RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Ed Wade

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.86× league · TAB +4.4
+4.4TAB — talent above budget11th/30
+0.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-2.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag6th/30
32%dead money %17th/30
0.497win %15th/30
36.5roster fWAR13th/30
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$56Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFDoug Glanville 117GRicky Ledee 40GBobby Abreu 18G
LFPat Burrell 157GJeremy Giambi 42GRicky Ledee 10G
RFBobby Abreu 148GJeremy Giambi 18GJason Michaels 7G
SSJimmy Rollins 152GTomás Pérez 13GNick Punto 1G
2BMarlon Anderson 143GTomás Pérez 50GNick Punto 1G
3BPlacido Polanco 131GTomás Pérez 14GJason Michaels 1G
1BTravis Lee 148GJeremy Giambi 21GDave Hollins 5G
STARTERSRandy Wolf 4.1WARVicente Padilla 3.0WARBrandon Duckworth 1.9WARTerry Adams 1.8WARJoe Roa 0.7WAR
CMike Lieberthal 129GTodd Pratt 34GJohnny Estrada 10G
DHJeremy Giambi 10GJason Michaels 1G
BULLPEN Jose Mesa 45svMike Timlin 20hDan Plesac 18hRicky Bottalico 15hJose Santiago 9hRheal Cormier 9hCarlos Silva 8hHector Mercado 3h
CMike Lieberthal 129 · Todd Pratt 34 · Johnny Estrada 10
1BTravis Lee 148 · Jeremy Giambi 21 · Dave Hollins 5
2BMarlon Anderson 143 · Tomás Pérez 50 · Nick Punto 1
3BPlacido Polanco 131 · Tomás Pérez 14 · Jason Michaels 1
SSJimmy Rollins 152 · Tomás Pérez 13 · Nick Punto 1
LFPat Burrell 157 · Jeremy Giambi 42 · Ricky Ledee 10
CFDoug Glanville 117 · Ricky Ledee 40 · Bobby Abreu 18
RFBobby Abreu 148 · Jeremy Giambi 18 · Jason Michaels 7
DHJeremy Giambi 10 · Jason Michaels 1
SPRandy Wolf 4.1 · Vicente Padilla 3.0 · Brandon Duckworth 1.9 · Terry Adams 1.8 · Joe Roa 0.7
BP Jose Mesa 45 · Mike Timlin 20 · Dan Plesac 18 · Ricky Bottalico 15 · Jose Santiago 9 · Rheal Cormier 9 · Carlos Silva 8 · Hector Mercado 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bobby Abreu 28 FA-elig 1575.2 6.3 +2.6
Pat Burrell 25 pre-arb 1574.4 1.9 +5.6
Randy Wolf 25 arb 324.1 0.5 +6.5
Scott Rolen↔ STL 27 FA-elig 1003.6 5.5 +0.6
Vicente Padilla 24 arb 323.0 0.2 +4.9
Mike Lieberthal 30 FA-elig 1302.8 7.3 -2.6
Brandon Duckworth 26 pre-arb 301.9 0.2 +3.1
Jeremy Giambi↔ OAK 27 arb 821.9 0.7 +2.6
Terry Adams 29 FA-elig 461.8 2.7 +0.5
Jimmy Rollins 23 pre-arb 1541.5 0.4 +2.2
Placido Polanco↔ STL 26 arb 531.4 0.6 +1.7
Todd Pratt 35 FA-elig 391.3 0.7 +1.7
Joe Roa 30 140.7
Travis Lee 27 arb 1530.7 3.0 -1.8
Carlos Silva 23 pre-arb 680.7 0.2 +0.9
Jose Mesa 36 FA-elig 740.6 4.2 -3.2
Doug Glanville 31 FA-elig 1380.6 4.0 -3.0
Jason Michaels 26 810.5
Ricky Ledee 28 arb 960.5 0.8 +0.1
Hector Mercado 28 pre-arb 310.4 0.3 +0.4
David Coggin 25 pre-arb 380.3 0.2 +0.3
Eric Junge 25 40.3
Cliff Politte↔ TOR 28 arb 130.3 0.0 +0.4
Marlon Anderson 28 arb 1450.3 0.4 +0.0
Robert Person 32 FA-elig 170.2 6.2 -6.0
Tomas Perez 28 FA-elig 920.1 0.5 -0.3
Ricky Bottalico 32 FA-elig 300.1 1.5 -1.4
Rheal Cormier 35 FA-elig 54-0.1 2.9 -3.1
John Mabry↔ OAK 31 FA-elig 21-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Marlon Byrd 24 10-0.2
Doug Nickle↔ SDP 27 4-0.2
Dave Hollins 36 FA-elig 14-0.2 0.4 -0.7
Brett Myers 21 12-0.2
Eric Valent 25 7-0.2
Dan Plesac↔ TOR 40 FA-elig 41-0.2 1.5 -1.9
Nick Punto 24 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Jose Santiago 27 arb 42-0.3 0.7 -1.1
Johnny Estrada 26 10-0.3
Mike Timlin↔ STL 36 FA-elig 30-0.3 2.2 -2.7

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Jeremy Giambi1.9
Terry Adams1.8
Placido Polanco1.4
Joe Roa0.7
Carlos Silva0.7
Ricky Ledee0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Omar Daal1.8
Nelson Figueroa1.1
Brian L. Hunter0.9
Wayne Gomes0.4
Ed Vosberg0.4
Rob Ducey0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$56.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Mike Lieberthal308.000$7.3M$7.2M$7.5M$7.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu286.000$6.3M$9.1M$10.6M$13.1M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Robert Person327.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Scott Rolen276.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Mesa3615.000$4.2M$5.2MFREE AGENT$1.8M
Doug Glanville316.000$4.0MFREE AGENT$550k
Rheal Cormier3511.000$2.9M$3.0M$3.0M$2.2M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Terry Adams297.000$2.7M$2.9MFREE AGENT$500k
Mike Timlin3611.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Dan Plesac4016.000$1.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Ricky Bottalico328.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Todd Pratt3510.000$650k$850k$875k$750kFREE AGENT
Tomas Perez287.000$475k$550k$750k$650kFREE AGENT
Dave Hollins3612.000$400kFREE AGENT
John Mabry318.000$95kFREE AGENT
Joe Roa307.000$202kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Travis Lee274.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Ledee284.000$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Giambi274.000$704kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Santiago275.000$700kFREE AGENT
Placido Polanco264.000$631kARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Wolf253.000$450kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marlon Anderson284.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Vicente Padilla243.000$245kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Politte284.000$47kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Pat Burrell252.000$1.9MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins232.000$355kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Mercado282.000$255kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Coggin252.000$240kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Duckworth261.000$235kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Silva230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Punto241.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Nickle27
Johnny Estrada261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Valent251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Michaels261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marlon Byrd240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Junge25
Brett Myers210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3