RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Josh Byrnes

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.62× league · TAB -4.5
-4.5TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
+1.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-5.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
50%dead money %25th/30
0.475win %18th/30
23.9roster fWAR27th/30
+1surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$70Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFCameron Maybin 86GWill Venable 76GAbraham Almonte 41G
LFSeth Smith 102GCarlos Quentin 32GTommy Medica 22G
RFWill Venable 75GSeth Smith 43GRymer Liriano 34G
SSEverth Cabrera 90GAlexi Amarista 73GYangervis Solarte 8G
2BJedd Gyorko 109GYangervis Solarte 27GAlexi Amarista 21G
3BYangervis Solarte 111GAlexi Amarista 22GChris Nelson 20G
1BYonder Alonso 77GTommy Medica 46GYasmani Grandal 37G
STARTERSIan Kennedy 3.1WARTyson Ross 3.0WARAndrew Cashner 1.6WARJesse Hahn 0.8WARRobbie Erlin 0.6WAR
CRené Rivera 89GYasmani Grandal 76GAdam Moore 1G
DHCarlos Quentin 5GTommy Medica 4GYasmani Grandal 1G
BULLPEN★ Joaquín Benoit 11svNick Vincent 20hDale Thayer 13hKevin Quackenbush 10hAlex Torres 7hBlaine Boyer 5hTroy Patton 1hTim Stauffer 0h
CRené Rivera 89 · Yasmani Grandal 76 · Adam Moore 1
1BYonder Alonso 77 · Tommy Medica 46 · Yasmani Grandal 37
2BJedd Gyorko 109 · Yangervis Solarte 27 · Alexi Amarista 21
3BYangervis Solarte 111 · Alexi Amarista 22 · Chris Nelson 20
SSEverth Cabrera 90 · Alexi Amarista 73 · Yangervis Solarte 8
LFSeth Smith 102 · Carlos Quentin 32 · Tommy Medica 22
CFCameron Maybin 86 · Will Venable 76 · Abraham Almonte 41
RFWill Venable 75 · Seth Smith 43 · Rymer Liriano 34
DHCarlos Quentin 5 · Tommy Medica 4 · Yasmani Grandal 1
SPIan Kennedy 3.1 · Tyson Ross 3.0 · Andrew Cashner 1.6 · Jesse Hahn 0.8 · Robbie Erlin 0.6
BP★ Joaquín Benoit 11 · Nick Vincent 20 · Dale Thayer 13 · Kevin Quackenbush 10 · Alex Torres 7 · Blaine Boyer 5 · Troy Patton 1 · Tim Stauffer 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2014 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
René Rivera 30 FA-elig 1034.9 0.5 +13.9
Ian Kennedy 29 FA-elig 333.1 6.1 +2.9
Tyson Ross 27 arb 323.0 2.0 +6.7
Yasmani Grandal 25 pre-arb 1282.8 0.8 +7.3
Seth Smith 31 FA-elig 1362.7 4.5 +3.3
Andrew Cashner 27 arb 231.6 2.4 +2.2
Joaquín Benoit 36 FA-elig 531.2 6.0 -2.5
Chase Headley↔ NYY 30 FA-elig 771.1 6.0 -2.9
Jesse Hahn 24 – 150.8 0.2 +2.0
Will Venable 31 FA-elig 1460.7 4.2 -2.1
Alexi Amarista 25 arb 1480.7 0.5 +1.6
Nick Vincent 27 pre-arb 630.7 0.5 +1.5
Kevin Quackenbush 25 – 560.7 0.4 +1.7
Robbie Erlin 23 pre-arb 130.6 0.5 +1.3
Yangervis Solarte↔ NYY 26 – 560.6 0.1 +1.6
Tommy Medica 26 pre-arb 1020.6 0.5 +1.1
Odrisamer Despaigne 27 pre-arb 160.5 0.3 +1.3
Abraham Almonte↔ SEA 25 pre-arb 320.5 0.2 +1.3
Huston Street↔ ANA 30 FA-elig 330.5 3.8 -2.4
Yonder Alonso 27 arb 840.5 1.0 +0.3
Tim Stauffer 32 FA-elig 440.4 1.6 -0.5
Cameron Maybin 27 FA-elig 950.3 5.0 -4.1
Chris Denorfia↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 890.3 1.7 -0.8
Blaine Boyer 32 FA-elig 320.3 0.7 +0.1
Jason Lane 37 – 30.1 – –
Cory Spangenberg 23 – 200.1 0.1 +0.1
Leonel Campos 26 pre-arb 60.1 0.0 +0.1
Frank Garces 24 – 150.0 0.1 +0.0
R.J. Alvarez 23 – 100.0 0.1 +0.0
Irving Falu↔ MIL 31 – 110.0 0.0 +0.0
Troy Patton↔ BAL 28 FA-elig 80.0 0.6 -0.6
Nick Hundley↔ BAL 30 FA-elig 330.0 1.6 -1.6
Hector Ambriz 30 – 1-0.0 – –
Dale Thayer 33 arb 70-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Adam Moore 30 pre-arb 9-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Kyle Blanks↔ OAK 27 arb 5-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Jake Goebbert 26 – 51-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Billy Buckner 30 – 1-0.1 – –
Jedd Gyorko 25 pre-arb 111-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Xavier Nady 35 FA-elig 22-0.1 0.8 -1.2
Alex Torres 26 arb 70-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Brooks Conrad 34 – 13-0.2 – –
Chris Nelson 28 – 27-0.3 – –
Donn Roach 24 pre-arb 16-0.3 0.2 -1.0
Jeff Francoeur 30 FA-elig 10-0.3 0.1 -1.0
