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Padres SDP

202493–69 (0.574)Made Playoffs
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GM: AJ Preller

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2024, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$169M
Surplus $M
+22
Win %
0.574
TAB
+11.1
WAB
+10.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
45.9
Dead money %
14%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-2.6

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2024 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RLuis Campusano86
RKyle Higashioka83
RElias Díaz⇄12
LBrett Sullivan5

1B

LJake Cronenworth85
LLuis Arraez⇄51
RDonovan Solano26
LBrett Sullivan2
RLuis Campusano2
BJurickson Profar2
LGraham Pauley1
RMatthew Batten1

2B

RXander Bogaerts85
LJake Cronenworth70
LLuis Arraez⇄31
LTyler Wade15
REguy Rosario2
RDonovan Solano1
RNick Ahmed⇄1

3B

RManny Machado100
RDonovan Solano32
LTyler Wade31
REguy Rosario26
LGraham Pauley6

SS

RHa-Seong Kim121
RXander Bogaerts20
RMason McCoy19
LTyler Wade13
RNick Ahmed⇄2

LF

BJurickson Profar148
RJosé Azócar45
LTyler Wade12
LDavid Peralta11
RBrandon Lockridge5
BBryce Johnson4

CF

LJackson Merrill155
RJosé Azócar11
LTyler Wade2
RBrandon Lockridge1
BBryce Johnson1

RF

RFernando Tatis Jr.96
LDavid Peralta54
BBryce Johnson38
LTyler Wade7
RJosé Azócar5
RBrandon Lockridge2

DH

RManny Machado51
LLuis Arraez⇄35
RDonovan Solano29
LDavid Peralta15
RXander Bogaerts9
BJurickson Profar8
LGraham Pauley5
LJake Cronenworth5
LTyler Wade4
RFernando Tatis Jr.4
REguy Rosario2
RJosé Azócar1

Starters

RDylan Cease4.7 WAR
RMichael King3.9 WAR
RMatt Waldron1.8 WAR
RJoe Musgrove1.4 WAR
RYu Darvish1.1 WAR
RRandy Vasquez0.7 WAR
LMartin Perez⇄0.2 WAR
RAdam Mazur-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

★ RRobert Suarez36 sv
RJeremiah Estrada16 h
LAdrian Morejon12 h
LWandy Peralta11 h
LTanner Scott⇄11 h
LYuki Matsui9 h
RStephen Kolek2 h
REnyel De Los Santos⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Jackson Merrill5.3
Dylan Cease4.7
Michael King3.9
Jeremiah Estrada1.6
Kyle Higashioka1.6
Luis Arraez1.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Juan Soto6.2
Blake Snell4.1
Seth Lugo2.9
Gary Sánchez1.8
Josh Hader1.7
Trent Grisham1.7

