RRosternomics
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Phillies PHI

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GM: Ruben Amaro

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.61× league · TAB -12.4
-12.4TAB — talent above budget29th/30
-15.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-6.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
28%dead money %9th/30
0.451win %22nd/30
27.8roster fWAR23rd/30
-99surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$182Mpayroll $M3rd/30

Roster

CFBen Revere 141GTony Gwynn Jr. 25GGrady Sizemore 25G
LFDomonic Brown 127GGrady Sizemore 52GTony Gwynn Jr. 16G
RFMarlon Byrd 149GGrady Sizemore 26GTony Gwynn Jr. 3G
SSJimmy Rollins 131GFreddy Galvis 25GAndrés Blanco 6G
2BChase Utley 147GCésar Hernández 11GFreddy Galvis 7G
3BCody Asche 112GReid Brignac 20GCésar Hernández 14G
1BRyan Howard 141GDarin Ruf 20GMaikel Franco 5G
STARTERSCole Hamels 4.8WARCliff Lee 2.1WARA.J. Burnett 1.8WARDavid Buchanan 1.1WARKyle Kendrick 1.0WAR
CCarlos Ruiz 109GWil Nieves 34GCameron Rupp 18G
DHRyan Howard 5GJimmy Rollins 2GDomonic Brown 1G
BULLPEN★ Jonathan Papelbon 39svJake Diekman 18hKen Giles 13hAntonio Bastardo 12hJustin De Fratus 6hMike Adams 6hMario Hollands 3hJeff Manship 0h
CCarlos Ruiz 109 · Wil Nieves 34 · Cameron Rupp 18
1BRyan Howard 141 · Darin Ruf 20 · Maikel Franco 5
2BChase Utley 147 · César Hernández 11 · Freddy Galvis 7
3BCody Asche 112 · Reid Brignac 20 · César Hernández 14
SSJimmy Rollins 131 · Freddy Galvis 25 · Andrés Blanco 6
LFDomonic Brown 127 · Grady Sizemore 52 · Tony Gwynn Jr. 16
CFBen Revere 141 · Tony Gwynn Jr. 25 · Grady Sizemore 25
RFMarlon Byrd 149 · Grady Sizemore 26 · Tony Gwynn Jr. 3
DHRyan Howard 5 · Jimmy Rollins 2 · Domonic Brown 1
SPCole Hamels 4.8 · Cliff Lee 2.1 · A.J. Burnett 1.8 · David Buchanan 1.1 · Kyle Kendrick 1.0
BP★ Jonathan Papelbon 39 · Jake Diekman 18 · Ken Giles 13 · Antonio Bastardo 12 · Justin De Fratus 6 · Mike Adams 6 · Mario Hollands 3 · Jeff Manship 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2014 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Cole Hamels 30 FA-elig 304.8 22.5 -8.5
Jimmy Rollins 35 FA-elig 1383.8 11.0 +0.0
Chase Utley 35 FA-elig 1553.7 15.0 -4.1
Marlon Byrd 36 FA-elig 1542.2 8.0 -1.7
Cliff Lee 35 FA-elig 132.1 25.0 -18.8
Jonathan Papelbon 33 FA-elig 662.0 13.0 -7.2
A.J. Burnett 37 FA-elig 341.8 15.0 -9.6
Carlos Ruiz 35 FA-elig 1101.8 8.5 -3.2
Ben Revere 26 arb 1511.8 1.9 +3.3
Ken Giles 23 – 441.8 0.3 +4.9
Jake Diekman 27 pre-arb 731.4 0.5 +3.5
David Buchanan 25 – 201.1 0.3 +3.0
Kyle Kendrick 29 FA-elig 321.0 7.7 -4.9
Antonio Bastardo 28 arb 670.9 2.0 +0.7
Justin De Fratus 26 arb 540.6 0.5 +1.4
Cody Asche 24 pre-arb 1210.6 0.5 +1.1
Jerome Williams↔ HOU 32 FA-elig 90.5 0.5 +1.0
John Mayberry Jr.↔ TOR 30 arb 630.5 1.3 +0.1
Wil Nieves 36 FA-elig 360.4 1.1 +0.1
Mike Adams 35 FA-elig 220.4 7.0 -5.9
Darin Ruf 27 pre-arb 520.3 0.5 +0.3
Andrés Blanco 30 arb 250.2 0.3 +0.5
Roberto Hernandez↔ LAD 33 FA-elig 230.1 3.2 -2.9
Héctor Neris 25 – 10.1 – –
Mario Hollands 25 pre-arb 500.0 0.5 -0.4
Jeff Manship 29 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Cesar Jimenez 29 pre-arb 16-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez 30 pre-arb 6-0.0 3.7 -3.8
Shawn Camp 38 – 3-0.1 – –
Brad Lincoln 29 arb 2-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Grady Sizemore↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 60-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Aaron Altherr 23 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Ethan Martin 25 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Freddy Galvis 24 pre-arb 43-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Jonathan Pettibone 23 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Reid Brignac 28 arb 37-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Sean O'Sullivan 26 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Ronny Cedeno 31 – 7-0.2 – –
Koyie Hill 35 – 10-0.2 – –
Ryan Howard 34 FA-elig 153-0.2 25.0 -25.7
Luis García 27 pre-arb 13-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Maikel Franco 21 – 16-0.3 – –
Jayson Nix↔ KCR 31 FA-elig 18-0.3 0.4 -1.2
César Hernández 24 pre-arb 66-0.3 0.5 -1.4
Phillippe Aumont 25 pre-arb 5-0.3 0.5 -1.4
Cameron Rupp 25 pre-arb 18-0.5 0.5 -1.9
B.J. Rosenberg 28 pre-arb 13-0.6 0.5 -2.3
Tony Gwynn Jr. 31 FA-elig 80-1.0 0.9 -3.7
Domonic Brown 26 arb 144-1.1 0.6 -3.7

