RRosternomics

Giants SFG

GM: Bob Quinn

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.1× league · TAB -11.7
-11.7TAB — talent above budget27th/28
-15.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/28
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/28
-8.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/28
24%dead money %14th/28
0.420win %26th/28
23.7roster fWAR26th/28
-18surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/28
$36Mpayroll $M11th/28

Roster

CFMarvin Benard 102GStan Javier 53GDax Jones 29G
LFBarry Bonds 149GTrenidad Hubbard 11GJacob Cruz 6G
RFGlenallen Hill 98GMarvin Benard 38GStan Javier 18G
SSRich Aurilia 93GShawon Dunston 78GKim Batiste 7G
2BSteve Scarsone 74GRobby Thompson 62GJay Canizaro 35G
3BMatt Williams 92GBill Mueller 45GKim Batiste 25G
1BDave McCarty 51GDesi Wilson 33GDan Peltier 13G
STARTERSMark Gardner 1.5WARAllen Watson 1.5WARShawn Estes 1.3WARWilliam Van Landingham 1.2WAROsvaldo Fernandez 1.0WAR
CRick Wilkins 124GTom Lampkin 53GDoug Mirabelli 8G
BULLPEN Rod Beck 35svMark Dewey 0hJim Poole 0hTim Scott 0hDoug Creek 0hRich DeLucia 0hJose Bautista 0hChris Hook 0h
CRick Wilkins 124 · Tom Lampkin 53 · Doug Mirabelli 8
1BDave McCarty 51 · Desi Wilson 33 · Dan Peltier 13
2BSteve Scarsone 74 · Robby Thompson 62 · Jay Canizaro 35
3BMatt Williams 92 · Bill Mueller 45 · Kim Batiste 25
SSRich Aurilia 93 · Shawon Dunston 78 · Kim Batiste 7
LFBarry Bonds 149 · Trenidad Hubbard 11 · Jacob Cruz 6
CFMarvin Benard 102 · Stan Javier 53 · Dax Jones 29
RFGlenallen Hill 98 · Marvin Benard 38 · Stan Javier 18
SPMark Gardner 1.5 · Allen Watson 1.5 · Shawn Estes 1.3 · William Van Landingham 1.2 · Osvaldo Fernandez 1.0
BP Rod Beck 35 · Mark Dewey 0 · Jim Poole 0 · Tim Scott 0 · Doug Creek 0 · Rich DeLucia 0 · Jose Bautista 0 · Chris Hook 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1996 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Barry Bonds 31 FA-elig 1589.2 8.4 -0.7
Matt Williams 30 FA-elig 1052.6 6.6 -4.4
Glenallen Hill 31 FA-elig 981.6 1.7 -0.3
Marvin Benard 25 pre-arb 1351.5 0.1 +1.2
Bill Mueller 25 551.5
Allen Watson 25 arb 321.5 0.2 +1.0
Mark Gardner 34 FA-elig 331.5 0.2 +1.0
Rick Wilkins↔ HOU 29 arb 521.4 0.6 +0.6
Shawn Estes 23 pre-arb 151.3 0.1 +1.0
Shawon Dunston 33 FA-elig 821.2 1.5 -0.4
William Van Landingham 25 pre-arb 321.2 0.2 +0.8
Tom Lampkin 32 FA-elig 661.1 0.2 +0.7
Osvaldo Fernandez 29 pre-arb 331.0 0.6 +0.2
Stan Javier 32 FA-elig 711.0 1.0 -0.2
Kirk Rueter↔ WSN 25 arb 40.8 0.0 +0.7
Kirt Manwaring↔ HOU 30 FA-elig 490.6 1.1 -0.6
Robby Thompson 34 FA-elig 630.6 5.0 -4.5
Jacob Cruz 23 330.5
Rod Beck 27 arb 630.5 3.0 -2.6
Mark Leiter↔ WSN 33 FA-elig 230.4 1.2 -0.9
Trenidad Hubbard↔ COL 32 pre-arb 100.3 0.0 +0.3
Rich Aurilia 24 pre-arb 1050.3 0.1 +0.2
Marcus Jensen 23 90.2
Steve Bourgeois 23 pre-arb 150.2 0.1 +0.0
Steve Soderstrom 24 30.1
Wilson Delgado 23 60.0
Jim Poole↔ CLE 30 FA-elig 35-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Dax Jones 25 pre-arb 34-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Dan Peltier 28 31-0.0
J.R. Phillips↔ PHI 26 arb 15-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Shawn Barton 33 7-0.1
Rich DeLucia 31 FA-elig 56-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Dan Carlson 26 5-0.1
Keith Williams 24 9-0.1
Dave McCarty 26 arb 91-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Doug Mirabelli 25 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Mark Carreon↔ CLE 32 FA-elig 81-0.2 0.7 -0.9
Jose Bautista 31 FA-elig 37-0.3 0.8 -1.1
Jeff Juden↔ WSN 25 arb 36-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Mel Hall 35 FA-elig 25-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Steve Decker↔ COL 30 57-0.4
Mark Dewey 31 FA-elig 78-0.4 0.2 -0.6
Desi Wilson 27 pre-arb 41-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Chris Hook 27 pre-arb 10-0.5 0.1 -0.5
Tim Scott↔ WSN 29 arb 20-0.6 0.2 -0.7
Steve Scarsone 30 arb 105-0.7 0.4 -0.9
Jay Canizaro 22 pre-arb 43-0.7 0.1 -0.7
Doug Creek 27 pre-arb 63-1.1 0.1 -1.0
Kim Batiste 28 arb 54-1.5 0.1 -1.4

