RRosternomics
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Phillies PHI

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GM: Scott Proefrock

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.77× league · TAB -11.9
-11.9TAB — talent above budget28th/30
-15.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)29th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars27th/30
-7.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
63%dead money %29th/30
0.389win %30th/30
19.1roster fWAR28th/30
-33surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/30
$94Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFOdúbel Herrera 136GAaron Altherr 8GDarnell Sweeney 2G
LFCody Asche 63GAaron Altherr 23GDarin Ruf 22G
RFJeff Francoeur 85GDomonic Brown 50GBrian Bogusevic 14G
SSFreddy Galvis 146GCésar Hernández 12GAndrés Blanco 10G
2BCésar Hernández 88GAndrés Blanco 22GDarnell Sweeney 9G
3BMaikel Franco 75GCody Asche 51GAndrés Blanco 36G
1BRyan Howard 116GDarin Ruf 66GErik Kratz 2G
STARTERSAaron Harang 1.3WARJerad Eickhoff 1.2WARAaron Nola 0.9WARAdam Morgan 0.3WARSeverino González 0.3WAR
CCarlos Ruiz 83GCameron Rupp 80GErik Kratz 7G
DHRyan Howard 6GJeff Francoeur 2G
BULLPEN★ Ken Giles 15svLuis García 16hJeanmar Gómez 7hDalier Hinojosa 3hHéctor Neris 2hElvis Araujo 2hJustin De Fratus 1hAdam Loewen 0h
CCarlos Ruiz 83 · Cameron Rupp 80 · Erik Kratz 7
1BRyan Howard 116 · Darin Ruf 66 · Erik Kratz 2
2BCésar Hernández 88 · Andrés Blanco 22 · Darnell Sweeney 9
3BMaikel Franco 75 · Cody Asche 51 · Andrés Blanco 36
SSFreddy Galvis 146 · César Hernández 12 · Andrés Blanco 10
LFCody Asche 63 · Aaron Altherr 23 · Darin Ruf 22
CFOdúbel Herrera 136 · Aaron Altherr 8 · Darnell Sweeney 2
RFJeff Francoeur 85 · Domonic Brown 50 · Brian Bogusevic 14
DHRyan Howard 6 · Jeff Francoeur 2
SPAaron Harang 1.3 · Jerad Eickhoff 1.2 · Aaron Nola 0.9 · Adam Morgan 0.3 · Severino González 0.3
BP★ Ken Giles 15 · Luis García 16 · Jeanmar Gómez 7 · Dalier Hinojosa 3 · Héctor Neris 2 · Elvis Araujo 2 · Justin De Fratus 1 · Adam Loewen 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Odúbel Herrera 23 – 1473.8 0.5 +11.3
Cole Hamels↔ TEX 31 FA-elig 203.1 14.7 -4.8
Ken Giles 24 pre-arb 692.1 0.5 +6.3
Maikel Franco 22 pre-arb 801.9 0.4 +5.6
Ben Revere↔ TOR 27 arb 961.6 2.6 +2.4
Freddy Galvis 25 arb 1511.6 0.5 +4.4
Andrés Blanco 31 FA-elig 1061.6 0.8 +4.1
Aaron Altherr 24 pre-arb 391.5 0.1 +4.6
César Hernández 25 pre-arb 1271.3 0.5 +3.7
Aaron Harang 37 FA-elig 291.3 5.0 -0.9
Jerad Eickhoff 24 – 81.2 0.1 +3.7
Aaron Nola 22 – 130.9 0.2 +2.6
Jeanmar Gómez 27 arb 650.8 0.8 +1.9
Jonathan Papelbon↔ WSN 34 FA-elig 370.7 8.2 -6.1
Luis García 28 pre-arb 720.5 0.5 +1.1
Cameron Rupp 26 pre-arb 810.5 0.5 +1.0
Elvis Araujo 23 pre-arb 400.4 0.4 +1.0
Dalier Hinojosa↔ BOS 29 pre-arb 180.3 0.1 +1.0
Adam Morgan 25 – 150.3 0.3 +0.8
Jake Diekman↔ TEX 28 arb 410.3 0.3 +0.7
Brian Bogusevic 31 pre-arb 220.3 0.1 +0.8
Severino González 22 pre-arb 70.3 0.1 +0.7
David Buchanan 26 pre-arb 150.2 0.5 +0.2
Chad Billingsley 30 FA-elig 70.2 1.5 -0.9
Cesar Jimenez↔ MIL 30 FA-elig 30.1 0.1 +0.1
Chase d'Arnaud 28 pre-arb 110.1 0.1 +0.1
Justin De Fratus 27 arb 610.0 0.5 -0.4
Ken Roberts↔ COL 27 pre-arb 60.0 0.1 +0.0
Nefi Ogando 26 – 40.0 0.1 -0.0
Kevin Correia 34 – 5-0.0 – –
Colton Murray 25 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Erik Kratz↔ KCR 35 arb 12-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Seth Rosin 26 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Jordan Danks 28 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Héctor Neris 26 – 32-0.1 0.3 -0.7
Chase Utley↔ LAD 36 FA-elig 73-0.2 10.2 -10.7
Ryan Howard 35 FA-elig 129-0.2 25.0 -25.6
Phillippe Aumont 26 – 1-0.2 – –
Darin Ruf 28 arb 106-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Adam Loewen 31 arb 20-0.3 0.2 -1.0
Jerome Williams 33 FA-elig 33-0.3 2.5 -3.3
Alec Asher 23 pre-arb 7-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Darnell Sweeney 24 – 37-0.4 0.1 -1.3
Grady Sizemore↔ TBR 32 FA-elig 39-0.4 0.8 -2.0
Domonic Brown 27 arb 63-0.4 2.6 -4.0
Cody Asche 25 pre-arb 129-0.6 0.5 -2.3
Dustin McGowan 33 FA-elig 14-0.6 0.7 -2.7
Sean O'Sullivan 27 pre-arb 13-0.7 0.0 -2.2
Jeff Francoeur 31 FA-elig 119-0.8 0.9 -3.5
Carlos Ruiz 36 FA-elig 86-1.9 8.5 -14.4

