RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Pat Gillick

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.27× league · TAB +9.9
+9.9TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+7.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-2.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
26%dead money %11th/30
0.574win %6th/30
47.1roster fWAR4th/30
-7surplus $M (value vs cost)14th/30
$88Mpayroll $M6th/30

Roster

CFMike Cameron 147GRandy Winn 20GJamal Strong 2G
LFRandy Winn 139GMark McLemore 16GWillie Bloomquist 10G
RFIchiro Suzuki 159GJohn Mabry 14GRandy Winn 4G
SSRey Sanchez 88GCarlos Guillén 76GMark McLemore 38G
2BBret Boone 158GWillie Bloomquist 7GMark McLemore 6G
3BJeff Cirillo 85GWillie Bloomquist 37GCarlos Guillén 32G
1BJohn Olerud 152GGreg Colbrunn 14GJohn Mabry 9G
STARTERSJamie Moyer 3.9WARJoel Pineiro 3.4WARFreddy Garcia 1.6WARGil Meche 1.5WARRyan Franklin 1.1WAR
CDan Wilson 96GBen Davis 73GPat Borders 7G
DHEdgar Martinez 138GJohn Mabry 7GMark McLemore 4G
BULLPEN★ Armando Benítez 21svArthur Rhodes 18hShigetoshi Hasegawa 12hRafael Soriano 5hGiovanni Carrara 4hJulio Mateo 2hKazuhiro Sasaki 0hAaron Taylor 0h
CDan Wilson 96 · Ben Davis 73 · Pat Borders 7
1BJohn Olerud 152 · Greg Colbrunn 14 · John Mabry 9
2BBret Boone 158 · Willie Bloomquist 7 · Mark McLemore 6
3BJeff Cirillo 85 · Willie Bloomquist 37 · Carlos Guillén 32
SSRey Sanchez 88 · Carlos Guillén 76 · Mark McLemore 38
LFRandy Winn 139 · Mark McLemore 16 · Willie Bloomquist 10
CFMike Cameron 147 · Randy Winn 20 · Jamal Strong 2
RFIchiro Suzuki 159 · John Mabry 14 · Randy Winn 4
DHEdgar Martinez 138 · John Mabry 7 · Mark McLemore 4
SPJamie Moyer 3.9 · Joel Pineiro 3.4 · Freddy Garcia 1.6 · Gil Meche 1.5 · Ryan Franklin 1.1
BP★ Armando Benítez 21 · Arthur Rhodes 18 · Shigetoshi Hasegawa 12 · Rafael Soriano 5 · Giovanni Carrara 4 · Julio Mateo 2 · Kazuhiro Sasaki 0 · Aaron Taylor 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2003 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bret Boone 34 FA-elig 1597.4 8.0 +5.1
Ichiro Suzuki 29 pre-arb 1595.7 4.7 +5.5
Mike Cameron 30 FA-elig 1475.3 7.4 +1.9
Jamie Moyer 40 FA-elig 333.9 6.5 +0.5
Randy Winn 29 arb 1573.6 3.3 +3.1
Joel Pineiro 24 arb 323.4 0.4 +5.6
Edgar Martinez 40 FA-elig 1452.7 4.0 +0.9
Carlos Guillén 27 arb 1092.3 2.5 +1.5
John Olerud 34 FA-elig 1522.1 7.7 -4.0
Freddy Garcia 26 arb 331.6 6.9 -4.0
Rafael Soriano 23 – 401.6 – –
Gil Meche 24 arb 321.5 0.3 +2.3
Ryan Franklin 30 arb 321.1 0.4 +1.5
Rey Sanchez↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 461.0 0.6 +1.2
Ben Davis 26 arb 801.0 1.0 +0.7
Arthur Rhodes 33 FA-elig 670.9 3.5 -1.9
Jeff Nelson↔ NYY 36 FA-elig 460.8 2.6 -1.3
Shigetoshi Hasegawa 34 FA-elig 630.7 1.8 -0.5
Mark McLemore 38 FA-elig 990.6 3.1 -2.1
Willie Bloomquist 25 pre-arb 890.5 0.3 +0.6
Julio Mateo 25 pre-arb 500.5 0.3 +0.6
Kazuhiro Sasaki 35 arb 350.4 8.0 -7.4
Armando Benitez↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 150.2 1.5 -1.2
Aaron Taylor 25 – 100.2 – –
Brian Sweeney 29 – 50.1 – –
Greg Colbrunn 33 FA-elig 220.1 0.8 -0.6
Luis Ugueto 24 – 120.1 – –
Dan Wilson 34 FA-elig 960.0 3.5 -3.4
Aaron Looper 26 – 60.0 – –
J.J. Putz 26 – 30.0 – –
Chad Meyers 27 – 9-0.0 – –
Jamal Strong 24 – 12-0.1 – –
Pat Borders 40 FA-elig 12-0.1 0.5 -0.7
John Mabry 32 FA-elig 64-0.2 0.6 -0.9
Matt White↔ BOS 25 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.1 -0.5
Giovanni Carrara 35 FA-elig 23-0.6 0.4 -1.4
Jeff Cirillo 33 FA-elig 87-0.9 6.7 -8.4

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Randy Winn3.6
Gil Meche1.5
Rey Sanchez1.0
Armando Benitez0.2
Brian Sweeney0.1
Greg Colbrunn0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Desi Relaford2.0
John Halama1.1
Charles Gipson0.9
Ismael Valdez0.6
Ruben Sierra0.5
James Baldwin0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$87.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Bret Boone3411.000$8.0M$8.0M$7.6MFREE AGENT
John Olerud3414.000$7.7M$4.7MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron308.000$7.4MFREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo339.000$6.7MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4017.000$6.5M$7.0M$8.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Edgar Martinez4016.000$4.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes3312.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Dan Wilson3411.000$3.5M$3.5M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Mark McLemore3817.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Jeff Nelson3611.000$2.6MFREE AGENT$400k
Shigetoshi Hasegawa346.000$1.8M$2.8M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Armando Benitez309.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Greg Colbrunn3311.000$750kFREE AGENT
John Mabry329.000$600kFREE AGENT
Rey Sanchez3512.000$586kFREE AGENT
Pat Borders4015.000$500kFREE AGENT
Giovanni Carrara358.000$400kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Kazuhiro Sasaki353.000$8.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Garcia264.000$6.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Winn295.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Carlos Guillén275.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Ben Davis265.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Joel Pineiro243.000$440kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Franklin304.000$425kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gil Meche244.000$325kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Meyers274.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Ichiro Suzuki292.000$4.7MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Mateo251.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Bloomquist251.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt White250.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Soriano231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Putz260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Taylor251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ugueto241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamal Strong24–—
Aaron Looper26–—
Brian Sweeney290.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2003; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.