RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Jack McKeon

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.82× league · TAB +5.7
+5.7TAB — talent above budget8th/26
+4.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/26
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/26
-2.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/26
23%dead money %7th/26
0.516win %13th/26
37.2roster fWAR10th/26
+2surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/26
$10Mpayroll $M18th/26

Roster

CFMarvell Wynne 84GShane Mack 46GTony Gwynn 32G
LFKeith Moreland 64GCarmelo Martinez 55GMarvell Wynne 37G
RFTony Gwynn 102GJohn Kruk 26GShawn Abner 17G
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 105GDickie Thon 70GTim Flannery 1G
2BRoberto Alomar 143GRandy Ready 26GTim Flannery 2G
3BChris Brown 72GRandy Ready 57GTim Flannery 51G
1BKeith Moreland 73GJohn Kruk 63GCarmelo Martinez 41G
STARTERSEd Whitson 3.2WAREric Show 3.0WARDennis Rasmussen 2.9WARJimmy Jones 2.3WARAndy Hawkins 1.2WAR
CBenito Santiago 136GMark Parent 36G
BULLPEN★ Mark Davis 28svLance McCullers Sr. 0hDave Leiper 0hGreg Booker 0hKeith Comstock 0hGreg Harris 0hEric Nolte 0h
CBenito Santiago 136 · Mark Parent 36
1BKeith Moreland 73 · John Kruk 63 · Carmelo Martinez 41
2BRoberto Alomar 143 · Randy Ready 26 · Tim Flannery 2
3BChris Brown 72 · Randy Ready 57 · Tim Flannery 51
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 105 · Dickie Thon 70 · Tim Flannery 1
LFKeith Moreland 64 · Carmelo Martinez 55 · Marvell Wynne 37
CFMarvell Wynne 84 · Shane Mack 46 · Tony Gwynn 32
RFTony Gwynn 102 · John Kruk 26 · Shawn Abner 17
SPEd Whitson 3.2 · Eric Show 3.0 · Dennis Rasmussen 2.9 · Jimmy Jones 2.3 · Andy Hawkins 1.2
BP★ Mark Davis 28 · Lance McCullers Sr. 0 · Dave Leiper 0 · Greg Booker 0 · Keith Comstock 0 · Greg Harris 0 · Eric Nolte 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1988 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Roberto Alomar 20 pre-arb 1433.9 0.1 +1.2
Ed Whitson 33 FA-elig 343.2 1.0 -0.0
Benito Santiago 23 pre-arb 1393.2 0.2 +0.8
Tony Gwynn 28 FA-elig 1333.0 0.8 +0.1
Mark Davis 27 FA-elig 623.0 0.5 +0.4
Eric Show 32 FA-elig 323.0 0.9 +0.0
Dennis Rasmussen↔ CIN 29 arb 202.9 0.3 +0.6
Jimmy Jones 24 pre-arb 322.3 0.1 +0.6
Carmelo Martinez 27 arb 1212.1 0.4 +0.2
Marvell Wynne 28 arb 1281.7 0.3 +0.3
Garry Templeton Sr. 32 FA-elig 1101.6 1.1 -0.6
John Kruk 27 pre-arb 1201.6 0.2 +0.2
Randy Ready 28 arb 1141.5 0.2 +0.3
Dickie Thon 30 FA-elig 951.4 0.2 +0.2
Andy Hawkins 28 FA-elig 331.2 0.5 -0.1
Tim Flannery 30 FA-elig 791.1 0.4 -0.0
Dave Leiper 26 arb 350.8 0.1 +0.2
Shane Mack 24 pre-arb 560.7 0.1 +0.2
Mark Parent 26 pre-arb 410.5 0.1 +0.1
Greg Harris 24 – 30.5 – –
Greg Booker 28 arb 340.4 0.1 +0.0
Chris Brown 26 arb 800.2 0.3 -0.2
Jerald Clark 24 – 60.1 – –
Keith Comstock 32 – 70.0 – –
Candy Sierra↔ CIN 21 pre-arb 150.0 0.1 -0.1
Sandy Alomar Jr. 22 – 1-0.0 – –
Rob Nelson 24 – 7-0.0 – –
Randy Byers 23 – 11-0.0 – –
Lance McCullers Sr. 24 arb 60-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Eric Nolte 24 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.1
Bip Roberts 24 – 5-0.1 – –
Mark Grant 24 arb 33-0.4 0.1 -0.2
Shawn Abner 22 pre-arb 37-0.5 0.1 -0.2
Keith Moreland 34 FA-elig 143-0.7 1.2 -1.5
Stan Jefferson 25 pre-arb 49-0.8 0.1 -0.3

Key additions (new vs 1987)

PlayerfWAR
Roberto Alomar3.9
Dennis Rasmussen2.9
Dickie Thon1.4
Greg Harris0.5
Jerald Clark0.1
Candy Sierra0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1987)

Player1987 fWAR
Kevin Mitchell1.0
Rich Gossage0.9
Dave Dravecky0.6
Storm Davis0.3
Ed Wojna0.1
Tom Gorman0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1988 payroll
$9.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 1988, 1988–1994. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Keith Moreland3410.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.3212.000$1.1M$700k$550k$379kFREE AGENT
Ed Whitson3311.000$1.0M$1.1M$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Eric Show327.000$888k$1.4M$1.1MFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn286.000$840k$1.1M$1.1M$2.2M$2.0M$4.3M$3.6M
Mark Davis278.000$520k$600kFREE AGENT$400k
Andy Hawkins286.000$453kFREE AGENT
Tim Flannery309.000$382k$400kFREE AGENT
Dickie Thon309.000$200kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
Carmelo Martinez275.000$440kFREE AGENT
Dennis Rasmussen295.000$295kFREE AGENT
Chris Brown264.000$265kARB 3FREE AGENT
Marvell Wynne285.000$255kFREE AGENT
Randy Ready285.000$210kFREE AGENT
Lance McCullers Sr.243.000$190kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Booker285.000$130kFREE AGENT
Mark Grant244.000$90kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Leiper264.000$75kARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Comstock324.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1988198919901991199219931994
John Kruk272.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Benito Santiago232.000$168kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Jones242.000$95kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stan Jefferson252.000$90kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Mack241.000$74kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Nolte241.000$70kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Parent262.000$65kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Abner221.000$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roberto Alomar200.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Candy Sierra210.000$59kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sandy Alomar Jr.220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Byers23–—
Jerald Clark240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Harris240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Nelson242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bip Roberts242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1988; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.