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Padres SDP

202590–72 (0.556)Made Playoffs
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GM: AJ Preller

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2025, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$187M
Surplus $M
-36
Win %
0.556
TAB
+0.9
WAB
+5.7
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
37.4
Dead money %
26%
Depth Players
8.0
Dead WAR
-6.2

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2025 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RElias Díaz105
RMartín Maldonado64
RFreddy Fermin⇄42
RLuis Campusano1

1B

LLuis Arraez117
LRyan O'Hearn⇄26
LGavin Sheets13
LJake Cronenworth13
LTrenton Brooks12
RConnor Joe⇄7
RYuli Gurriel4

2B

LJake Cronenworth118
RJose Iglesias40
LLuis Arraez14
LTyler Wade8
RMason McCoy2
LWill Wagner⇄2

3B

RManny Machado145
RJose Iglesias24
LWill Wagner⇄12
LTyler Wade4

SS

RXander Bogaerts125
RJose Iglesias32
LJake Cronenworth13
RMason McCoy12
LTyler Wade2

LF

LGavin Sheets64
LJason Heyward30
BBryce Johnson26
RRamón Laureano⇄23
LTyler Wade17
ROscar Gonzalez14
LTirso Ornelas5
LTrenton Brooks2
RJose Iglesias1

CF

LJackson Merrill114
LTyler Wade19
BBryce Johnson18
RRamón Laureano⇄5
LJason Heyward1
LTirso Ornelas1

RF

RFernando Tatis Jr.153
RRamón Laureano⇄18
BBryce Johnson10
LRyan O'Hearn⇄7
LJason Heyward5
ROscar Gonzalez5
LTyler Wade3

DH

LGavin Sheets63
LLuis Arraez29
LRyan O'Hearn⇄17
RManny Machado14
RJose Iglesias13
LTrenton Brooks11
RLuis Campusano9
RXander Bogaerts9
RYuli Gurriel8
RRamón Laureano⇄3
RFernando Tatis Jr.2
LJake Cronenworth2
LTyler Wade2
ROscar Gonzalez2
RMason McCoy1
LTirso Ornelas1

Starters

RNick Pivetta3.7 WAR
RDylan Cease3.4 WAR
RMichael King0.9 WAR
RRandy Vasquez0.8 WAR
RStephen Kolek⇄0.8 WAR
LWandy Peralta0.5 WAR
RYu Darvish0.4 WAR
RRyan Bergert⇄0.3 WAR
RDavid Morgan0.3 WAR
RMatt Waldron-0.1 WAR
LKyle Hart-0.2 WAR
LJP Sears⇄-0.2 WAR
RSean Reynolds-0.3 WAR
LNestor Cortes⇄-0.5 WAR

