RRosternomics

Mariners SEA

GM: Pat Gillick

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.26× league · TAB +13.2
+13.2TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+8.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-1.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag1st/30
11%dead money %4th/30
0.574win %9th/30
50.4roster fWAR3rd/30
+3surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/30
$83Mpayroll $M8th/30

Roster

CFMike Cameron 155GMark McLemore 12GCharles Gipson 5G
LFMark McLemore 82GRuben Sierra 59GCharles Gipson 57G
RFIchiro Suzuki 150GCharles Gipson 13GDesi Relaford 10G
SSCarlos Guillén 130GDesi Relaford 40GLuis Ugueto 8G
2BBret Boone 153GDesi Relaford 11GLuis Ugueto 11G
3BJeff Cirillo 141GDesi Relaford 38GMark McLemore 14G
1BJohn Olerud 152GJose Offerman 52GJeff Cirillo 11G
STARTERSJamie Moyer 3.8WARFreddy Garcia 3.5WARJoel Pineiro 2.5WARRyan Franklin 1.4WARJohn Halama 1.1WAR
CDan Wilson 113GBen Davis 77GPat Borders 2G
DHEdgar Martinez 91GRuben Sierra 49GIchiro Suzuki 4G
BULLPEN Kazuhiro Sasaki 37svArthur Rhodes 25hJeff Nelson 11hShigetoshi Hasegawa 8hDoug Creek 5hJulio Mateo 2hBrian Fitzgerald 1hAaron Taylor 0h
CDan Wilson 113 · Ben Davis 77 · Pat Borders 2
1BJohn Olerud 152 · Jose Offerman 52 · Jeff Cirillo 11
2BBret Boone 153 · Desi Relaford 11 · Luis Ugueto 11
3BJeff Cirillo 141 · Desi Relaford 38 · Mark McLemore 14
SSCarlos Guillén 130 · Desi Relaford 40 · Luis Ugueto 8
LFMark McLemore 82 · Ruben Sierra 59 · Charles Gipson 57
CFMike Cameron 155 · Mark McLemore 12 · Charles Gipson 5
RFIchiro Suzuki 150 · Charles Gipson 13 · Desi Relaford 10
DHEdgar Martinez 91 · Ruben Sierra 49 · Ichiro Suzuki 4
SPJamie Moyer 3.8 · Freddy Garcia 3.5 · Joel Pineiro 2.5 · Ryan Franklin 1.4 · John Halama 1.1
BP Kazuhiro Sasaki 37 · Arthur Rhodes 25 · Jeff Nelson 11 · Shigetoshi Hasegawa 8 · Doug Creek 5 · Julio Mateo 2 · Brian Fitzgerald 1 · Aaron Taylor 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Cameron 29 FA-elig 1585.5 4.7 +4.8
Ichiro Suzuki 28 pre-arb 1574.7 3.7 +4.3
John Olerud 33 FA-elig 1544.5 7.0 +0.8
Bret Boone 33 FA-elig 1553.9 8.0 -1.3
Jamie Moyer 39 FA-elig 343.8 6.5 +0.1
Freddy Garcia 25 arb 343.5 3.8 +2.3
Arthur Rhodes 32 FA-elig 662.9 3.5 +1.5
Joel Pineiro 23 pre-arb 372.5 0.3 +4.0
Edgar Martinez 39 FA-elig 972.1 7.1 -3.4
Dan Wilson 33 FA-elig 1152.1 4.5 -0.9
Desi Relaford 28 FA-elig 1122.0 1.3 +2.1
Mark McLemore 37 FA-elig 1041.6 3.1 -0.3
Carlos Guillén 26 arb 1341.5 1.4 +1.2
Kazuhiro Sasaki 34 pre-arb 611.5 5.1 -2.6
Ben Davis 25 arb 801.5 0.3 +2.1
Ryan Franklin 29 arb 411.4 0.2 +2.2
John Halama 30 arb 311.1 1.4 +0.5
Jeff Cirillo 32 FA-elig 1461.0 6.4 -4.6
Charles Gipson 29 arb 790.9 0.5 +1.1
Willie Bloomquist 24 120.7
Ismael Valdez↔ TEX 28 FA-elig 80.6 0.6 +0.3
Shigetoshi Hasegawa 33 arb 530.6 1.5 -0.5
Jeff Nelson 35 FA-elig 410.5 3.3 -2.4
Ruben Sierra 36 FA-elig 1220.5 1.9 -1.1
Rafael Soriano 22 110.4
James Baldwin 30 FA-elig 300.3 1.2 -0.7
Gene Kingsale↔ SDP 25 20.1
Pat Borders 39 40.1
Justin Kaye 26 30.0
Julio Mateo 24 120.0
Scott Podsednik 26 14-0.0
Aaron Taylor 24 5-0.1
Jose Offerman↔ BOS 33 FA-elig 29-0.1 1.9 -2.0
Luis Ugueto 23 pre-arb 62-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Doug Creek↔ TBR 33 FA-elig 23-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Ron Wright 26 1-0.2
Brian Fitzgerald 27 6-0.2
Mark Watson 28 3-0.2
Paul Abbott 34 FA-elig 7-0.2 3.4 -3.8
Chris Snelling 20 8-0.4

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Desi Relaford2.0
Ben Davis1.5
Jeff Cirillo1.0
Willie Bloomquist0.7
Ismael Valdez0.6
Shigetoshi Hasegawa0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
David Bell3.2
Aaron Sele2.7
Stan Javier2.6
Norm Charlton0.9
Al Martin0.9
Tom Lampkin0.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$83.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Bret Boone3310.000$8.0M$8.0M$8.0M$7.6MFREE AGENT
Edgar Martinez3915.000$7.1M$4.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
John Olerud3313.000$7.0M$7.7M$4.7MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer3916.000$6.5M$6.5M$7.0M$8.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo328.000$6.4M$6.7MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron297.000$4.7M$7.4MFREE AGENT
Dan Wilson3310.000$4.5M$3.5M$3.5M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes3211.000$3.5M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Paul Abbott3412.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Jeff Nelson3510.000$3.3M$2.6MFREE AGENT$400k
Mark McLemore3716.000$3.1M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Jose Offerman3312.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Ruben Sierra3616.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Desi Relaford286.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
James Baldwin307.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Ismael Valdez288.000$645kFREE AGENT
Doug Creek337.000$303kFREE AGENT
Pat Borders3914.000$500kFREE AGENT
Gene Kingsale256.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Freddy Garcia253.000$3.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shigetoshi Hasegawa335.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Carlos Guillén264.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Halama304.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Gipson294.000$450kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Davis254.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Franklin293.000$250kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Kazuhiro Sasaki342.000$5.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ichiro Suzuki281.000$3.7MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Pineiro232.000$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ugueto230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Wright26
Willie Bloomquist240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Watson28
Scott Podsednik261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Kaye26
Rafael Soriano220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Taylor240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Fitzgerald27
Julio Mateo240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snelling200.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3