RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.82× league · TAB -6.2
-6.2TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-7.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-7.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
34%dead money %12th/30
0.444win %24th/30
25.6roster fWAR23rd/30
-12surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/30
$72Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFAaron Rowand 149GFred Lewis 14GRandy Winn 10G
LFFred Lewis 112GDave Roberts 32GRandy Winn 15G
RFRandy Winn 133GNate Schierholtz 19GJohn Bowker 14G
SSOmar Vizquel 84GEmmanuel Burriss 47GIvan Ochoa 35G
2BEugenio Velez 69GEmmanuel Burriss 41GTravis Denker 13G
3BRich Aurilia 63GRyan Rohlinger 14GPablo Sandoval 12G
1BRich Aurilia 82GJohn Bowker 71GTravis Ishikawa 29G
STARTERSTim Lincecum 7.3WARMatt Cain 3.7WARJonathan Sánchez 2.4WARBarry Zito 1.2WARKevin Correia 0.3WAR
CBengie Molina 136GSteve Holm 42GPablo Sandoval 11G
DHRich Aurilia 2GJohn Bowker 2GRandy Winn 2G
BULLPEN★ Brian Wilson 41svTyler Walker 19hJack Taschner 14hKeiichi Yabu 9hSergio Romo 5hAlex Hinshaw 4hVinnie Chulk 2hBilly Sadler 1h
CBengie Molina 136 · Steve Holm 42 · Pablo Sandoval 11
1BRich Aurilia 82 · John Bowker 71 · Travis Ishikawa 29
2BEugenio Velez 69 · Emmanuel Burriss 41 · Travis Denker 13
3BRich Aurilia 63 · Ryan Rohlinger 14 · Pablo Sandoval 12
SSOmar Vizquel 84 · Emmanuel Burriss 47 · Ivan Ochoa 35
LFFred Lewis 112 · Dave Roberts 32 · Randy Winn 15
CFAaron Rowand 149 · Fred Lewis 14 · Randy Winn 10
RFRandy Winn 133 · Nate Schierholtz 19 · John Bowker 14
DHRich Aurilia 2 · John Bowker 2 · Randy Winn 2
SPTim Lincecum 7.3 · Matt Cain 3.7 · Jonathan Sánchez 2.4 · Barry Zito 1.2 · Kevin Correia 0.3
BP★ Brian Wilson 41 · Tyler Walker 19 · Jack Taschner 14 · Keiichi Yabu 9 · Sergio Romo 5 · Alex Hinshaw 4 · Vinnie Chulk 2 · Billy Sadler 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2008 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tim Lincecum 24 pre-arb 347.3 0.4 +16.2
Randy Winn 34 FA-elig 1555.1 8.9 +2.9
Matt Cain 23 arb 343.7 0.9 +7.5
Jonathan Sánchez 25 pre-arb 302.4 0.4 +5.1
Fred Lewis 27 pre-arb 1332.3 0.4 +4.8
Bengie Molina 33 FA-elig 1452.1 6.2 -1.4
Ray Durham↔ MIL 36 FA-elig 871.6 5.1 -1.4
Nate Schierholtz 24 – 191.3 0.4 +2.5
Barry Zito 30 FA-elig 321.2 14.5 -11.8
Pablo Sandoval 21 – 411.1 – –
Aaron Rowand 30 FA-elig 1520.8 9.6 -7.8
Emmanuel Burriss 23 – 950.8 – –
Brian Wilson 26 pre-arb 630.6 0.4 +1.0
Sergio Romo 25 – 290.5 – –
Travis Ishikawa 24 – 330.4 0.4 +0.6
Keiichi Yabu 39 arb 600.3 0.4 +0.4
Rich Aurilia 36 FA-elig 1400.3 4.5 -3.7
Kevin Correia 27 arb 250.3 1.1 -0.4
Travis Denker 22 – 240.3 – –
Scott McClain 36 – 140.2 – –
Tyler Walker 32 FA-elig 650.2 0.8 -0.3
Merkin Valdez 26 arb 170.1 0.4 -0.1
Brian Horwitz 25 – 210.0 – –
Steve Holm 28 pre-arb 490.0 0.4 -0.3
Conor Gillaspie 20 – 80.0 0.1 -0.1
Jack Taschner 30 arb 670.0 0.4 -0.4
J.T. Snow 40 – 10.0 – –
Kevin Frandsen 26 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Clay Timpner 25 – 2-0.0 – –
Osiris Matos 23 – 20-0.1 – –
Alex Hinshaw 25 – 48-0.1 – –
Matt Palmer 29 – 3-0.1 – –
Brad Hennessey 28 arb 18-0.1 1.6 -1.9
Pat Misch 26 – 15-0.2 – –
Dave Roberts 36 FA-elig 52-0.2 6.5 -6.9
Erick Threets 26 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Eugenio Velez 26 pre-arb 98-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Daniel Ortmeier 27 arb 38-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Jose Castillo↔ HOU 27 arb 112-0.3 0.6 -1.3
Vinnie Chulk 29 arb 27-0.3 0.8 -1.6
Eliezer Alfonzo 29 – 5-0.4 – –
Geno Espineli 25 – 15-0.4 – –
Rajai Davis↔ OAK 27 pre-arb 12-0.4 0.0 -1.0