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Padres. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2024; everyone else is shown as a 2024 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jackson Merrill 2024 +5.3 +87.6 0.7 +86.9 $0.1M 2.05× Pre-arb extension · 2026–2035 · $15.0M AAV
Dylan Cease 2024 +4.7 +83.1 8.0 +75.1 $1.7M 2.19× Free Agent · 2026–2032 · $30.0M AAV
Michael King 2024 +3.9 +68.4 3.1 +65.2 $0.8M 2.19× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $25.0M AAV
Jurickson Profar 2024 +4.3 +62.2 1.0 +61.2 $0.2M 1.79× Free Agent · 2027–2027 · $14.0M AAV
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2024 +3.3 +41.8 11.7 +30.1 $3.6M 1.60× –
Manny Machado 2023–2024 +6.9 +61.8 34.2 +27.6 $4.9M 1.12× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Matt Waldron 2024 +1.8 +21.0 0.7 +20.3 $0.4M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ha-Seong Kim 2024 +2.6 +24.8 8.0 +16.8 $3.0M 1.18× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $20.0M AAV
Jeremiah Estrada 2024 +1.6 +12.7 0.7 +12.0 $0.5M 0.98× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Xander Bogaerts 2023–2024 +6.6 +60.8 50.9 +9.8 $7.7M 1.13× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $25.5M AAV
Kyle Higashioka 2024 +1.6 +9.5 2.2 +7.3 $1.4M 0.76× Free Agent · 2025–2027 · $6.8M AAV
Jason Adam↔ 2024 +0.7 +7.4 1.0 +6.4 $1.4M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.7M AAV
Jake Cronenworth 2024 +2.1 +13.5 7.3 +6.2 $3.5M 0.81× Arb extension · 2024–2030 · $11.4M AAV
Tanner Scott↔ 2024 +0.7 +7.6 2.2 +5.4 $3.1M 1.34× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $18.0M AAV
Randy Vásquez 2024 +0.7 +6.1 0.7 +5.3 $1.0M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Adrian Morejon 2024 +1.1 +6.0 0.8 +5.1 $0.8M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.9M AAV
Donovan Solano 2024 +0.8 +3.6 0.8 +2.8 $1.0M 0.58× –
David Peralta 2024 +0.5 +3.1 0.7 +2.4 $1.5M 0.83× –
Joe Musgrove 2023–2024 +3.5 +41.7 40.0 +1.7 $11.4M 1.49× Extension · 2023–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Sean Reynolds 2024 +0.2 +1.3 0.1 +1.2 $0.5M 0.67× –
Eguy Rosario 2024 +0.4 +1.6 0.7 +0.9 $2.1M 0.58× –
Bryan Hoeing↔ 2024 +0.2 +1.2 0.4 +0.8 $1.8M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jhony Brito 2024 +0.3 +1.6 0.7 +0.8 $2.5M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Mason McCoy 2024 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.7 $0.9M 0.61× –
Stephen Kolek 2024 +0.3 +1.4 0.7 +0.7 $2.8M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Yu Darvish 2023–2024 +3.5 +41.7 41.0 +0.7 $11.7M 1.49× Extension · 2023–2028 · $18.0M AAV
Alek Jacob 2024 +0.2 +1.3 0.7 +0.6 $3.0M 0.67× –
Nick Ahmed↔ 2024 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $1.4M 0.61× –
Matthew Batten 2024 +0.1 +0.6 0.7 -0.1 $5.3M 0.56× –
Elias Díaz↔ 2024 +0.1 +0.5 0.8 -0.3 $6.3M 0.52× –
Pedro Avila↔ 2024 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 – 0.67× –
Robert Suarez 2024 +0.9 +9.5 10.0 -0.5 $11.3M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $15.0M AAV
Bryce Johnson 2024 -0.0 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 – 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
José Azocar 2024 +0.0 +0.0 0.7 -0.7 $1790.3M 0.83× –
Logan Gillaspie 2024 -0.0 -0.1 0.7 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Brett Sullivan 2024 -0.1 -0.5 0.7 -1.2 – 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Martín Pérez↔ 2024 +0.2 +1.9 3.1 -1.2 $13.1M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.5M AAV
Yuki Matsui 2024 +0.3 +1.8 3.2 -1.5 $9.7M 0.67× Free agent · 2024–2028 · $5.6M AAV
Tom Cosgrove 2024 -0.2 -1.0 0.8 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Graham Pauley 2024 -0.3 -1.4 0.7 -2.2 – 0.58× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tyler Wade 2024 -0.3 -1.5 0.8 -2.3 – 0.58× –
Luis Campusano 2024 -0.5 -1.9 0.8 -2.7 – 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Enyel De Los Santos↔ 2024 -0.3 -1.7 1.1 -2.8 – 0.67× –
Adam Mazur 2024 -0.3 -2.4 0.7 -3.1 – 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Luis Arraez↔ 2024 +1.2 +5.2 8.3 -3.1 $7.1M 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $12.0M AAV
Wandy Peralta 2024 -0.5 -2.5 3.4 -5.8 – 0.67× Free Agent · 2024–2027 · $4.1M AAV
Austin Davis 2024 +0.0 +0.2 0.1 +0.0 $4.7M 0.67× –
Brandon Lockridge 2024 +0.0 +0.1 0.1 +0.0 $5.0M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Carl Edwards Jr. 2024 +0.0 +0.0 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+58.3+680.0256.3+423.1—

Trades

Every graded 2024 deal involving the Padres — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 12 total.

