RRosternomics

Giants SFG

GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.2× league · TAB +7.9
+7.9TAB — talent above budget7th/30
+7.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-3.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
33%dead money %16th/30
0.568win %5th/30
44.4roster fWAR5th/30
-7surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/30
$110Mpayroll $M9th/30

2010: World Series champions · 92–70. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFCody Ross 89GAaron Rowand 85GAndres Torres 84G
LFPat Burrell 87GAubrey Huff 46GAndres Torres 37G
RFNate Schierholtz 109GJose Guillen 60GCody Ross 54G
SSJuan Uribe 103GEdgar Renteria 68GMike Fontenot 9G
2BFreddy Sanchez 109GMike Fontenot 49GJuan Uribe 24G
3BPablo Sandoval 143GJuan Uribe 26GMike Fontenot 19G
1BAubrey Huff 100GTravis Ishikawa 73GBuster Posey 30G
STARTERSTim Lincecum 4.0WARMatt Cain 3.7WARJonathan Sánchez 2.1WARMadison Bumgarner 1.8WARBarry Zito 1.5WAR
CBuster Posey 76GEli Whiteside 55G
DHPat Burrell 26GJuan Uribe 2GMatt Downs 1G
BULLPEN Brian Wilson 48svSergio Romo 22hJavier López 11hSantiago Casilla 11hChris Ray 9hGuillermo Mota 8hRamon E Ramirez 7hJeremy Affeldt 7h
CBuster Posey 76 · Eli Whiteside 55
1BAubrey Huff 100 · Travis Ishikawa 73 · Buster Posey 30
2BFreddy Sanchez 109 · Mike Fontenot 49 · Juan Uribe 24
3BPablo Sandoval 143 · Juan Uribe 26 · Mike Fontenot 19
SSJuan Uribe 103 · Edgar Renteria 68 · Mike Fontenot 9
LFPat Burrell 87 · Aubrey Huff 46 · Andres Torres 37
CFCody Ross 89 · Aaron Rowand 85 · Andres Torres 84
RFNate Schierholtz 109 · Jose Guillen 60 · Cody Ross 54
DHPat Burrell 26 · Juan Uribe 2 · Matt Downs 1
SPTim Lincecum 4.0 · Matt Cain 3.7 · Jonathan Sánchez 2.1 · Madison Bumgarner 1.8 · Barry Zito 1.5
BP Brian Wilson 48 · Sergio Romo 22 · Javier López 11 · Santiago Casilla 11 · Chris Ray 9 · Guillermo Mota 8 · Ramon E Ramirez 7 · Jeremy Affeldt 7

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Andres Torres 32 FA-elig 1396.3 0.4 +14.3
Aubrey Huff 33 FA-elig 1575.7 3.0 +10.5
Tim Lincecum 26 arb 334.0 9.0 +0.5
Buster Posey 23 1083.9 0.4 +8.8
Matt Cain 25 arb 353.7 4.6 +4.1
Pat Burrell↔ TBR 33 FA-elig 962.8 7.2 -0.6
Juan Uribe 31 FA-elig 1482.8 3.2 +3.2
Freddy Sanchez 32 FA-elig 1112.4 6.0 -0.3
Brian Wilson 28 arb 702.4 6.5 -0.9
Jonathan Sánchez 27 arb 342.1 2.1 +2.8
Madison Bumgarner 20 201.8 0.4 +3.9
Barry Zito 32 FA-elig 341.5 18.5 -14.9
Sergio Romo 27 pre-arb 681.2 0.4 +2.3
Edgar Renteria 33 FA-elig 721.2 10.0 -7.3
Pablo Sandoval 23 pre-arb 1521.1 0.5 +2.2
Eli Whiteside 30 arb 560.9 0.4 +1.8
Nate Schierholtz 26 arb 1370.7 0.4 +1.2
Santiago Casilla 29 520.6
Javier López↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 270.5 0.3 +1.0
Matt Downs↔ HOU 26 290.4
Cody Ross↔ MIA 29 FA-elig 330.4 1.0 -0.1
Dan Runzler 25 pre-arb 410.3 0.4 +0.3
Ramon E Ramirez↔ BOS 28 arb 250.2 0.4 +0.2
Guillermo Mota 36 FA-elig 560.2 0.8 -0.4
Chris Ray↔ TEX 28 arb 280.2 0.4 -0.1
Jeremy Affeldt 31 FA-elig 530.1 4.0 -3.7
Eugenio Velez 28 arb 290.1 0.4 -0.2
Emmanuel Burriss 25 pre-arb 70.0 0.4 -0.4
Aaron Rowand 32 FA-elig 1050.0 13.6 -13.6
Darren Ford 24 70.0
Travis Ishikawa 26 arb 116-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Denny Bautista 29 31-0.0
John Bowker↔ PIT 26 pre-arb 41-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Jose Guillen↔ KCR 34 FA-elig 42-0.1 3.4 -3.7
Joe Martinez↔ PIT 27 4-0.1
Waldis Joaquin 23 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Ryan Rohlinger 26 12-0.2
Brandon Medders 30 arb 14-0.2 0.8 -1.3
Mike Fontenot↔ CHC 30 arb 28-0.3 0.3 -0.9
Bengie Molina↔ TEX 35 FA-elig 61-0.4 2.3 -3.4
Mark DeRosa 35 FA-elig 26-0.6 6.0 -7.5
Todd Wellemeyer 31 FA-elig 13-0.9 1.0 -3.2

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Aubrey Huff5.7
Pat Burrell2.8
Santiago Casilla0.6
Javier López0.5
Cody Ross0.4
Ramon E Ramirez0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Randy Winn1.8
Fred Lewis1.2
Bob Howry0.5
Brad Penny0.4
Steve Holm0.2
Randy Johnson0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$109.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Barry Zito3210.000$18.5M$18.5M$19.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Rowand329.000$13.6M$13.6MFREE AGENT
Edgar Renteria3314.000$10.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Burrell3310.000$7.2M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Mark DeRosa3512.000$6.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Freddy Sanchez328.000$6.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Affeldt318.000$4.0M$4.5M$5.0M$6.0M$6.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Guillen3413.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Juan Uribe319.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Aubrey Huff3310.000$3.0M$10.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Bengie Molina3512.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Todd Wellemeyer317.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Cody Ross297.000$960k$6.3MFREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota3611.000$750k$925k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Andres Torres328.000$426k$2.2MFREE AGENT$2.0M
Javier López327.000$272k$2.4M$4.2M$4.2M$4.0M$4.0M$5.0M
Denny Bautista296.000FREE AGENT
Santiago Casilla296.000$1.3M$2.2M$4.5M$4.5M$5.0M$6.5M

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Tim Lincecum263.000$9.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Wilson284.000$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Cain255.000$4.6MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Sánchez274.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Medders305.000$820kFREE AGENT
Chris Ray285.000$433kFREE AGENT
Ramon E Ramirez284.000$418kARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Ishikawa264.000$417kARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Schierholtz263.000$416kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eugenio Velez283.000$416kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli Whiteside305.000$405kFREE AGENT
Mike Fontenot305.000$272kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Pablo Sandoval232.000$465kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Romo272.000$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Burriss252.000$410kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Runzler251.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Waldis Joaquin231.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buster Posey230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Madison Bumgarner200.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Bowker262.000$251kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Ford24
Matt Downs261.094Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Martinez271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rohlinger262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3