RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Lee Thomas

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.75× league · TAB -0.9
-0.9TAB — talent above budget18th/26
-8.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/26
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/26
-7.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/26
43%dead money %19th/26
0.432win %24th/26
29.7roster fWAR16th/26
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/26
$22Mpayroll $M23rd/26

Roster

CFLenny Dykstra 85GStan Javier 51GRuben Amaro Jr. 27G
LFMariano Duncan 65GStan Javier 42GWes Chamberlain 28G
RFRuben Amaro Jr. 68GWes Chamberlain 48GJohn Kruk 29G
SSJuan Bell 46GMariano Duncan 42GKim Batiste 41G
2BMickey Morandini 124GMariano Duncan 52GWally Backman 10G
3BDave Hollins 156GMariano Duncan 4GJoe Millette 3G
1BJohn Kruk 121GRicky Jordan 54GJeff Grotewold 1G
STARTERSCurt Schilling 4.2WARTerry Mulholland 3.5WARBen Rivera 1.0WARDon Robinson 0.6WARBrad Brink 0.4WAR
CDarren Daulton 141GSteve Lake 17GTodd Pratt 11G
BULLPEN Mitch Williams 29svMike Hartley 0hWally Ritchie 0hBob Ayrault 0hKeith Shepherd 0hSteve Searcy 0hJay Baller 0hPat Combs 0h
CDarren Daulton 141 · Steve Lake 17 · Todd Pratt 11
1BJohn Kruk 121 · Ricky Jordan 54 · Jeff Grotewold 1
2BMickey Morandini 124 · Mariano Duncan 52 · Wally Backman 10
3BDave Hollins 156 · Mariano Duncan 4 · Joe Millette 3
SSJuan Bell 46 · Mariano Duncan 42 · Kim Batiste 41
LFMariano Duncan 65 · Stan Javier 42 · Wes Chamberlain 28
CFLenny Dykstra 85 · Stan Javier 51 · Ruben Amaro Jr. 27
RFRuben Amaro Jr. 68 · Wes Chamberlain 48 · John Kruk 29
SPCurt Schilling 4.2 · Terry Mulholland 3.5 · Ben Rivera 1.0 · Don Robinson 0.6 · Brad Brink 0.4
BP Mitch Williams 29 · Mike Hartley 0 · Wally Ritchie 0 · Bob Ayrault 0 · Keith Shepherd 0 · Steve Searcy 0 · Jay Baller 0 · Pat Combs 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1992 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Darren Daulton 30 FA-elig 1457.2 2.6 +3.0
Dave Hollins 26 pre-arb 1565.7 0.2 +4.3
John Kruk 31 FA-elig 1444.4 2.4 +1.1
Curt Schilling 25 424.2
Terry Mulholland 29 FA-elig 323.5 1.2 +1.5
Lenny Dykstra 29 FA-elig 852.5 2.3 -0.3
Stan Javier↔ LAD 28 FA-elig 741.3 0.4 +0.6
Mariano Duncan 29 FA-elig 1421.1 2.0 -1.1
Ben Rivera↔ ATL 24 pre-arb 201.0 0.1 +0.7
Mickey Morandini 26 pre-arb 1270.9 0.2 +0.5
Ricky Jordan 27 arb 940.7 0.7 -0.1
Ruben Amaro Jr. 27 pre-arb 1260.7 0.1 +0.4
Don Robinson↔ ANA 35 FA-elig 100.6 0.7 -0.2
Jose DeLeon↔ STL 31 FA-elig 30.4 0.2 +0.1
Juan Bell 24 460.4
Keith Shepherd 24 120.4
Brad Brink 27 80.4
Bob Ayrault 26 300.4
Pat Combs 25 40.3
Danny Cox↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 90.2 0.2 -0.0
Wally Backman 32 FA-elig 420.2 0.7 -0.5
Mike Williams 23 50.2
Tommy Greene 25 arb 130.2 0.3 -0.1
Joe Millette 25 330.1
Mike Hartley 30 arb 460.1 0.2 -0.1
Jeff Grotewold 26 720.1
Jim Lindeman 30 FA-elig 290.1 0.3 -0.2
Todd Pratt 25 160.1
Wes Chamberlain 26 pre-arb 760.0 0.2 -0.2
Julio Peguero 23 14-0.0
Steve Searcy 28 arb 10-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Steve Lake 35 20-0.1
Darrin Chapin 26 1-0.1
Steve Scarsone↔ BAL 26 7-0.1
Mickey Weston 31 1-0.2
Wally Ritchie 26 arb 40-0.2 0.2 -0.3
Kyle Abbott 24 pre-arb 31-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Braulio Castillo 24 28-0.3
Andy Ashby 24 pre-arb 10-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Greg Mathews 30 FA-elig 14-0.5 0.1 -0.5
Barry Jones↔ NYM 29 FA-elig 44-0.5 0.7 -1.1
Dale Murphy 36 FA-elig 18-0.7 2.5 -3.0
Mitch Williams 27 FA-elig 66-0.7 3.2 -3.7
Tom Marsh 26 42-0.7
Jay Baller 31 8-0.7
Dale Sveum↔ CHW 28 FA-elig 54-0.7 0.2 -0.8
Cliff Brantley 24 pre-arb 28-0.8 0.1 -0.7
Kim Batiste 24 pre-arb 44-0.9 0.1 -0.8

Key additions (new vs 1991)

PlayerfWAR
Curt Schilling4.2
Stan Javier1.3
Mariano Duncan1.1
Ben Rivera1.0
Ruben Amaro Jr.0.7
Don Robinson0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 1991)

Player1991 fWAR
Bruce Ruffin2.0
Randy Ready1.3
Jose De Jesus1.0
Von Hayes1.0
Dickie Thon0.7
Jason Grimsley0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1992 payroll
$22.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1992, 1992–1998. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Mitch Williams276.000$3.2M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Darren Daulton309.000$2.6M$2.5M$2.3M$5.3M$5.2M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Dale Murphy3616.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
John Kruk316.000$2.4M$2.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Lenny Dykstra297.000$2.3M$3.1M$2.6M$6.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Mariano Duncan297.000$2.0M$2.0M$2.2M$321kFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland296.000$1.2M$2.6MFREE AGENT$445k
Barry Jones296.000$739kFREE AGENT
Don Robinson3514.000$692kFREE AGENT
Wally Backman3212.000$650kFREE AGENT
Stan Javier288.000$407kFREE AGENT
Jim Lindeman306.000$260kFREE AGENT
Jose DeLeon319.000$231k$189kFREE AGENT
Danny Cox329.000$225kFREE AGENT
Dale Sveum286.000$215kFREE AGENT
Greg Mathews306.000$145kFREE AGENT
Jay Baller3110.000FREE AGENT
Steve Lake359.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Ricky Jordan274.000$660kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Greene253.000$255kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Hartley303.000$225kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Searcy284.000$175kARB 3FREE AGENT
Wally Ritchie265.000$165kFREE AGENT
Juan Bell243.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Combs253.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curt Schilling254.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Weston313.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Wes Chamberlain262.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Hollins262.000$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Morandini262.000$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ruben Amaro Jr.271.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Abbott241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Brantley241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Ashby241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kim Batiste241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Rivera240.000$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Ayrault260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Brink27
Braulio Castillo24
Darrin Chapin26
Jeff Grotewold260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Marsh260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Millette25
Julio Peguero23
Todd Pratt250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Scarsone260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Shepherd24
Mike Williams230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 1992; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3