Bullpen

★ RRobert Suarez40 sv
RJeremiah Estrada30 h
RJason Adam29 h
LAdrian Morejon20 h
LWandy Peralta4 h
LYuki Matsui3 h
RAlek Jacob3 h
RDavid Morgan1 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Nick Pivetta3.7
Gavin Sheets1.4
Mason Miller1.1
Ramón Laureano0.7
Ryan O'Hearn0.6
Freddy Fermin0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Jurickson Profar4.3
Ha-Seong Kim2.6
Kyle Higashioka1.6
Donovan Solano0.8
Tanner Scott0.7
David Peralta0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Padres. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2025; everyone else is shown as a 2025 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2025 +6.1 +100.3 20.7 +79.6 $3.4M 2.05× –
Nick Pivetta 2025 +3.7 +64.9 2.5 +62.4 $0.7M 2.19× Free Agent · 2025–2028 · $13.8M AAV
Manny Machado 2023–2025 +10.7 +107.2 51.3 +55.9 $4.8M 1.25× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Dylan Cease 2025 +3.4 +53.6 13.8 +39.8 $4.0M 1.96× Free Agent · 2026–2032 · $30.0M AAV
Jackson Merrill 2025 +3.0 +39.0 0.8 +38.1 $0.3M 1.60× Pre-arb extension · 2026–2035 · $15.0M AAV
Adrian Morejon 2025 +2.3 +35.2 2.0 +33.2 $0.9M 1.95× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.9M AAV
Jake Cronenworth 2024–2025 +5.0 +43.0 18.6 +24.5 $3.7M 1.07× Arb extension · 2024–2030 · $11.4M AAV
Robert Suarez 2025 +1.9 +30.1 13.0 +17.1 $6.8M 1.95× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $15.0M AAV
Xander Bogaerts 2023–2025 +9.9 +91.4 76.4 +15.0 $7.7M 1.14× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $25.5M AAV
Mason Miller↔ 2025 +1.1 +11.4 0.2 +11.3 $0.2M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Jeremiah Estrada 2025 +1.1 +11.3 0.8 +10.5 $0.7M 1.34× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Gavin Sheets 2025 +1.4 +9.2 1.6 +7.6 $1.2M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV
Stephen Kolek↔ 2025 +0.8 +6.5 0.3 +6.2 $0.4M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Randy Vásquez 2025 +0.8 +6.7 0.7 +6.1 $0.8M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Bryce Johnson 2025 +0.7 +4.4 0.4 +4.0 $0.7M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ramón Laureano↔ 2025 +0.7 +4.5 1.4 +3.1 $2.1M 0.83× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Michael King 2025 +0.9 +6.9 4.0 +2.9 $4.7M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $25.0M AAV
Ryan Bergert↔ 2025 +0.3 +2.7 0.1 +2.6 $0.4M 1.02× –
Freddy Fermin↔ 2025 +0.6 +2.3 0.2 +2.1 $0.4M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.1M AAV
Jason Adam 2025 +1.3 +6.7 4.8 +1.9 $3.8M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.7M AAV
David Morgan 2025 +0.3 +1.6 0.6 +1.0 $1.9M 0.67× –
Ron Marinaccio 2025 +0.2 +1.1 0.3 +0.8 $1.6M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Brandon Lockridge↔ 2025 +0.1 +0.9 0.3 +0.6 $2.0M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Bradgley Rodriguez 2025 +0.1 +0.6 0.1 +0.4 $1.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Bryan Hoeing 2025 +0.1 +0.5 0.6 -0.1 $6.5M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ryan O'Hearn↔ 2025 +0.6 +2.6 2.7 -0.1 $4.5M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $14.5M AAV
Elias Díaz 2025 +0.4 +1.6 2.0 -0.4 $5.2M 0.52× –
Eduarniel Núñez↔ 2025 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Mason McCoy 2025 -0.0 -0.2 0.4 -0.6 – 0.61× –
Will Wagner↔ 2025 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.58× –
Connor Joe↔ 2025 -0.2 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 0.56× –
Logan Gillaspie 2025 -0.2 -0.9 0.3 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Tirso Ornelas 2025 -0.2 -1.3 0.2 -1.4 – 0.83× –
Matt Waldron 2025 -0.1 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 – 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Kyle Hart 2025 -0.2 -0.8 1.0 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Sean Reynolds 2025 -0.3 -1.3 0.5 -1.8 – 0.67× –
JP Sears↔ 2025 -0.2 -1.9 0.1 -1.9 – 1.02× –
Oscar Gonzalez 2025 -0.3 -2.2 0.1 -2.4 – 0.83× –
Alek Jacob 2025 -0.4 -2.3 0.4 -2.7 – 0.67× –
Luis Campusano 2025 -0.4 -2.0 1.0 -3.0 – 0.69× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Trenton Brooks 2025 -0.5 -2.9 0.2 -3.1 – 0.69× –
Tyler Wade 2025 -0.3 -2.2 0.9 -3.1 – 0.83× –
Jose Iglesias 2025 -0.2 -1.0 3.0 -4.0 – 0.56× –
Martín Maldonado 2025 -0.8 -3.2 1.0 -4.2 – 0.52× –
Jason Heyward 2025 -0.5 -3.4 1.0 -4.4 – 0.83× –
Wandy Peralta 2024–2025 +0.0 +0.2 7.6 -7.4 $198.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $4.1M AAV
Nestor Cortes↔ 2025 -0.5 -4.0 4.0 -8.0 – 1.02× –
Yuki Matsui 2024–2025 +0.0 +0.2 8.8 -8.6 $298.6M 0.67× Free agent · 2024–2028 · $5.6M AAV
Luis Arraez 2025 +0.9 +4.1 14.0 -9.9 $15.2M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $12.0M AAV
Yu Darvish 2023–2025 +3.9 +31.6 62.0 -30.4 $15.9M 1.02× Extension · 2023–2028 · $18.0M AAV
Omar Cruz 2025 +0.0 +0.2 0.2 +0.0 $5.2M 0.67× –
Yuli Gurriel 2025 -0.4 -2.3 – – – 0.69× –
Total—+56.4+647.6327.5+322.6—

Trades

Every graded 2025 deal involving the Padres — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 11 total.

