RRosternomics

Padres SDP

GM: Jack McKeon

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.02× league · TAB -5.3
-5.3TAB — talent above budget17th/26
-7.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/26
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/26
-6.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/26
43%dead money %20th/26
0.463win %20th/26
29.2roster fWAR15th/26
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/26
$17Mpayroll $M14th/26

Roster

CFJoe Carter 112GShawn Abner 35GDarrin Jackson 30G
LFBip Roberts 75GJoe Carter 51GFred Lynn 42G
RFTony Gwynn 141GJerald Clark 9GFred Lynn 8G
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 135GJoey Cora 21GBip Roberts 18G
2BRoberto Alomar 137GJoey Cora 15GBip Roberts 8G
3BMike Pagliarulo 116GBip Roberts 56GEddie Williams 13G
1BJack Clark 110GPhil Stephenson 60GJerald Clark 15G
STARTERSEd Whitson 5.3WARBruce Hurst 3.7WARAndy Benes 2.7WARDennis Rasmussen 1.1WARAtlee Hammaker 0.4WAR
CBenito Santiago 98GMark Parent 60GTom Lampkin 20G
BULLPEN Craig Lefferts 23svGreg Harris 0hRich Rodriguez 0hPat Clements 0hJohn Davis 0hRafael Valdez 0h
CBenito Santiago 98 · Mark Parent 60 · Tom Lampkin 20
1BJack Clark 110 · Phil Stephenson 60 · Jerald Clark 15
2BRoberto Alomar 137 · Joey Cora 15 · Bip Roberts 8
3BMike Pagliarulo 116 · Bip Roberts 56 · Eddie Williams 13
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 135 · Joey Cora 21 · Bip Roberts 18
LFBip Roberts 75 · Joe Carter 51 · Fred Lynn 42
CFJoe Carter 112 · Shawn Abner 35 · Darrin Jackson 30
RFTony Gwynn 141 · Jerald Clark 9 · Fred Lynn 8
SPEd Whitson 5.3 · Bruce Hurst 3.7 · Andy Benes 2.7 · Dennis Rasmussen 1.1 · Atlee Hammaker 0.4
BP Craig Lefferts 23 · Greg Harris 0 · Rich Rodriguez 0 · Pat Clements 0 · John Davis 0 · Rafael Valdez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1990 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ed Whitson 35 FA-elig 335.3 1.1 +1.2
Bip Roberts 26 arb 1495.0 0.2 +2.0
Jack Clark 34 FA-elig 1154.3 2.0 -0.1
Bruce Hurst 32 FA-elig 333.7 1.6 +0.0
Roberto Alomar 22 pre-arb 1473.0 0.4 +1.0
Tony Gwynn 30 FA-elig 1412.8 1.1 +0.2
Andy Benes 22 pre-arb 322.7 0.1 +1.1
Benito Santiago 25 arb 1002.4 0.8 +0.3
Greg Harris 26 pre-arb 731.8 0.7 +0.1
Dennis Rasmussen 31 FA-elig 331.1 0.8 -0.3
Mike Pagliarulo 30 FA-elig 1280.8 0.6 -0.2
Garry Templeton Sr. 34 FA-elig 1440.6 0.6 -0.3
Craig Lefferts 32 FA-elig 560.5 1.3 -1.0
Atlee Hammaker↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 90.4 0.2 -0.0
Rich Rodriguez 27 pre-arb 320.3 0.1 +0.0
Derek Lilliquist↔ ATL 24 pre-arb 160.3 0.1 +0.0
Darrin Jackson 26 arb 580.2 0.1 -0.0
Mark Parent 28 arb 650.2 0.2 -0.1
Calvin Schiraldi 28 FA-elig 420.2 0.6 -0.5
Jerald Clark 26 pre-arb 520.2 0.1 -0.0
Paul Faries 25 140.1
Tom Lampkin 26 260.0
Eddie Williams 25 140.0
John Davis 27 6-0.0
Pat Clements 28 arb 9-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Mark Grant↔ ATL 26 FA-elig 26-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Rob Nelson 26 arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Thomas Howard 25 pre-arb 20-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Mike Dunne 27 arb 10-0.2 0.2 -0.3
Ronn Reynolds 31 8-0.3
Eric Show 34 FA-elig 39-0.3 1.1 -1.2
Fred Lynn 38 FA-elig 90-0.5 0.7 -0.9
Rafael Valdez 22 pre-arb 3-0.5 0.1 -0.3
Phil Stephenson 29 pre-arb 103-0.5 0.1 -0.3
Joey Cora 25 arb 51-0.8 0.1 -0.5
Shawn Abner 24 arb 91-1.2 0.1 -0.6
Joe Carter 30 FA-elig 162-2.0 1.9 -2.8

Key additions (new vs 1989)

PlayerfWAR
Craig Lefferts0.5
Atlee Hammaker0.4
Rich Rodriguez0.3
Derek Lilliquist0.3
Paul Faries0.1
Tom Lampkin0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1989)

Player1989 fWAR
Mark Davis2.0
Walt Terrell1.2
Luis Salazar1.0
Randy Ready0.4
Tim Flannery0.3
Gary Green0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1990 payroll
$17.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1990, 1990–1996. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1990199119921993199419951996
Jack Clark3415.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Carter307.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Bruce Hurst3210.000$1.6M$1.9M$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Craig Lefferts327.000$1.3M$2.6M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Ed Whitson3513.000$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn308.000$1.1M$2.2M$2.0M$4.3M$3.6M$4.7M$4.3M
Eric Show349.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Dennis Rasmussen317.000$802k$805kFREE AGENT
Fred Lynn3816.000$650kFREE AGENT
Calvin Schiraldi286.000$600kFREE AGENT
Mike Pagliarulo306.000$575kFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.3414.000$550k$379kFREE AGENT
Atlee Hammaker329.000$205k$100kFREE AGENT
Mark Grant266.000$176kFREE AGENT
Ronn Reynolds318.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1990199119921993199419951996
Benito Santiago254.000$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Clements285.000$245kFREE AGENT
Mike Dunne273.000$222kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bip Roberts264.000$195kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Parent284.000$190kARB 3FREE AGENT
Darrin Jackson265.000$145kFREE AGENT
Shawn Abner243.000$105kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Cora253.000$100kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Nelson264.000$100kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Davis273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Williams254.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1990199119921993199419951996
Greg Harris262.000$715kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roberto Alomar222.000$390kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Benes221.000$130kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerald Clark262.000$110kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Howard250.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Stephenson291.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Rodriguez270.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Valdez220.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Lilliquist241.000$74kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Faries250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Lampkin262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1990; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3