RRosternomics
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Phillies PHI

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GM: Matt Klentak

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.58× league · TAB -6.3
-6.3TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-3.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-8.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
78%dead money %30th/30
0.438win %23rd/30
21.3roster fWAR27th/30
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$73Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFOdúbel Herrera 155GAaron Altherr 10GPeter Bourjos 10G
LFTyler Goeddel 69GCody Asche 57GJimmy Paredes 23G
RFPeter Bourjos 115GAaron Altherr 42GJimmy Paredes 20G
SSFreddy Galvis 156GAndrés Blanco 10GCésar Hernández 4G
2BCésar Hernández 149GAndrés Blanco 20GEmmanuel Burriss 5G
3BMaikel Franco 148GAndrés Blanco 21G
1BTommy Joseph 97GRyan Howard 83GAndrés Blanco 19G
STARTERSJeremy Hellickson 3.6WARJerad Eickhoff 2.9WARAaron Nola 2.7WARVince Velasquez 2.4WARAlec Asher 0.5WAR
CCameron Rupp 104GA.J. Ellis 57GJorge Alfaro 4G
DHRyan Howard 9GEmmanuel Burriss 1GCarlos Ruiz 1G
BULLPEN★ Jeanmar Gómez 37svHéctor Neris 28hDavid Hernandez 15hEdubray Ramos 15hElvis Araujo 4hMichael Mariot 4hSeverino González 1hColton Murray 1h
CCameron Rupp 104 · A.J. Ellis 57 · Jorge Alfaro 4
1BTommy Joseph 97 · Ryan Howard 83 · Andrés Blanco 19
2BCésar Hernández 149 · Andrés Blanco 20 · Emmanuel Burriss 5
3BMaikel Franco 148 · Andrés Blanco 21
SSFreddy Galvis 156 · Andrés Blanco 10 · César Hernández 4
LFTyler Goeddel 69 · Cody Asche 57 · Jimmy Paredes 23
CFOdúbel Herrera 155 · Aaron Altherr 10 · Peter Bourjos 10
RFPeter Bourjos 115 · Aaron Altherr 42 · Jimmy Paredes 20
DHRyan Howard 9 · Emmanuel Burriss 1 · Carlos Ruiz 1
SPJeremy Hellickson 3.6 · Jerad Eickhoff 2.9 · Aaron Nola 2.7 · Vince Velasquez 2.4 · Alec Asher 0.5
BP★ Jeanmar Gómez 37 · Héctor Neris 28 · David Hernandez 15 · Edubray Ramos 15 · Elvis Araujo 4 · Michael Mariot 4 · Severino González 1 · Colton Murray 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2016 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Odúbel Herrera 24 pre-arb 1593.7 0.5 +11.4
Jeremy Hellickson 29 FA-elig 323.6 7.0 +4.5
César Hernández 26 arb 1553.4 0.5 +10.4
Jerad Eickhoff 25 pre-arb 332.9 0.5 +8.8
Aaron Nola 23 pre-arb 202.7 0.5 +8.2
Vince Velasquez 24 pre-arb 242.4 0.5 +7.3
Cameron Rupp 27 arb 1051.7 0.5 +5.1
Freddy Galvis 26 arb 1581.6 2.0 +3.1
Héctor Neris 27 pre-arb 791.3 0.5 +3.6
Maikel Franco 23 pre-arb 1520.9 0.5 +2.5
Alec Asher 24 pre-arb 50.5 0.1 +1.7
Jeanmar Gómez 28 FA-elig 700.5 1.4 +0.3
Tommy Joseph 24 – 1070.5 0.4 +1.3
Edubray Ramos 23 – 420.5 0.3 +1.4
Adam Morgan 26 pre-arb 230.5 0.3 +1.3
Charlie Morton 32 FA-elig 40.4 8.0 -6.6
Roman Quinn 23 – 150.4 0.1 +1.3
Peter Bourjos 29 FA-elig 1230.4 2.0 -0.6
Severino González 23 pre-arb 270.4 0.3 +1.1
David Hernandez 31 FA-elig 700.3 3.9 -3.0
Zach Eflin 22 – 110.2 0.3 +0.5
Phil Klein↔ TEX 27 pre-arb 40.2 0.2 +0.4
Joely Rodríguez 24 – 120.2 0.1 +0.5
David Lough 30 – 300.2 0.1 +0.4
Carlos Ruiz↔ LAD 37 FA-elig 480.1 6.6 -6.2
A.J. Ellis↔ LAD 35 FA-elig 110.1 0.8 -0.4
Andrés Blanco 32 FA-elig 900.1 1.4 -1.1
Dalier Hinojosa 30 pre-arb 100.1 0.5 -0.2
Luis García 29 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Daniel Stumpf 25 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Andrew Bailey↔ ANA 32 – 33-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Elvis Araujo 24 pre-arb 32-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Colton Murray 26 pre-arb 24-0.1 0.2 -0.7
Patrick Schuster↔ OAK 25 – 6-0.2 0.0 -0.8
Jorge Alfaro 23 – 6-0.2 0.1 -0.9
James Russell 30 FA-elig 7-0.3 1.5 -2.4
Michael Mariot 27 pre-arb 25-0.3 0.5 -1.5
Taylor Featherston 26 – 19-0.3 – –
Aaron Altherr 25 pre-arb 57-0.3 0.5 -1.6
Jake Thompson 22 – 10-0.4 0.2 -1.3
Cody Asche 26 arb 71-0.4 0.5 -1.9
Emmanuel Burriss 31 FA-elig 39-0.5 0.9 -2.4
Brett Oberholtzer↔ ANA 26 arb 26-0.5 0.4 -2.0
Darin Ruf 29 arb 43-0.5 0.5 -2.2
Frank Herrmann 32 pre-arb 14-0.6 0.1 -2.0
Cedric Hunter 28 arb 13-0.6 0.5 -2.6
Jimmy Paredes↔ TOR 27 pre-arb 76-0.7 0.3 -2.6
Tyler Goeddel 23 pre-arb 92-1.0 0.5 -3.8
Ryan Howard 36 FA-elig 112-1.2 25.0 -28.9