2025 · SDP / OAK Jul 31, 2025
SDP · AJ Preller +$56.8M
JP Sears, Mason Miller
OAK · David Forst −$56.8M
Leo De Vries#18, Henry Baez, Eduarniel Núñez, Braden Nett
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · MIL / SDP Jul 31, 2025
MIL · Matt Arnold +$5.6M
Brandon Lockridge
SDP · AJ Preller −$5.6M
Jorge Quintana, Néstor Cortés
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · KCR / SDP Jul 31, 2025
KCR · J.J. Picollo +$9.6M
Ryan Bergert, Stephen Kolek
SDP · AJ Preller −$9.6M
Freddy Fermin
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · TOR / SDP Jul 31, 2025
TOR · Ross Atkins +$12.0M
Brandon Valenzuela
SDP · AJ Preller −$12.0M
Will Wagner
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · PIT / SDP Apr 16, 2025
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.8M
Brett Sullivan
SDP · AJ Preller −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · PIT / SDP Aug 2, 2025
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
Eli Wilson
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHC / SDP Apr 10, 2025
CHC · Jed Hoyer +$0.8M
Tom Cosgrove
SDP · AJ Preller −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · CHW / SDP Jan 24, 2025
CHW · Chris Getz +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
SDP · AJ Preller −$1.6M
Ron Marinaccio
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SDP / CIN May 9, 2025
SDP · AJ Preller +$3.2M
Andrew Moore
CIN · Nick Krall −$3.2M
Connor Joe
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SDP / BAL Jul 31, 2025
SDP · AJ Preller +$1.6M
Ryan O'Hearn, Ramón Laureano
BAL · Mike Elias −$1.6M
Victor Figueroa, Tyson Neighbors, Cobb Hightower, Boston Bateman, Tanner Smith, Brandon Butterworth
Too soon to call unsettled
2025 · SDP / PIT Apr 17, 2025
SDP · AJ Preller +$2.4M
Bryce Johnson
PIT · Ben Cherington −$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$187.4M
2026 guaranteed
$116.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Xander Bogaerts3211.042$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M
Yu Darvish3812.146$21.0M$16.0M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis Jr.266.000$20.7MFREE AGENT
Manny Machado3212.056$17.1M$25.1M$39.1M$39.1M$39.1M$39.1M$39.1M
Jake Cronenworth315.000$11.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3MFREE AGENT
Yuki Matsui291.000$5.5M$5.8M$6.5MOPT-OUT$7.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Wandy Peralta337.168$4.2MOPT-OUT$4.5MOPT-OUT$4.5MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Jose Iglesias3510.158$3.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan O'Hearn316.002$2.7MCLUBFREE AGENT
Nick Pivetta326.166$2.5M$20.5M$14.0MOPT-OUT$18.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Elias Díaz348.088$2.0MFREE AGENT
Ramón Laureano305.159$1.4M$6.5MCLUBFREE AGENT
Martín Maldonado3814.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Heyward3515.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Yuli Gurriel419.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Luis Arraez285.121$14.0MFREE AGENT
Dylan Cease295.089$13.8MFREE AGENT
Robert Suarez343.000$13.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Adam334.132$4.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Nestor Cortes305.094$4.0MFREE AGENT
Michael King305.004$4.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Morejon264.140$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Sheets293.076$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wade305.058$925kFREE AGENT
Connor Joe323.136$84kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Kyle Hart320.128$1.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Campusano262.144$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Merrill221.000$810kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremiah Estrada261.069$776kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Vásquez260.147$673kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hoeing282.015$585kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Morgan250.000$566kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Reynolds270.039$468kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Johnson290.164$435kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Waldron281.039$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason McCoy300.065$393kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alek Jacob270.130$381kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Gillaspie280.110$340kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Marinaccio292.027$337kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Kolek281.000$299kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Lockridge280.019$268kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trenton Brooks290.035$208kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Fermin301.165$206kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Miller261.166$192kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Cruz26–$168k
Tirso Ornelas25–$168k
Bradgley Rodriguez210.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Bergert25–$145k
Oscar Gonzalez272.133$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JP Sears292.081$97kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Wagner260.049$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduarniel Núñez260.000$25kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2025 acquisition stacked onto Padres's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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