RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.73× league · TAB -3.7
-3.7TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-14.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-6.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
48%dead money %23rd/30
0.389win %28th/30
26.6roster fWAR22nd/30
-5surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$64Mpayroll $M21st/30

Roster

CFJody Gerut 80GScott Hairston 51GWill Venable 27G
LFChase Headley 82GScott Hairston 49GPaul McAnulty 35G
RFBrian Giles 144GPaul McAnulty 15GJody Gerut 9G
SSKhalil Greene 105GLuis Antonio Rodriguez 52GSean Kazmar Jr. 15G
2BEdgar Gonzalez 72GMatt Antonelli 18GLuis Antonio Rodriguez 7G
3BKevin Kouzmanoff 154GChase Headley 7GEdgar Gonzalez 4G
1BAdrián González 161GBrian Myrow 2GLuis Antonio Rodriguez 2G
STARTERSJake Peavy 4.1WARCha Seung Baek 2.1WARChris Young 1.5WARJosh Geer 0.5WARJustin Germano 0.1WAR
CNick Hundley 59GJosh Bard 49GLuke Carlin 36G
DHTony Clark 9GJustin Huber 1GCraig Stansberry 1G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 30svHeath Bell 23hCla Meredith 11hMike Adams 10hJoe Thatcher 5hBryan Corey 4hClay Hensley 3hJustin Hampson 0h
CNick Hundley 59 · Josh Bard 49 · Luke Carlin 36
1BAdrián González 161 · Brian Myrow 2 · Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2
2BEdgar Gonzalez 72 · Matt Antonelli 18 · Luis Antonio Rodriguez 7
3BKevin Kouzmanoff 154 · Chase Headley 7 · Edgar Gonzalez 4
SSKhalil Greene 105 · Luis Antonio Rodriguez 52 · Sean Kazmar Jr. 15
LFChase Headley 82 · Scott Hairston 49 · Paul McAnulty 35
CFJody Gerut 80 · Scott Hairston 51 · Will Venable 27
RFBrian Giles 144 · Paul McAnulty 15 · Jody Gerut 9
DHTony Clark 9 · Justin Huber 1 · Craig Stansberry 1
SPJake Peavy 4.1 · Cha Seung Baek 2.1 · Chris Young 1.5 · Josh Geer 0.5 · Justin Germano 0.1
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 30 · Heath Bell 23 · Cla Meredith 11 · Mike Adams 10 · Joe Thatcher 5 · Bryan Corey 4 · Clay Hensley 3 · Justin Hampson 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2008 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jake Peavy 27 FA-elig 294.1 6.5 +2.9
Brian Giles 37 FA-elig 1474.1 9.7 -0.4
Adrián González 26 arb 1623.1 0.9 +6.2
Jody Gerut 30 arb 1002.9 0.7 +5.8
Kevin Kouzmanoff 26 pre-arb 1542.2 0.4 +4.6
Scott Hairston 28 arb 1122.2 0.4 +4.6
Cha Seung Baek↔ SEA 28 arb 242.1 0.3 +4.6
Greg Maddux↔ LAD 42 FA-elig 271.8 7.9 -3.9
Chris Young 29 arb 181.5 2.6 +0.8
Randy Wolf↔ HOU 31 FA-elig 241.5 3.2 +0.2
Heath Bell 30 arb 741.2 0.4 +2.3
Mike Adams 29 – 541.1 0.4 +2.0
Will Venable 25 – 280.8 – –
Edgar Gonzalez 30 – 1110.7 – –
Josh Geer 25 – 50.5 – –
Justin Hampson 28 pre-arb 350.4 0.4 +0.6
Chase Headley 24 – 910.4 0.4 +0.4
Trevor Hoffman 40 FA-elig 480.4 7.5 -6.7
Cla Meredith 25 arb 730.3 0.4 +0.3
Chad Reineke 26 – 40.2 – –
Chip Ambres 28 – 240.2 – –
Luis Antonio Rodriguez 28 – 640.2 – –
Justin Germano 25 arb 120.1 0.4 -0.1
Josh Banks 25 – 200.1 – –
Brett Tomko↔ KCR 35 FA-elig 60.1 0.8 -0.6
Drew Macias 25 – 170.1 – –
Jared Wells↔ SEA 26 – 20.1 – –
Tony Clark↔ ARI 36 FA-elig 700.1 0.6 -0.5
Scott Patterson↔ NYY 29 – 30.1 – –
Kevin Cameron 28 – 100.0 – –
Dirk Hayhurst 27 – 100.0 – –
Justin Huber 25 arb 330.0 0.4 -0.3
Tadahito Iguchi↔ PHI 33 arb 810.0 3.7 -3.6
Enrique Gonzalez 25 pre-arb 40.0 0.4 -0.4
Shawn Estes 35 – 11-0.0 – –
Clay Hensley 28 arb 32-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Craig Stansberry 26 – 12-0.0 – –
Wilfredo Ledezma↔ ARI 27 arb 25-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Colt Morton 26 – 9-0.1 – –
Sean Henn 27 – 4-0.1 – –
Michael Barrett 31 FA-elig 30-0.1 3.5 -3.7
Carlos Guevara 26 pre-arb 10-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Sean Kazmar Jr. 23 – 19-0.1 – –
Brian Falkenborg↔ LAD 30 – 9-0.1 – –
Paul McAnulty 27 arb 66-0.2 0.4 -0.7
Charlie Haeger 24 – 4-0.2 – –
Luke Carlin 27 – 36-0.2 – –
Glendon Rusch↔ COL 33 FA-elig 12-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Brian Myrow 31 – 21-0.2 – –
Joe Thatcher 26 pre-arb 25-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Josh Bard 30 FA-elig 57-0.3 2.2 -2.8
Bryan Corey↔ BOS 34 FA-elig 39-0.3 0.3 -1.0
Mike Ekstrom 24 – 8-0.3 – –
Nick Hundley 24 – 60-0.4 0.2 -1.1
Callix Crabbe 25 pre-arb 21-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Wade LeBlanc 23 – 5-0.4 – –
Matt Antonelli 23 – 21-0.4 – –
Khalil Greene 28 arb 105-0.7 4.5 -6.0
Jim Edmonds↔ CHC 38 FA-elig 26-1.2 1.9 -4.5

