RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.91× league · TAB +3.9
+3.9TAB — talent above budget11th/30
+7.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-3.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/30
32%dead money %11th/30
0.543win %8th/30
37.0roster fWAR10th/30
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/30
$83Mpayroll $M15th/30

Roster

CFAaron Rowand 137GAndres Torres 37GRandy Winn 22G
LFFred Lewis 83GRandy Winn 54GEugenio Velez 42G
RFRandy Winn 104GNate Schierholtz 86GJohn Bowker 5G
SSEdgar Renteria 123GJuan Uribe 41GKevin Frandsen 7G
2BFreddy Sanchez 110GEmmanuel Burriss 61GJuan Uribe 38G
3BPablo Sandoval 120GJuan Uribe 44GRich Aurilia 13G
1BTravis Ishikawa 113GRyan Garko 84GPablo Sandoval 26G
STARTERSTim Lincecum 7.8WARMatt Cain 3.6WARBarry Zito 2.0WARJonathan Sánchez 1.8WARBrad Penny 0.4WAR
CBengie Molina 123GEli Whiteside 47GBuster Posey 7G
DHPablo Sandoval 2GRich Aurilia 1GJesus Guzman 1G
BULLPEN★ Brian Wilson 38svJeremy Affeldt 33hBob Howry 10hSergio Romo 10hBrandon Medders 8hMerkin Valdez 4hDan Runzler 2hJustin Miller 1h
CBengie Molina 123 · Eli Whiteside 47 · Buster Posey 7
1BTravis Ishikawa 113 · Ryan Garko 84 · Pablo Sandoval 26
2BFreddy Sanchez 110 · Emmanuel Burriss 61 · Juan Uribe 38
3BPablo Sandoval 120 · Juan Uribe 44 · Rich Aurilia 13
SSEdgar Renteria 123 · Juan Uribe 41 · Kevin Frandsen 7
LFFred Lewis 83 · Randy Winn 54 · Eugenio Velez 42
CFAaron Rowand 137 · Andres Torres 37 · Randy Winn 22
RFRandy Winn 104 · Nate Schierholtz 86 · John Bowker 5
DHPablo Sandoval 2 · Rich Aurilia 1 · Jesus Guzman 1
SPTim Lincecum 7.8 · Matt Cain 3.6 · Barry Zito 2.0 · Jonathan Sánchez 1.8 · Brad Penny 0.4
BP★ Brian Wilson 38 · Jeremy Affeldt 33 · Bob Howry 10 · Sergio Romo 10 · Brandon Medders 8 · Merkin Valdez 4 · Dan Runzler 2 · Justin Miller 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2009 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tim Lincecum 25 pre-arb 337.8 0.7 +17.9
Pablo Sandoval 22 pre-arb 1535.2 0.4 +11.9
Matt Cain 24 arb 333.6 2.9 +5.6
Juan Uribe 30 FA-elig 1222.8 1.0 +5.7
Aaron Rowand 31 FA-elig 1442.4 9.6 -3.9
Andres Torres 31 FA-elig 752.3 0.4 +5.1
Brian Wilson 27 arb 682.2 0.5 +4.8
Barry Zito 31 FA-elig 342.0 18.5 -13.7
Jonathan Sánchez 26 arb 321.8 0.5 +3.8
Randy Winn 35 FA-elig 1491.8 9.6 -5.4
Fred Lewis 28 arb 1221.2 0.4 +2.5
Travis Ishikawa 25 arb 1201.2 0.4 +2.4
Sergio Romo 26 pre-arb 451.1 0.4 +2.3
Bengie Molina 34 FA-elig 1321.1 6.5 -4.0
Nate Schierholtz 25 pre-arb 1160.8 0.4 +1.5
Jeremy Affeldt 30 FA-elig 740.6 3.5 -2.1
Eugenio Velez 27 pre-arb 840.6 0.4 +0.9
Bob Howry 35 FA-elig 630.5 2.8 -1.7
Brad Penny↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 60.4 1.0 -0.1
Eli Whiteside 29 – 490.4 0.3 +0.5
Brandon Medders 29 arb 610.3 0.5 +0.2
Steve Holm 29 – 40.2 – –
Joe Martinez 26 pre-arb 100.2 0.4 +0.0
Randy Johnson 45 FA-elig 220.2 8.0 -7.6
Ryan Sadowski 26 – 60.1 – –
John Bowker 25 pre-arb 310.1 0.4 -0.2
Freddy Sanchez↔ PIT 31 FA-elig 250.1 1.4 -1.2
Ryan Rohlinger 25 pre-arb 120.0 0.4 -0.3
Dan Runzler 24 – 11-0.0 – –
Osiris Matos 24 – 5-0.0 – –
Waldis Joaquin 22 pre-arb 10-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Madison Bumgarner 19 – 4-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Pat Misch↔ NYM 27 arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jesus Guzman 25 – 12-0.1 – –
Edgar Renteria 32 FA-elig 124-0.1 8.0 -8.3
Merkin Valdez 27 arb 48-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Buster Posey 22 – 7-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Matt Downs 25 – 17-0.2 – –
Alex Hinshaw 26 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.4 -1.0
Kevin Frandsen 27 arb 23-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Justin Miller 31 – 44-0.4 – –
Ryan Garko↔ CLE 28 arb 40-0.4 0.2 -1.2
Emmanuel Burriss 24 pre-arb 61-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Rich Aurilia 37 FA-elig 60-0.6 1.0 -2.5

Key additions (new vs 2008)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Uribe2.8
Andres Torres2.3
Jeremy Affeldt0.6
Bob Howry0.5
Brad Penny0.4
Eli Whiteside0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2008)

Player2008 fWAR
Ray Durham1.6
Keiichi Yabu0.3
Kevin Correia0.3
Travis Denker0.3
Scott McClain0.2
Tyler Walker0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2009 payroll
$82.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Barry Zito319.000$18.5M$18.5M$18.5M$19.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Rowand318.000$9.6M$13.6M$13.6MFREE AGENT
Randy Winn3511.000$9.6MFREE AGENT
Edgar Renteria3213.000$8.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Randy Johnson4521.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Bengie Molina3411.000$6.5M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Affeldt307.000$3.5M$4.0M$4.5M$5.0M$6.0M$6.0M$6.0M
Bob Howry3511.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Freddy Sanchez317.000$1.4M$6.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia3714.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Juan Uribe308.000$1.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Brad Penny319.000$1.0MFREE AGENT$265k
Andres Torres317.000$400k$426k$2.2MFREE AGENT$2.0M
Justin Miller317.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Matt Cain244.000$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Wilson273.000$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Medders294.000$475kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Sánchez263.000$455kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fred Lewis283.000$440kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen273.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Merkin Valdez275.000$401kFREE AGENT
Travis Ishikawa253.000$401kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli Whiteside294.000$295kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Garko284.000$151kARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Misch273.000$62kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Tim Lincecum252.000$650kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Bowker251.000$408kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Burriss241.000$404kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eugenio Velez272.000$404kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Hinshaw261.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo Sandoval221.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Romo261.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Schierholtz252.000$401kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rohlinger251.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Martinez260.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Madison Bumgarner190.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Waldis Joaquin220.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buster Posey220.000$71kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Downs250.094—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Holm291.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Sadowski26–—
Jesus Guzman250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Osiris Matos24–—
Dan Runzler240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2009; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.