Billy Sadler 26 – 33-0.5 – –
Brian Bocock 23 pre-arb 32-0.6 0.4 -1.7
Ryan Rohlinger 24 – 21-0.6 – –
Ivan Ochoa 25 – 47-0.7 – –
John Bowker 24 – 111-0.8 – –
Omar Vizquel 41 FA-elig 92-0.9 5.0 -7.0

Key additions (new vs 2007)

PlayerfWAR
Pablo Sandoval1.1
Aaron Rowand0.8
Emmanuel Burriss0.8
Sergio Romo0.5
Travis Ishikawa0.4
Keiichi Yabu0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Player2007 fWAR
Barry Bonds3.2
Pedro Feliz2.3
Matt Morris2.0
Ryan Klesko0.8
Mark Sweeney0.5
Russ Ortiz0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2008 payroll
$72.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2008, 2008–2014. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Barry Zito308.000$14.5M$18.5M$18.5M$18.5M$19.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Rowand307.000$9.6M$9.6M$13.6M$13.6MFREE AGENT
Randy Winn3410.000$8.9M$9.6MFREE AGENT
Dave Roberts369.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Bengie Molina3310.000$6.2M$6.5M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Ray Durham3613.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel4119.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia3613.000$4.5M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Tyler Walker326.000$750kFREE AGENT
J.T. Snow4016.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Brad Hennessey284.000$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Correia275.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Matt Cain233.000$950kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinnie Chulk295.000$838kFREE AGENT
Jose Castillo274.000$573kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Taschner303.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Ortmeier273.000$392kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Merkin Valdez264.000$390kARB 3FREE AGENT
Keiichi Yabu393.000$390kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Tim Lincecum241.000$405kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen262.000$398kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Sánchez252.000$395kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Wilson262.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fred Lewis272.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Threets261.000$390kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Holm280.000$390kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Schierholtz241.000$390kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Ishikawa242.000$390kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bocock230.000$390kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eugenio Velez261.000$390kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Gillaspie200.000$103kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rajai Davis272.000$42kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott McClain36–—
Eliezer Alfonzo292.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ivan Ochoa25–—
Pat Misch262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Bowker240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Timpner25–—
Brian Horwitz25–—
Alex Hinshaw250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Sadler26–—
Geno Espineli25–—
Travis Denker22–—
Matt Palmer290.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo Sandoval210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Osiris Matos23–—
Ryan Rohlinger240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Romo250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Burriss230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2008; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.