenn Otto Jr. 26 270.0
Jonathan Hernández 25 pre-arb 290.0 0.7 -0.7
John King 27 pre-arb 39-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Nick Snyder 26 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Josh Smith 24 73-0.1
Kevin Plawecki↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Spencer Patton 34 7-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Steele Walker 25 5-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Nick Solak 27 pre-arb 35-0.1 0.4 -0.9
Tyson Miller 26 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Willie Calhoun↔ SFG 27 arb 18-0.2 1.1 -1.7
Steven Duggar↔ ANA 28 8-0.2 0.1 -0.8
A.J. Alexy 24 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Elier Hernandez 27 14-0.2 0.1 -1.0
Andy Ibáñez 29 pre-arb 40-0.2 0.2 -1.1
Zach Reks 28 pre-arb 16-0.3 0.2 -1.2
Kohei Arihara 29 pre-arb 5-0.3 3.6 -4.8
Joe Barlow 26 pre-arb 35-0.3 0.7 -1.9
Albert Abreu↔ KCR 26 7-0.3 0.2 -1.3
Greg Holland 36 FA-elig 5-0.4 2.1 -3.4
Charlie Culberson 33 FA-elig 70-0.4 1.8 -3.2
Spencer Howard 25 pre-arb 10-0.7 0.4 -3.0
Kolby Allard 24 pre-arb 10-0.7 0.2 -2.9
Brad Miller 32 FA-elig 81-1.1 6.0 -10.1
Kole Calhoun 34 FA-elig 125-1.3 5.2 -9.8

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Marcus Semien4.4
Corey Seager4.3
Martín Pérez3.9
Jon Gray1.8
Matt Moore1.3
Brock Burke1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Joey Gallo3.8
Kyle Gibson2.0
Isiah Kiner-Falefa1.6
Jose Trevino1.0
Ian Kennedy0.4
Jharel Cotton0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$127.3M
2023 guaranteed
$61.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Corey Seager286.032$33.0M$35.5M$35.0M$32.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M
Marcus Semien317.118$25.0M$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$20.0M
Jon Gray306.062$15.0MFREE AGENT
Brad Miller328.004$6.0MFREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun348.130$5.2MFREE AGENT
Garrett Richards3411.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Martín Pérez319.038$4.0MFREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel3410.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Greg Holland3612.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Charlie Culberson336.051$1.8MFREE AGENT
Matt Moore339.000$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
José Leclerc285.041$5.2MFREE AGENT
Mitch Garver314.045$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun273.033$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bush363.132$329kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Plawecki315.167$105kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (39)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Kohei Arihara291.000$3.6MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Hearn272.140$1.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Martin272.151$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Hernández252.041$720kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennis Santana262.095$720kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nathaniel Lowe261.145$716kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Heim271.097$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brock Burke251.065$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adolis García291.095$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli White281.065$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Dunning271.083$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Barlow260.103$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Ragans240.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John King271.067$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Sborz281.113$447kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Howard251.088$447kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leody Taveras231.009$438kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Solak272.028$396kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Huff240.158$312kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Meibrys Viloria251.020$296kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ezequiel Duran230.000$277kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Patton342.009$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Ibáñez290.122$243kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bubba Thompson240.000$238kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kolby Allard242.114$198kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Reks280.015$169kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tinoco270.137$165kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Mathias271.081$154kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Albert Abreu260.114$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elier Hernandez27$127k
Josh Jung240.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Duggar282.147$86kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Alexy240.035$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyson Miller260.006$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steele Walker25$42k
Nick Snyder260.045$38kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yerry Rodríguez240.000$15kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Otto Jr.26
Josh Smith240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3