RRosternomics

Padres SDP

GM: Jack McKeon

Overview

REBUILD → steady
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.99× league · TAB -4.7
-4.7TAB — talent above budget18th/26
+7.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/26
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars8th/26
-6.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/26
19%dead money %7th/26
0.549win %6th/26
29.5roster fWAR19th/26
-2surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/26
$14Mpayroll $M15th/26

Roster

CFTony Gwynn 86GDarrin Jackson 33GShawn Abner 24G
LFChris James 89GCarmelo Martinez 65GBip Roberts 35G
RFTony Gwynn 72GChris James 28GBip Roberts 20G
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 140GBip Roberts 14GGary Green 11G
2BRoberto Alomar 157GBip Roberts 9GTim Flannery 1G
3BMike Pagliarulo 118GBip Roberts 37GTim Flannery 33G
1BJack Clark 131GCarmelo Martinez 32GRob Nelson 31G
STARTERSBruce Hurst 5.0WAREd Whitson 2.8WARGreg Harris 1.9WAREric Show 1.4WARAndy Benes 1.1WAR
CBenito Santiago 127GMark Parent 41GSandy Alomar Jr. 6G
BULLPEN Mark Davis 44svCalvin Schiraldi 0hMark Grant 0hPat Clements 0hDave Leiper 0hDan Murphy 0hEric Nolte 0h
CBenito Santiago 127 · Mark Parent 41 · Sandy Alomar Jr. 6
1BJack Clark 131 · Carmelo Martinez 32 · Rob Nelson 31
2BRoberto Alomar 157 · Bip Roberts 9 · Tim Flannery 1
3BMike Pagliarulo 118 · Bip Roberts 37 · Tim Flannery 33
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 140 · Bip Roberts 14 · Gary Green 11
LFChris James 89 · Carmelo Martinez 65 · Bip Roberts 35
CFTony Gwynn 86 · Darrin Jackson 33 · Shawn Abner 24
RFTony Gwynn 72 · Chris James 28 · Bip Roberts 20
SPBruce Hurst 5.0 · Ed Whitson 2.8 · Greg Harris 1.9 · Eric Show 1.4 · Andy Benes 1.1
BP Mark Davis 44 · Calvin Schiraldi 0 · Mark Grant 0 · Pat Clements 0 · Dave Leiper 0 · Dan Murphy 0 · Eric Nolte 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1989 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bruce Hurst 31 FA-elig 335.0 1.7 +0.1
Jack Clark 33 FA-elig 1424.2 2.0 -0.5
Roberto Alomar 21 pre-arb 1583.8 0.1 +1.2
Ed Whitson 34 FA-elig 362.8 1.1 -0.0
Bip Roberts 25 arb 1172.5 0.1 +0.8
Benito Santiago 24 arb 1292.5 0.3 +0.5
Tony Gwynn 29 FA-elig 1582.4 1.1 -0.3
Mark Davis 28 FA-elig 702.0 0.6 +0.1
Greg Harris 25 pre-arb 561.9 0.1 +0.6
Eric Show 33 FA-elig 171.4 1.4 -1.0
Walt Terrell↔ NYY 31 FA-elig 191.2 0.5 -0.0
Andy Benes 21 pre-arb 101.1 0.1 +0.3
Garry Templeton Sr. 33 FA-elig 1421.0 0.7 -0.3
Luis Salazar↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 951.0 0.3 +0.0
Dennis Rasmussen 30 FA-elig 330.9 0.8 -0.5
Calvin Schiraldi↔ CHC 27 arb 50.4 0.0 +0.1
Mark Parent 27 arb 520.4 0.1 +0.0
Randy Ready↔ PHI 29 FA-elig 280.4 0.1 +0.0
Tim Flannery 31 FA-elig 730.3 0.4 -0.3
Phil Stephenson↔ CHC 28 100.3
Gary Green 27 150.3
Mark Grant 25 arb 500.2 0.2 -0.1
Rob Nelson 25 420.2
Sandy Alomar Jr. 23 70.0
Eric Nolte 25 3-0.0
Joey Cora 24 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.1 -0.1
Darrin Jackson↔ CHC 25 arb 25-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Dan Murphy 24 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.1 -0.1
Greg Booker↔ MIN 29 11-0.2
Mike Pagliarulo↔ NYY 29 arb 50-0.2 0.2 -0.3
John Kruk↔ PHI 28 arb 31-0.3 0.1 -0.2
Pat Clements 27 arb 23-0.3 0.2 -0.3
Don Schulze↔ NYY 26 7-0.3
Freddie Toliver↔ MIN 28 9-0.4
Dave Leiper 27 22-0.5
Jerald Clark 25 17-0.5
Chris James↔ PHI 26 arb 87-0.6 0.2 -0.4
Shawn Abner 23 pre-arb 57-0.7 0.1 -0.3
Carmelo Martinez 28 FA-elig 111-0.8 0.5 -0.8
Marvell Wynne↔ CHC 29 FA-elig 105-1.4 0.3 -0.8

Key additions (new vs 1988)

PlayerfWAR
Bruce Hurst5.0
Jack Clark4.2
Walt Terrell1.2
Andy Benes1.1
Luis Salazar1.0
Calvin Schiraldi0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1988)

Player1988 fWAR
Jimmy Jones2.3
Dickie Thon1.4
Andy Hawkins1.2
Shane Mack0.7
Chris Brown0.2
Keith Comstock0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1989 payroll
$13.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1989, 1989–1995. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1989199019911992199319941995
Jack Clark3314.000$2.0M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Bruce Hurst319.000$1.7M$1.6M$1.9M$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Eric Show338.000$1.4M$1.1MFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn297.000$1.1M$1.1M$2.2M$2.0M$4.3M$3.6M$4.7M
Ed Whitson3412.000$1.1M$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Dennis Rasmussen306.000$802k$802k$805kFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.3313.000$700k$550k$379kFREE AGENT
Mark Davis289.000$600kFREE AGENT$400k
Carmelo Martinez286.000$490kFREE AGENT
Walt Terrell317.000$460kFREE AGENT
Tim Flannery3110.000$400kFREE AGENT
Luis Salazar339.000$314kFREE AGENT
Marvell Wynne296.000$294kFREE AGENT
Randy Ready296.000$104kFREE AGENT
Greg Booker296.000FREE AGENT
Don Schulze266.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1989199019911992199319941995
Benito Santiago243.000$345kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Pagliarulo295.000$232kFREE AGENT
Pat Clements274.000$205kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Grant255.000$155kFREE AGENT
Chris James263.000$152kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Kruk283.000$125kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Parent273.000$100kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bip Roberts253.000$74kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Calvin Schiraldi275.000$34kFREE AGENT
Darrin Jackson254.000$32kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Green273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Leiper275.000FREE AGENT
Rob Nelson253.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Toliver285.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1989199019911992199319941995
Roberto Alomar211.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Abner232.000$78kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Cora242.000$78kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Harris251.000$72kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Murphy240.000$68kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Benes210.000$68kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sandy Alomar Jr.231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerald Clark251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Nolte252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Stephenson280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1989; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3