2024 · SDP / CHW Mar 13, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$126.4M
Dylan Cease
CHW · Chris Getz −$126.4M
Steven Wilson, Samuel Zavala, Jairo Iriarte, Drew Thorpe
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · PIT / SDP Apr 2, 2024
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.0M
Kervin Pichardo
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
Jackson Wolf
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / PIT Jul 30, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
Martín Pérez
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.0M
Ronaldys Jimenez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / HOU Jun 4, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown −$1.6M
Nick Hernandez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · MIA / SDP May 4, 2024
MIA · Peter Bendix +$25.6M
Jakob Marsee, Woo-Suk Go, Dillon Head, Nathan Martorella
SDP · AJ Preller −$25.6M
Luis Arráez
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · TOR / SDP Aug 7, 2024
TOR · Ross Atkins +$3.2M
Tommy Nance
SDP · AJ Preller −$3.2M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / HOU Feb 13, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Oliver Carrillo
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / DET Feb 17, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Blake Dickerson
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / NYY Jul 30, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$2.4M
Brandon Lockridge
NYY · Brian Cashman −$2.4M
Thomas Balboni Jr., Enyel De Los Santos
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · CLE / SDP Apr 17, 2024
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$1.6M
Pedro Avila
SDP · AJ Preller −$1.6M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · TBR / SDP Jul 28, 2024
TBR · Erik Neander +$4.0M
J.D. Gonzalez, Dylan Lesko#47, Homer Bush Jr.
SDP · AJ Preller −$4.0M
Jason Adam
Too soon to call unsettled
2024 · SDP / MIA Jul 30, 2024
SDP · AJ Preller +$0.8M
Tanner Scott, Bryan Hoeing
MIA · Peter Bendix −$0.8M
Robby Snelling#31.5, Adam Mazur, Jay Beshears, Graham Pauley
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$169.2M
2025 guaranteed
$104.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Xander Bogaerts3110.042$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M
Joe Musgrove317.063$20.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Manny Machado3111.056$17.1M$17.1M$25.1M$39.1M$39.1M$39.1M$39.1M
Yu Darvish3712.000$16.0M$21.0M$16.0M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Jake Cronenworth304.000$7.3M$11.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M
Wandy Peralta326.168$3.4M$4.2MOPT-OUT$4.5MOPT-OUT$4.5MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Yuki Matsui280.000$3.2M$5.5M$5.8M$6.5MOPT-OUT$7.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Martín Pérez3311.038$3.1MFREE AGENT
Enyel De Los Santos286.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar319.165$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Adam326.000$985kFREE AGENT
Donovan Solano368.081$790kFREE AGENT
Elias Díaz337.088$750kFREE AGENT
David Peralta369.120$699kFREE AGENT
Nick Ahmed349.043$24kFREE AGENT
Carl Edwards Jr.329.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Fernando Tatis Jr.255.000$11.7MFREE AGENT
Luis Arraez274.121$8.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Cease284.089$8.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ha-Seong Kim283.000$8.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael King294.004$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott295.059$2.2MFREE AGENT
Kyle Higashioka345.005$2.2MFREE AGENT
Adrian Morejon253.140$850kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wade294.058$850kARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Davis314.105$135kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Robert Suarez332.000$10.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Campusano251.144$755kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Cosgrove280.159$750kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhony Brito260.113$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Azocar281.097$746kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eguy Rosario241.021$744kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Waldron270.054$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alek Jacob260.087$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Graham Pauley230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Kolek270.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Mazur230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matthew Batten290.130$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Merrill210.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Vásquez250.041$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Sullivan300.081$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbFREE AGENT
Jeremiah Estrada250.080$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Gillaspie270.076$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hoeing271.015$397kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Johnson280.093$278kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason McCoy290.025$155kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Reynolds260.003$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Lockridge270.000$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Avila270.099$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2024 acquisition stacked onto Padres's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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