RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.8× league · TAB +6.9
+6.9TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+9.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag7th/30
27%dead money %13th/30
0.546win %8th/30
38.5roster fWAR12th/30
+12surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$66Mpayroll $M21st/30

Roster

CFMike Cameron 150GJason Lane 37GBrady Clark 14G
LFScott Hairston 77GRob Mackowiak 65GTerrmel Sledge 54G
RFBrian Giles 120GRob Mackowiak 23GJosé Cruz Jr. 23G
SSKhalil Greene 153GGeoff Blum 12G
2BMarcus Giles 112GGeoff Blum 61GOscar Robles 8G
3BKevin Kouzmanoff 136GMorgan Ensberg 80GGeoff Blum 13G
1BAdrián González 161GGeoff Blum 1GMorgan Ensberg 1G
STARTERSJake Peavy 7.3WARChris Young 4.4WARGreg Maddux 3.9WARJustin Germano 1.2WARBrett Tomko 0.3WAR
CJosh Bard 108GMichael Barrett 95GPete Laforest 7G
DHGeoff Blum 3GRussell Branyan 3GJosh Bard 1G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 42svHeath Bell 34hCla Meredith 10hDoug Brocail 10hWilfredo Ledezma 4hJustin Hampson 4hJoe Thatcher 2hKevin Cameron 1h
CJosh Bard 108 · Michael Barrett 95 · Pete Laforest 7
1BAdrián González 161 · Geoff Blum 1 · Morgan Ensberg 1
2BMarcus Giles 112 · Geoff Blum 61 · Oscar Robles 8
3BKevin Kouzmanoff 136 · Morgan Ensberg 80 · Geoff Blum 13
SSKhalil Greene 153 · Geoff Blum 12
LFScott Hairston 77 · Rob Mackowiak 65 · Terrmel Sledge 54
CFMike Cameron 150 · Jason Lane 37 · Brady Clark 14
RFBrian Giles 120 · Rob Mackowiak 23 · José Cruz Jr. 23
DHGeoff Blum 3 · Russell Branyan 3 · Josh Bard 1
SPJake Peavy 7.3 · Chris Young 4.4 · Greg Maddux 3.9 · Justin Germano 1.2 · Brett Tomko 0.3
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 42 · Heath Bell 34 · Cla Meredith 10 · Doug Brocail 10 · Wilfredo Ledezma 4 · Justin Hampson 4 · Joe Thatcher 2 · Kevin Cameron 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jake Peavy 26 arb 377.3 4.8 +10.9
Chris Young 28 arb 304.4 0.6 +8.9
Greg Maddux 41 FA-elig 353.9 10.0 -1.6
Adrián González 25 arb 1612.9 0.5 +5.8
Khalil Greene 27 arb 1532.8 2.2 +3.7
Heath Bell 29 arb 812.5 0.4 +5.0
Kevin Kouzmanoff 25 pre-arb 1452.2 0.4 +4.4
Mike Cameron 34 FA-elig 1511.9 7.0 -2.9
Trevor Hoffman 39 FA-elig 611.9 7.0 -2.9
Milton Bradley↔ OAK 29 FA-elig 421.7 2.8 +0.9
Justin Germano 24 – 261.2 – –
Josh Bard 29 arb 1181.1 1.1 +1.3
Cla Meredith 24 pre-arb 801.0 0.4 +1.7
Brian Giles 36 FA-elig 1211.0 9.7 -7.6
Scott Hairston↔ ARI 27 arb 310.9 0.1 +1.8
José Cruz Jr. 33 FA-elig 910.8 0.7 +1.1
Justin Hampson 27 – 390.7 – –
Rob Bowen↔ CHC 26 arb 300.6 0.2 +1.1
Kevin Cameron 27 pre-arb 480.5 0.4 +0.7
David Wells↔ LAD 44 FA-elig 220.4 2.3 -1.4
Morgan Ensberg↔ HOU 31 FA-elig 300.4 1.1 -0.3
Jack Cassel 26 – 60.4 – –
Joe Thatcher 25 – 220.3 0.4 +0.3
Pete Laforest↔ PHI 29 – 100.3 – –
Brett Tomko↔ LAD 34 FA-elig 70.3 0.7 -0.1
Geoff Blum 34 FA-elig 1220.2 0.9 -0.4
Hiram Bocachica↔ OAK 31 – 270.2 – –
Russell Branyan↔ PHI 31 FA-elig 610.2 0.7 -0.3
Craig Stansberry 25 – 110.1 – –
Paul McAnulty 26 pre-arb 200.0 0.4 -0.3
Doug Brocail 40 FA-elig 670.0 0.5 -0.4
Marcus Giles 29 FA-elig 1160.0 3.2 -3.2
Clay Hensley 27 pre-arb 130.0 0.4 -0.3
Aaron Rakers 30 – 10.0 – –
Drew Macias 24 – 10.0 – –
Colt Morton 25 – 1-0.0 – –
Wilfredo Ledezma↔ ATL 26 arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Royce Ring↔ ATL 26 – 15-0.1 – –
Brady Clark↔ LAD 34 FA-elig 21-0.1 1.2 -1.3
Brian Myrow 30 – 12-0.1 – –
Jason Lane↔ HOU 30 arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Rob Mackowiak↔ CHW 31 FA-elig 28-0.2 0.7 -1.1
Mike Thompson 26 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Oscar Robles 31 – 24-0.3 – –
Chase Headley 23 – 8-0.3 0.4 -0.9
Terrmel Sledge 30 arb 100-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Tim Stauffer 25 – 2-0.5 0.4 -1.4
Michael Barrett↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 44-0.6 2.0 -3.3
Scott Linebrink↔ MIL 30 FA-elig 44-0.7 1.3 -2.8

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Greg Maddux3.9
Heath Bell2.5
Kevin Kouzmanoff2.2
Milton Bradley1.7
Justin Germano1.2
Scott Hairston0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Dave Roberts3.1
Josh Barfield2.3
Mike Piazza1.9
Woody Williams1.5
Chan Ho Park1.2
Todd Walker1.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$65.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Greg Maddux4121.000$10.0M$7.9MFREE AGENT
Brian Giles3612.000$9.7M$9.7M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman3914.000$7.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron3412.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Marcus Giles296.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Milton Bradley297.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
David Wells4420.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Michael Barrett309.000$2.0M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Scott Linebrink307.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Brady Clark347.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Morgan Ensberg317.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Geoff Blum348.000$900kFREE AGENT
Brett Tomko3410.000$700k$2.2MFREE AGENT
Russell Branyan319.000$685kFREE AGENT
Rob Mackowiak316.000$681kFREE AGENT
José Cruz Jr.3310.000$650kFREE AGENT
Doug Brocail4015.000$500kFREE AGENT
Hiram Bocachica317.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Jake Peavy265.000$4.8MFREE AGENT
Khalil Greene274.000$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bard295.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Chris Young283.000$600kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrián González253.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terrmel Sledge303.000$390kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Bell293.000$386kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Bowen264.000$188kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hairston273.000$113kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilfredo Ledezma264.000$85kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Lane305.000$44kFREE AGENT
Justin Germano243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Clay Hensley272.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cla Meredith242.000$387kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Thompson261.000$382kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Kouzmanoff251.000$381kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul McAnulty262.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Thatcher250.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Headley230.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Cameron270.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Stauffer252.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Laforest29–—
Oscar Robles31–—
Royce Ring262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Hampson271.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Rakers30–—
Brian Myrow30–—
Craig Stansberry250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Cassel26–—
Drew Macias24–—
Colt Morton25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.