Key additions (new vs 1995)

PlayerfWAR
Bill Mueller1.5
Allen Watson1.5
Mark Gardner1.5
Rick Wilkins1.4
Shawon Dunston1.2
Osvaldo Fernandez1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1995)

Player1995 fWAR
Royce Clayton2.4
Deion Sanders1.4
Mark Portugal1.3
Jeff Reed0.8
Trevor Wilson0.5
Darren Lewis0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

1996 payroll
$36.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1996, 1996–2002. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Barry Bonds3110.000$8.4M$8.7M$8.9M$9.4M$10.7M$10.3M$15.0M
Matt Williams309.000$6.6MFREE AGENT
Robby Thompson3410.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Glenallen Hill317.000$1.7M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Shawon Dunston3311.000$1.5MFREE AGENT$633k$1.0M$1.1M
Mark Leiter336.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Kirt Manwaring309.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Stan Javier3212.000$1.0M$1.4M$1.8M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Bautista318.000$790kFREE AGENT
Mark Carreon329.000$681kFREE AGENT
Rich DeLucia316.000$475k$573kFREE AGENT
Jim Poole306.000$261k$850k$684kFREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin328.000$230kFREE AGENT
Mark Dewey316.000$225kFREE AGENT
Mark Gardner347.000$202k$900k$1.1M$2.0M$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Mel Hall3515.000$120kFREE AGENT
Steve Decker306.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Rod Beck275.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Rick Wilkins295.000$593kFREE AGENT
Steve Scarsone304.000$375kARB 3FREE AGENT
Allen Watson253.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Scott295.000$215kFREE AGENT
Kim Batiste285.000$150kFREE AGENT
Dave McCarty263.000$150kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Juden255.000$74kFREE AGENT
J.R. Phillips263.000$38kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Rueter253.000$32kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Barton334.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Peltier284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Osvaldo Fernandez290.000$633kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
William Van Landingham252.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Aurilia241.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marvin Benard251.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Creek271.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Bourgeois230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Canizaro220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Estes231.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Mirabelli250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Desi Wilson270.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hook271.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dax Jones250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trenidad Hubbard322.000$23kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Carlson260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Cruz230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Delgado230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Jensen230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Mueller250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Soderstrom24
Keith Williams24

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 1996; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3