RRosternomics

Giants SFG

GM: Bob Quinn

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.09× league · TAB -4.3
-4.3TAB — talent above budget16th/28
-6.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/28
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/28
-5.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/28
25%dead money %19th/28
0.465win %20th/28
27.6roster fWAR15th/28
-10surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/28
$36Mpayroll $M8th/28

Roster

CFDeion Sanders 85GRikkert Faneyte 22GMarvin Benard 7G
LFBarry Bonds 143GTom Lampkin 6GMark Carreon 3G
RFGlenallen Hill 124GMark Carreon 19GRikkert Faneyte 11G
SSRoyce Clayton 136GMike Benjamin 16GRich Aurilia 6G
2BRobby Thompson 91GJohn Patterson 53GSteve Scarsone 13G
3BMatt Williams 74GSteve Scarsone 50GMike Benjamin 43G
1BMark Carreon 81GJ.R. Phillips 79GDave McCarty 20G
STARTERSMark Leiter 2.2WARWilliam Van Landingham 1.7WARTrevor Wilson 0.5WARJamie Brewington 0.2WARTerry Mulholland -0.0WAR
CKirt Manwaring 118GJeff Reed 42GTom Lampkin 17G
BULLPEN Rod Beck 33svShawn Barton 0hChris Hook 0hLuis Aquino 0hScott Service 0hMark Dewey 0hPat Gomez 0hSteve Mintz 0h
CKirt Manwaring 118 · Jeff Reed 42 · Tom Lampkin 17
1BMark Carreon 81 · J.R. Phillips 79 · Dave McCarty 20
2BRobby Thompson 91 · John Patterson 53 · Steve Scarsone 13
3BMatt Williams 74 · Steve Scarsone 50 · Mike Benjamin 43
SSRoyce Clayton 136 · Mike Benjamin 16 · Rich Aurilia 6
LFBarry Bonds 143 · Tom Lampkin 6 · Mark Carreon 3
CFDeion Sanders 85 · Rikkert Faneyte 22 · Marvin Benard 7
RFGlenallen Hill 124 · Mark Carreon 19 · Rikkert Faneyte 11
SPMark Leiter 2.2 · William Van Landingham 1.7 · Trevor Wilson 0.5 · Jamie Brewington 0.2 · Terry Mulholland -0.0
BP Rod Beck 33 · Shawn Barton 0 · Chris Hook 0 · Luis Aquino 0 · Scott Service 0 · Mark Dewey 0 · Pat Gomez 0 · Steve Mintz 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Barry Bonds 30 FA-elig 1447.7 8.2 -0.7
Matt Williams 29 FA-elig 764.5 5.8 -1.5
Mark Carreon 31 FA-elig 1172.6 0.8 +1.8
Royce Clayton 25 arb 1382.4 0.5 +1.8
Mark Leiter 32 arb 302.2 0.7 +1.5
Glenallen Hill 30 FA-elig 1321.9 0.8 +1.0
Steve Scarsone 29 arb 801.8 0.1 +1.6
William Van Landingham 24 pre-arb 181.7 0.1 +1.5
Deion Sanders↔ CIN 27 FA-elig 521.4 2.2 -0.9
Mark Portugal↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 171.3 1.9 -0.6
Kirt Manwaring 29 FA-elig 1180.8 1.8 -1.0
Jeff Reed 32 FA-elig 660.8 0.7 +0.0
Rich Aurilia 23 pre-arb 90.8 0.1 +0.6
Robby Thompson 33 FA-elig 950.6 3.3 -2.8
Tom Lampkin 31 FA-elig 650.5 0.1 +0.3
Trevor Wilson 29 FA-elig 190.5 0.7 -0.2
Darren Lewis↔ CIN 27 arb 740.4 1.0 -0.6
Mark Dewey 30 arb 270.3 0.2 +0.1
Marvin Benard 24 pre-arb 130.3 0.1 +0.1
Mike Benjamin 29 FA-elig 680.2 0.3 -0.1
Shawn Estes 22 pre-arb 30.2 0.1 +0.1
Jamie Brewington 23 pre-arb 140.2 0.1 +0.0
Dave Burba↔ CIN 28 arb 370.1 0.4 -0.3
Rod Beck 26 arb 600.1 2.2 -2.2
Mark Leonard 30 140.0
Enrique Burgos 29 pre-arb 50.0 0.1 -0.1
Todd Benzinger 32 90.0
Terry Mulholland 32 FA-elig 30-0.0 1.2 -1.3
Dave McCarty↔ MIN 25 pre-arb 12-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Steve Frey↔ PHI 31 FA-elig 9-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Shawn Barton 32 arb 52-0.0 0.1 -0.1
John Roper↔ CIN 23 1-0.0
Carlos Valdez 23 11-0.1
J.R. Phillips 25 pre-arb 92-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Pat Gomez 27 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Luis Aquino↔ WSN 31 FA-elig 5-0.2 0.1 -0.2
John Patterson 28 arb 95-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Scott Service 28 FA-elig 28-0.2 0.1 -0.4
Sergio Valdez 30 FA-elig 13-0.3 0.2 -0.4
Kenny Greer 28 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Rikkert Faneyte 26 pre-arb 46-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Joe Rosselli 23 pre-arb 9-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Salomon Torres↔ SEA 23 pre-arb 4-0.4 0.0 -0.4
Chris Hook 26 pre-arb 45-0.5 0.1 -0.5
Steve Mintz 26 pre-arb 14-0.7 0.1 -0.8
Jose Bautista 30 FA-elig 52-1.8 0.8 -2.5

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Mark Leiter2.2
Glenallen Hill1.9
Deion Sanders1.4
Rich Aurilia0.8
Tom Lampkin0.5
Trevor Wilson0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
John Burkett2.0
Bill Swift1.9
Mike Jackson1.1
Willie McGee0.5
Kevin Rogers-0.0
Brad Brink-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$36.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Barry Bonds309.000$8.2M$8.4M$8.7M$8.9M$9.4M$10.7M$10.3M
Matt Williams298.000$5.8M$6.6MFREE AGENT
Robby Thompson339.000$3.3M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Deion Sanders276.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Mark Portugal3210.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Kirt Manwaring298.000$1.8M$1.1MFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland329.000$1.2MFREE AGENT$1.5M
Glenallen Hill306.000$800k$1.7M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jose Bautista307.000$760k$790kFREE AGENT
Mark Carreon318.000$750k$681kFREE AGENT
Trevor Wilson297.000$700kFREE AGENT
Jeff Reed3211.000$700kFREE AGENT
Mike Benjamin296.000$320kFREE AGENT
Steve Frey316.000$266kFREE AGENT
Sergio Valdez309.000$170kFREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin317.000$150k$230kFREE AGENT
Scott Service287.000$140kFREE AGENT
Luis Aquino319.000$62kFREE AGENT
Todd Benzinger328.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Rod Beck264.000$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Lewis275.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Leiter325.000$700kFREE AGENT
Royce Clayton254.000$475kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Burba285.000$427kFREE AGENT
Mark Dewey305.000$170kFREE AGENT
Steve Scarsone293.000$138kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Patterson283.000$122kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Barton323.000$109kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Leonard305.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
William Van Landingham241.000$142kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Gomez272.000$120kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.R. Phillips252.000$120kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rikkert Faneyte262.000$115kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Burgos292.000$110kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamie Brewington230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marvin Benard240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Rosselli230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hook260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kenny Greer282.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Estes220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Mintz260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave McCarty252.000$49kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Salomon Torres232.000$23kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Roper23
Carlos Valdez23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3