Joe Wieland 24 pre-arb 4-0.3 0.5 -1.5
Everth Cabrera 27 arb 90-0.5 2.5 -3.8
Eric Stults 34 FA-elig 32-0.6 2.8 -4.4
Rymer Liriano 23 – 38-0.6 0.1 -1.8
Carlos Quentin 31 FA-elig 50-0.6 9.5 -11.2
Jace Peterson 24 – 27-0.8 0.2 -2.4

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
Seth Smith2.7
Joaquín Benoit1.2
Jesse Hahn0.8
Kevin Quackenbush0.7
Yangervis Solarte0.6
Odrisamer Despaigne0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Luke Gregerson1.2
Edinson Volquez0.8
Joe Thatcher0.4
Cody Ransom0.4
Jesus Guzman0.2
Ronny Cedeno0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$70.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Carlos Quentin317.065$9.5MFREE AGENT
Joaquín Benoit3615.040$6.0M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Huston Street309.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Chris Denorfia336.041$1.7MFREE AGENT
Xavier Nady3514.000$775kFREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer328.070$700kFREE AGENT
Jeff Francoeur308.053$104kFREE AGENT
Jason Lane3712.000—FREE AGENT
Billy Buckner307.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Ian Kennedy294.124$6.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Headley305.123$6.0MFREE AGENT
Cameron Maybin274.073$5.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Smith315.119$4.5MFREE AGENT
Will Venable314.155$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Stults343.075$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Everth Cabrera273.144$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Cashner273.126$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Stauffer325.143$1.6MFREE AGENT
Nick Hundley305.059$1.6MFREE AGENT
Troy Patton283.150$600kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Blanks274.032$190kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Nelson283.171—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Conrad345.078—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Tyson Ross272.126$2.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonder Alonso272.116$980kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yasmani Grandal251.114$792kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dale Thayer332.071$516kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Amarista252.053$511kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jedd Gyorko251.000$511kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Vincent271.007$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Torres260.141$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
René Rivera302.082$506kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robbie Erlin230.057$504kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Wieland242.000$502kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Medica260.020$501kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Quackenbush250.000$383kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odrisamer Despaigne272.075$265kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Hahn240.000$230kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donn Roach240.066$183kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abraham Almonte250.031$183kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Goebbert26–$150k
Jace Peterson240.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rymer Liriano230.000$134kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yangervis Solarte260.000$124kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Garces240.000$82kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Spangenberg230.000$77kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Moore302.038$74kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
R.J. Alvarez230.000$71kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Irving Falu310.120$26kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leonel Campos260.089$14kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Ambriz302.043—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2014; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.