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
Marlon Byrd2.2
A.J. Burnett1.8
Ken Giles1.8
David Buchanan1.1
Jerome Williams0.5
Wil Nieves0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Erik Kratz0.8
John Lannan0.7
Tyler Cloyd0.3
Humberto Quintero0.3
Michael Young0.3
Raul Valdes0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$182.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Ryan Howard3410.145$25.0M$25.0M$25.0MFREE AGENT
Cliff Lee3510.100$25.0MFREE AGENT
Cole Hamels307.143$22.5M$14.7MFREE AGENT
A.J. Burnett3714.038$15.0MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley3510.027$15.0M$10.2MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon338.064$13.0M$8.2MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins3513.015$11.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Ruiz357.069$8.5M$8.5M$6.6MFREE AGENT
Marlon Byrd369.115$8.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Adams357.019$7.0MFREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez337.004$3.2MFREE AGENT
Wil Nieves366.127$1.1MFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn Jr.318.000$900kFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams3211.000$511k$2.5MFREE AGENT
Grady Sizemore319.045$429k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Koyie Hill356.087—FREE AGENT
Shawn Camp3810.000—FREE AGENT
Ronny Cedeno318.029—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Kyle Kendrick295.159$7.7MFREE AGENT
Antonio Bastardo284.054$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Mayberry Jr.305.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Justin De Fratus263.000$513kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Brignac283.033$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Asche243.045$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayson Nix314.127$417kARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Blanco303.087$251kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez300.000$3.7MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Revere262.149$1.9MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domonic Brown262.078$550kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Diekman271.050$516kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Lincoln292.034$512kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
B.J. Rosenberg280.166$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Pettibone230.161$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Hernández240.044$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cameron Rupp250.027$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Galvis241.116$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mario Hollands252.000$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Ruf270.110$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ethan Martin250.128$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phillippe Aumont250.113$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Manship291.075$345kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Giles230.000$309kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Buchanan250.000$276kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Jimenez292.125$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García270.083$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean O'Sullivan262.081$85kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Altherr230.000$14kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Neris250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Maikel Franco210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2014; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.