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Jeremy Hellickson3.6
Vince Velasquez2.4
Tommy Joseph0.5
Edubray Ramos0.5
Charlie Morton0.4
Roman Quinn0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Cole Hamels3.1
Ken Giles2.1
Ben Revere1.6
Aaron Harang1.3
Jonathan Papelbon0.7
Jake Diekman0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$72.8M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Ryan Howard3610.145$25.0MFREE AGENT
Charlie Morton327.009$8.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Ruiz379.069$6.6MFREE AGENT
David Hernandez316.095$3.9MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Jeremy Hellickson295.045$7.0MFREE AGENT
Peter Bourjos295.062$2.0MFREE AGENT
Freddy Galvis263.021$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Russell305.112$1.5MFREE AGENT
Andrés Blanco325.007$1.4MFREE AGENT
Jeanmar Gómez284.063$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Burriss313.164$925kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Ellis355.151$773kFREE AGENT
Cody Asche263.045$530kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Stumpf253.037$507kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cedric Hunter285.000$507kFREE AGENT
Andrew Bailey325.034$211kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Odúbel Herrera241.000$528kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Ruf292.066$527kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Hernández261.154$525kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cameron Rupp271.089$518kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Maikel Franco230.170$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Nola230.076$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vince Velasquez240.086$516kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerad Eickhoff250.045$516kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Altherr250.054$516kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Neris270.104$515kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dalier Hinojosa300.046$514kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Mariot270.122$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Goeddel230.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Joseph240.000$397kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Oberholtzer261.127$364kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Morgan260.106$333kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Paredes272.059$323kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Eflin220.000$308kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edubray Ramos230.000$280kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Severino González230.128$266kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Araujo240.155$244kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colton Murray260.034$219kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Klein270.086$170kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Thompson220.000$161kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Herrmann322.147$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García291.143$128kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Lough302.149$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alec Asher240.144$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alfaro230.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joely Rodríguez240.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roman Quinn230.000$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Schuster25–$47k
Taylor Featherston260.025—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2016; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.