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Odúbel Herrera3.8
Aaron Harang1.3
Jerad Eickhoff1.2
Aaron Nola0.9
Jeanmar Gómez0.8
Elvis Araujo0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
A.J. Burnett1.8
Kyle Kendrick1.0
Antonio Bastardo0.9
John Mayberry Jr.0.5
Wil Nieves0.4
Mike Adams0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$93.7M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Ryan Howard3510.145$25.0MFREE AGENT
Cole Hamels318.143$14.7MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley3611.027$10.2MFREE AGENT
Carlos Ruiz368.069$8.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon349.064$8.2MFREE AGENT
Aaron Harang3712.061$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams336.043$2.5MFREE AGENT
Chad Billingsley308.110$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francoeur318.075$950kFREE AGENT
Grady Sizemore3210.029$804kFREE AGENT
Dustin McGowan338.113$650kFREE AGENT
Kevin Correia3410.027—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Domonic Brown273.078$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Revere273.149$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Blanco314.007$850kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeanmar Gómez273.063$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin De Fratus274.000$528kARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Asche253.045$518kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Loewen313.022$161kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Jimenez303.020$91kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Ken Giles240.113$519kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Ruf281.066$515kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Galvis252.021$514kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Buchanan260.102$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Hernández250.154$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García280.143$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cameron Rupp260.089$508kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odúbel Herrera230.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Araujo230.155$427kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Kratz352.129$399kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Maikel Franco220.027$394kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Diekman282.050$328kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Morgan250.000$297kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Neris260.000$275kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Nola220.000$208kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Severino González220.128$136kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Altherr240.006$130kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darnell Sweeney240.000$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerad Eickhoff240.000$122kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alec Asher230.144$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colton Murray250.034$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dalier Hinojosa290.046$87kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bogusevic312.075$83kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nefi Ogando260.000$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Roberts270.078$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase d'Arnaud282.045$55kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean O'Sullivan272.081$42kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Danks281.142$20kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Rosin26–$3k
Phillippe Aumont261.113—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.