Key additions (new vs 2007)

PlayerfWAR
Jody Gerut2.9
Cha Seung Baek2.1
Randy Wolf1.5
Mike Adams1.1
Will Venable0.8
Edgar Gonzalez0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Player2007 fWAR
Mike Cameron1.9
Milton Bradley1.7
José Cruz Jr.0.8
Rob Bowen0.6
David Wells0.4
Morgan Ensberg0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2008 payroll
$63.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2008, 2008–2014. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Brian Giles3713.000$9.7M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Greg Maddux4222.000$7.9MFREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman4015.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Jake Peavy276.000$6.5M$8.9MFREE AGENT
Michael Barrett3110.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Randy Wolf319.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Josh Bard306.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jim Edmonds3815.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Brett Tomko3511.000$818kFREE AGENT
Tony Clark3613.000$583kFREE AGENT
Bryan Corey3410.000$343kFREE AGENT
Glendon Rusch3311.000$283kFREE AGENT
Shawn Estes3513.000—FREE AGENT
Brian Falkenborg309.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Khalil Greene285.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Tadahito Iguchi333.000$3.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Young294.000$2.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrián González264.000$875kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jody Gerut305.000$700kFREE AGENT
Wilfredo Ledezma275.000$554kFREE AGENT
Heath Bell304.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Cla Meredith253.000$415kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Hensley283.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hairston284.000$406kARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Germano254.000$404kARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul McAnulty273.000$391kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Adams294.000$390kARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Huber253.000$390kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cha Seung Baek284.000$277kARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Antonio Rodriguez283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Henn273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Kevin Kouzmanoff262.000$410kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Hampson282.000$402kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Thatcher261.000$393kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Guevara260.000$390kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Callix Crabbe250.000$390kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Headley241.000$390kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Gonzalez252.000$390kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Hundley240.000$172kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chip Ambres28–—
Brian Myrow31–—
Craig Stansberry261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Macias25–—
Josh Geer25–—
Charlie Haeger242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Reineke26–—
Luke Carlin270.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colt Morton26–—
Kevin Cameron281.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Gonzalez300.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade LeBlanc230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Antonelli23–—
Sean Kazmar Jr.23–—
Mike Ekstrom240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Patterson29–—
Jared Wells26–—
Josh Banks25–—
Dirk Hayhurst27–—
Will Venable250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2008; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.