RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Ed Wade

Overview

CONTEND → steady
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.05× league · TAB +8.2
+8.2TAB — talent above budget9th/30
+3.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-1.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag1st/30
24%dead money %9th/30
0.531win %11th/30
43.0roster fWAR8th/30
+3surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/30
$72Mpayroll $M13th/30

Roster

CFMarlon Byrd 131GRicky Ledee 42GJason Michaels 5G
LFPat Burrell 140GRicky Ledee 29GJason Michaels 23G
RFBobby Abreu 158GJason Michaels 13GRicky Ledee 1G
SSJimmy Rollins 154GNick Punto 7GTomás Pérez 4G
2BPlacido Polanco 99GChase Utley 37GTomás Pérez 26G
3BDavid Bell 85GTomás Pérez 58GPlacido Polanco 21G
1BJim Thome 156GTomás Pérez 9GTodd Pratt 6G
STARTERSKevin Millwood 4.3WARRandy Wolf 3.0WARBrett Myers 2.3WARVicente Padilla 2.3WARAmaury Telemaco 0.7WAR
CMike Lieberthal 131GKelly Stinnett 51GTodd Pratt 35G
DHPat Burrell 2GRicky Ledee 2GJim Thome 2G
BULLPEN Mike Williams 28svTerry Adams 16hRheal Cormier 13hValerio De Los Santos 11hDan Plesac 10hTurk Wendell 8hCarlos Silva 4hJose Mesa 2h
CMike Lieberthal 131 · Kelly Stinnett 51 · Todd Pratt 35
1BJim Thome 156 · Tomás Pérez 9 · Todd Pratt 6
2BPlacido Polanco 99 · Chase Utley 37 · Tomás Pérez 26
3BDavid Bell 85 · Tomás Pérez 58 · Placido Polanco 21
SSJimmy Rollins 154 · Nick Punto 7 · Tomás Pérez 4
LFPat Burrell 140 · Ricky Ledee 29 · Jason Michaels 23
CFMarlon Byrd 131 · Ricky Ledee 42 · Jason Michaels 5
RFBobby Abreu 158 · Jason Michaels 13 · Ricky Ledee 1
DHPat Burrell 2 · Ricky Ledee 2 · Jim Thome 2
SPKevin Millwood 4.3 · Randy Wolf 3.0 · Brett Myers 2.3 · Vicente Padilla 2.3 · Amaury Telemaco 0.7
BP Mike Williams 28 · Terry Adams 16 · Rheal Cormier 13 · Valerio De Los Santos 11 · Dan Plesac 10 · Turk Wendell 8 · Carlos Silva 4 · Jose Mesa 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2003 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bobby Abreu 29 FA-elig 1585.6 9.1 +0.8
Jim Thome 32 FA-elig 1594.3 11.2 -3.5
Kevin Millwood 28 FA-elig 354.3 9.9 -2.3
Placido Polanco 27 arb 1223.9 2.9 +4.0
Marlon Byrd 25 pre-arb 1353.6 0.3 +6.1
Mike Lieberthal 31 FA-elig 1313.1 7.2 -1.7
Randy Wolf 26 arb 333.0 2.4 +3.0
Vicente Padilla 25 arb 322.3 0.4 +3.7
Brett Myers 22 pre-arb 332.3 0.3 +3.7
Jimmy Rollins 24 arb 1562.3 0.5 +3.6
Rheal Cormier 36 FA-elig 651.6 3.0 -0.1
Jason Michaels 27 pre-arb 761.6 0.3 +2.5
Terry Adams 30 FA-elig 661.5 2.9 -0.3
Todd Pratt 36 FA-elig 431.1 0.8 +1.0
Ricky Ledee 29 arb 1210.7 0.8 +0.4
Dan Plesac 41 FA-elig 580.7 2.0 -0.7
Amaury Telemaco 29 80.7
Brandon Duckworth 27 pre-arb 240.6 0.3 +0.7
Chase Utley 24 pre-arb 430.3 0.3 +0.2
Pat Burrell 26 arb 1460.2 1.2 -0.8
Joe Roa↔ COL 31 FA-elig 60.2 0.1 +0.3
Carlos Silva 24 pre-arb 620.1 0.3 -0.1
David Bell 30 FA-elig 850.1 3.2 -3.0
Josh Hancock 25 20.1
Kelly Stinnett↔ CIN 33 FA-elig 70.1 0.1 +0.0
Mike Williams↔ PIT 34 FA-elig 280.1 1.4 -1.3
Valerio De Los Santos↔ MIL 30 arb 60.1 0.1 -0.0
Eric Junge 26 60.0
Geoff Geary 26 50.0
Ryan Madson 22 10.0
Anderson Machado 22 10.0
Tyler Houston 32 FA-elig 54-0.0 1.0 -1.1
Jose Mesa 37 FA-elig 61-0.1 5.2 -5.4
Travis Chapman 25 1-0.1
Nick Punto 25 pre-arb 64-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Tomas Perez 29 FA-elig 125-0.2 0.6 -1.0
Turk Wendell 36 FA-elig 56-0.3 3.4 -3.9
Hector Mercado 29 arb 13-0.4 0.3 -1.1

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
Jim Thome4.3
Kevin Millwood4.3
Amaury Telemaco0.7
Chase Utley0.3
David Bell0.1
Josh Hancock0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Scott Rolen3.6
Jeremy Giambi1.9
Travis Lee0.7
Doug Glanville0.6
David Coggin0.3
Cliff Politte0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$71.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Jim Thome3212.000$11.2M$12.2M$13.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Millwood286.000$9.9M$11.0MFREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu297.000$9.1M$10.6M$13.1M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Lieberthal319.000$7.2M$7.5M$7.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Mesa3716.000$5.2MFREE AGENT$1.8M
Turk Wendell3610.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
David Bell308.000$3.2M$4.4M$4.7M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Rheal Cormier3612.000$3.0M$3.0M$2.2M$1.7MFREE AGENT
Terry Adams308.000$2.9MFREE AGENT$500k
Dan Plesac4117.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Williams3411.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Tyler Houston327.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Todd Pratt3611.000$850k$875k$750kFREE AGENT
Tomas Perez298.000$550k$750k$650kFREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett339.000$136kFREE AGENT
Joe Roa318.000$68kFREE AGENT
Amaury Telemaco297.000$525kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Placido Polanco275.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Randy Wolf264.000$2.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Burrell263.000$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Ledee295.000$850kFREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins243.000$450kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vicente Padilla254.000$425kARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Mercado293.000$330kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Valerio De Los Santos305.000$109kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Brandon Duckworth272.000$325kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Silva241.000$310kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Michaels272.000$305kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Utley240.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marlon Byrd251.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Punto252.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Myers221.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Geary260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Junge26
Anderson Machado220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Hancock251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Madson220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Chapman25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2003; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3